Cuba will face Puerto Rico in the World Baseball Classic on Monday. The game will start at 7 p.m. ET and can be streamed live on FS1.
Puerto Rico is a -370 moneyline favorite, and -2.5 (-115) run line favorite. The over/under is set at 10 runs (-110 / -110).
Here's my Cuba vs Puerto Rico prediction and WBC picks for March 9, 2026.
Cuba vs Puerto Rico WBC Prediction
- My Pick: Under 10.5 (play to 9.5 -115) | Puerto Rico ML (parlay piece to -355)
My Cuba vs Puerto Rico best bet is on the Under
Cuba vs Puerto Rico Odds
| Cuba Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+2.5 -105 | 10 -110 / -110 | +285 |
| Puerto Rico Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-2.5 -115 | 10 -110 / -110 | -370 |
- Cuba vs Puerto Rico Moneyline: Cuba +285, Puerto Rico -370
- Cuba vs Puerto Rico Over/Under: 10 (-110/ -110)
- Cuba vs Puerto Rico Run Line: Cuba +2.5, Puerto Rico -2.5
Cuba vs Puerto Rico WBC Picks
Monday's matchup between Cuba and Puerto Rico should decide the Pool A winner.
I am slightly higher on the host and home team relative to the market. They also had additional rest for their bullpen with Sunday off, while Cuba used eight arms, including their best relievers, in a 7-4 win over Colombia.
Yankees' prospect Elmer Rodríguez gets the start for Puerto Rico. The 22-year-old was in big-league camp after reaching Triple-A in 2025. He has plus stuff and generates ground balls at a high clip, but his command is wonky.
Still, the main weapons are in the home bullpen. Edwin Díaz (2.93 FIP, 25.4% K-BB%), Fernando Cruz (3.56 FIP), and Jovani Morán (3.69 FIP) form one of the deepest relief units in the tournament, and all should be deployed in a potential Pool A title game.
Cuba's lineup around Yoan Moncada also doesn't project nearly as well as Puerto Rico's top-to-bottom depth, which is swamped by the other "name brand" teams but is strong relative to Pool A, the weakest group in the field.
My model set the total closer to 9, well below market, and it was my largest numerical disagreement on the slate.
Puerto Rico's elite bullpen, and the likelihood that both managers have quick hooks for their pitchers with a chance to qualify from and/or win Pool A, should compress the run-scoring environment for this matchup.
Pick: Under 10.5 (bet to 9.5, -115) | Puerto Rico ML (parlay to -355)
