White Sox vs Mets Prediction Today | MLB Odds, Picks for Thursday, July 20
Pictured: José Quintana. (Photo by Doug Murray/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images)
White Sox vs. Mets Odds
The Mets offense has come alive and scored 16 runs through the first two games of this series. Plus, New York will get a boost on the hill as Jose Quintana is set to make his season debut.
As for the White Sox, they will send Michael Kopech to the mound as they attempt to salvage this series. Kopech has been inconsistent this season, but has the stuff to keep Chicago in this game.
So, what's the best way to bet on this series finale? Let's dig deeper into White Sox vs. Mets.
The White Sox have had a disappointing year and have struggled with both injuries and inconsistency on offense. Chicago ranks 24th in xwOBACON and also has the second-lowest xwOBA in baseball.
Expectations should be tempered for Quintana's first start, but if he's close to the guy we saw last year, he could shut down the White Sox.
Quintana is coming off an impressive 2022 season, during which he pitched to a 2.93 ERA over 32 starts. He was tremendous at generating soft contact as he ranked in the 89th percentile in average exit velocity and was in the top 25% in terms of chase rate.
The White Sox are the perfect team to play into Quintana's style as they lead the majors in chase rate. Expect Quintana to work efficiently through the first half of this game.
The Mets' bats have come to life in this series, but the success hasn't come from the typical run producers. Rookie catcher Francisco Alvarez is red hot and fellow rookie Brett Baty recently broke out of his slump.
However, that's not the best indicator of success moving forward. With Starling Marte out and both Pete Alonso and Jeff McNeil struggling, it's hard to project much consistency from the Mets.
This may be the spot for Kopech to get back on track. Prior to his most recent start, Kopech had a 2.85 ERA through 11 starts spanning from May to June. However, even in that span, he has struggled to command the baseball.
Kopech's walk rate is one of the worst in the league, but he's found success allowing batters to put the ball in play. His xBA against is .232 and he's due for some positive regression in the walk department.
If — yes, it's a big if — Kopech can limit the free passes, he should be able to contain the Mets.
White Sox vs. Mets Betting Pick
The ball has been flying across the majors this week, but this total is too high.
Both starters have clear avenues to success and should keep the scoring to a minimum, at least early.
Take the under in the first five innings.
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