The Action Network’s favorite World Series futures market is the World Series MVP market.
Collin Whitchurch hit Boston’s Steve Pearce to win the 2018 WS MVP at 60-to-1. Sean Zerillo hit Atlanta’s Jorge Soler to win the 2021 WS MVP at 35-to-1.
So, the guys hopped on the Payoff Pitch Podcast this week to preview the Fall Classic between the Toronto Blue Jays and Los Angeles Dodgers, and each gave out their favorite 2025 World Series MVP picks.
Read on for our World Series odds, picks, best bets, and expert predictions for the 2025 World Series MVP.
2025 World Series MVP Odds
Player | Odds |
---|---|
Shohei Ohtani | +175 |
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. | +500 |
Freddie Freeman | +1000 |
George Springer | +1000 |
Teoscar Hernandez | +1800 |
Blake Snell | +2000 |
Mookie Betts | +2200 |
Daulton Varsho | +2800 |
Max Muncy | +2800 |
Alejandro Kirk | +3000 |
Will Smith | +3500 |
Yoshinobu Yamamoto | +3500 |
Ernie Clement | +4000 |
Shane Bieber | +4000 |
Tommy Edman | +4000 |
Addison Barger | +5000 |
Enrique Hernandez | +5000 |
Kevin Gausman | +5000 |
Nathan Lukes | +5000 |
Rosi Sasaki | +5000 |
Tyler Glasnow | +6000 |
Andres Gimenez | +6500 |
Andy Pages | +6500 |
Max Scherzer | +10000 |
Trey Yesavage | +10000 |
Clayton Kershaw | +20000 |
Jeff Hoffman | +20000 |
Michael Conforto | +25000 |
Miguel Rojas | +25000 |
Chris Bassitt | +30000 |
Odds via bet365 Sportsbook
By Sean Zerillo
My favorite World Series MVP future is on Blake Snell at 20-to-1, which I would bet down to 15-to-1.
The Dodgers winning the series 4-1 is the favorite outcome in the betting market, followed by the Dodgers winning 4-2. So, if the Dodgers lose Game 1, I’m likely going to pivot and bet on Yoshinobu Yamamoto to win WS MVP (+3500, bet365), because then the Dodgers winning 4-2 becomes the most probable outcome, and Yamamoto’s MVP odds will get upgraded.
However, if the Dodgers win in exactly five games, it likely means that Snell has won two of the games in the series.
He’s also been on another planet in terms of pitching skills of late. Since returning from shoulder inflammation in early August, he started nine regular-season games with a 2.40 ERA, 2.40 xFIP, a 24% strikeout minus walk rate, and a 114 Pitching+ mark.
He’s been even better in the playoffs, allowing two runs on six hits across 21 innings with 28 strikeouts to only five walks — that’s a strikeout minus walk rate just under 32%.
The Blue Jays strike out a little more against lefties than righties, and they also hit for less power against lefties than righties.
They also potentially can’t play both Bo Bichette and George Springer together unless Bichette, who is injured, can play shortstop — he got hurt running the bases too hard before the ALCS. I’m hesitant that he’s healthy enough to play the field.
Regardless, Snell has been baseball’s best pitcher since the All-Star break, and he’s the likeliest pitcher in the series to win two games, especially if the Dodgers win 4-1.
Pick: WS MVP — Blake Snell (+2000, bet365)
My favorite World Series MVP bet is also my longest shot — Andy Pages at 65-to-1.
After factoring in the projected starting pitchers and the bullpen usage, I project the Dodgers to see a four-seam fastball, a slider, or a splitter about 73% of the time in the series.
The splitter is the interesting one. It’s so heavily utilized by the major Blue Jays pitchers, including Kevin Gausman (38%), Trey Yesavage (26%), and two of Toronto’s three highest-leverage relievers in Jeff Hoffman and Seranthony Dominguez.
Four Dodgers hitters project above their baseline production against the pitch. Three are the ones you might expect: Shohei Ohtani, Mookie Betts, and Freddie Freeman.
But the fourth is Pages.
Surprisingly, Pages is the only hitter in the Dodgers’ lineup who I project to hit above their expectation in both wOBA and SLG against all three of those pitches (four-seam, slider, splitter).
The reason these odds are so long, aside from the obvious (least recognizable hitter in the lineup), is that he’s not going to see a lot of lefties. He’s significantly better against southpaws than righties.
But that’s not necessarily the case in the slugging department. His on-base percentage is only about .300 against righties, and it’s almost 50 points higher against lefties. However, 23 of his 27 homers this season came against right-handed pitching.
He can still drive the ball with authority against that side. He’s not bad against righties, but he’s just better against lefties.
Another big reason we’re getting these odds is that Pages has been slumping in October. But he has the potential to break out of that slump in a good matchup.
This is the unexpected MVP in a lineup full of superstars.
Pick: WS MVP — Andy Pages (+6500, bet365)