MLB Futures Odds: Does Greinke Make the Astros Smart World Series Bets?


Jeff Curry-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Houston Astros shortstop Carlos Correa

Aug 02, 2019, 09:50 PM EDT
  • The Houston Astros are +200 favorites to win the World Series after acquiring for Zack Greinke at the MLB trade deadline.
  • Using a consensus projection, we determine if there is value betting the Astros as favorites to win the World Series.

The Houston Astros won the MLB trade deadline by acquiring ace Zack Greinke from the Arizona Diamondbacks. The Cy Young winner has been impressive this season, going 10-4 with a 2.90 ERA in 23 starts.

Before the trade, the Astros rotation, which included Justin Verlander and Gerrit Cole, was already one of the best in baseball. Houston’s starters ranked first in strikeouts per nine innings (10.5), first in opponents’ batting average (.213) and fourth in ERA (3.68).

Greinke wasn’t the only move the Astros made. Houston also obtained Martin Maldonado, Aaron Sanchez and Joe Biagini.

Oddsmakers were impressed with the ‘Stros big day. Houston was as high as +450 to win the World Series before the deadline but is now +200 (bet $100 to win $200).

On paper, Houston looks like the best team in the majors, but is there value wagering on the Astros at +200 odds?