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Conor McGregor vs. Dustin Poirier Props: ‘Mystic Mac’ Predicts First-Round Knockout at UFC 257

Conor McGregor vs. Dustin Poirier Props: ‘Mystic Mac’ Predicts First-Round Knockout at UFC 257 article feature image

Chris Unger/Zuffa LLC. Pictured: Conor McGregor.

Conor McGregor finished Dustin Poirier in the first round the last time these two met back in 2014. Mystic Mac is calling for a repeat at UFC 257.

McGregor predicted he’ll knock out Poirier “inside of 60 seconds.” If you believe him, betting lines are available.

Props for the main event at Saturday’s UFC 257 are available at DraftKings and include round betting, method of victory and more.

McGregor is a -305 favorite to win the fight with Poirier coming back as a +250 underdog (full UFC 257 odds here). If backing McGregor at that price is too expensive, prop bets offer a better price but require a more specific result. Or, if you have a feel for how Poirier can win, more lucrative options are out there.

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Conor McGregor vs. Dustin Poirier Round Betting

Conor McGregor 1st Round+195
Conor McGregor 2nd Round+450
Conor McGregor 3rd Round+850
Conor McGregor 4th Round+1600
Conor McGregor 5th Round+2200
Conor McGregor Decision+650
Dustin Poirier 1st Round+1000
Dustin Poirier 2nd Round+1400
Dustin Poirier 3rd Round+1600
Dustin Poirier 4th Round+2000
Dustin Poirier 5th Round+2200
Dustin Poirier Decision+600

Odds as of Wednesday night and via DraftKings.

If McGregor is right — and he was his last time out against Donald Cerrone — a bettor can get +195 for a win in the first round. That covers submissions as well. McGregor stopped Poirier 1:57 into the first round of their last fight.

Poirier has only been finished twice since then — a first-round knockout loss to Michael Johnson in 2016 and a third-round submission defeat to Khabib Nurmagomedov in 2019.

Each of Poirier’s last two wins have come via decision, one over Dan Hooker and another against Max Holloway. His last finish was a second-round TKO win against Eddie Alvarez in 2018.

Since fighting three times in 2016, McGregor’s only appeared in the Octagon twice — a 40-second KO win over Cerrone and a fourth-round submission against Nurmagomedov.

McGregor vs. Poirier Winning Method

McGregor by KO, TKO, or DQ-177
McGregor by Submission+2000
McGregor by Decision+650
Poirier by KO, TKO, or DQ+600
Poirier by Submission+900
Poirier by Decision+600

Odds as of Wednesday night and via DraftKings.

Not sure of the round but picturing how this one ends? Winning method is another avenue to get a wager down.

The most likely outcome according to the odds is a McGregor KO, which is how 19 of his 22 wins have ended. He has just one submission win and two decision victories.

The value on Poirier could be a submission win. McGregor’s only two losses in the UFC are via submission, and “The Diamond” has won seven times by submission. Most of those were prior to the UFC, but he did submit Anthony Pettis in 2017.

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