Conor McGregor vs. Dustin Poirier Props: ‘Mystic Mac’ Predicts First-Round Knockout at UFC 257
Chris Unger/Zuffa LLC. Pictured: Conor McGregor.
Conor McGregor finished Dustin Poirier in the first round the last time these two met back in 2014. Mystic Mac is calling for a repeat at UFC 257.
McGregor predicted he'll knock out Poirier "inside of 60 seconds." If you believe him, betting lines are available.
Props for the main event at Saturday's UFC 257 are available at DraftKings and include round betting, method of victory and more.
McGregor is a -305 favorite to win the fight with Poirier coming back as a +250 underdog (full UFC 257 odds here). If backing McGregor at that price is too expensive, prop bets offer a better price but require a more specific result. Or, if you have a feel for how Poirier can win, more lucrative options are out there.
Conor McGregor vs. Dustin Poirier Round Betting
| Round | Odds |
|---|---|
| Conor McGregor 1st Round | +195 |
| Conor McGregor 2nd Round | +450 |
| Conor McGregor 3rd Round | +850 |
| Conor McGregor 4th Round | +1600 |
| Conor McGregor 5th Round | +2200 |
| Conor McGregor Decision | +650 |
| Dustin Poirier 1st Round | +1000 |
| Dustin Poirier 2nd Round | +1400 |
| Dustin Poirier 3rd Round | +1600 |
| Dustin Poirier 4th Round | +2000 |
| Dustin Poirier 5th Round | +2200 |
| Dustin Poirier Decision | +600 |
Odds as of Wednesday night and via DraftKings.
If McGregor is right — and he was his last time out against Donald Cerrone — a bettor can get +195 for a win in the first round. That covers submissions as well. McGregor stopped Poirier 1:57 into the first round of their last fight.
Poirier has only been finished twice since then — a first-round knockout loss to Michael Johnson in 2016 and a third-round submission defeat to Khabib Nurmagomedov in 2019.
Each of Poirier's last two wins have come via decision, one over Dan Hooker and another against Max Holloway. His last finish was a second-round TKO win against Eddie Alvarez in 2018.
Since fighting three times in 2016, McGregor's only appeared in the Octagon twice — a 40-second KO win over Cerrone and a fourth-round submission against Nurmagomedov.
McGregor vs. Poirier Winning Method
| Method | Odds |
|---|---|
| McGregor by KO, TKO, or DQ | -177 |
| McGregor by Submission | +2000 |
| McGregor by Decision | +650 |
| Poirier by KO, TKO, or DQ | +600 |
| Poirier by Submission | +900 |
| Poirier by Decision | +600 |
| Tie | +6600 |
Odds as of Wednesday night and via DraftKings.
Not sure of the round but picturing how this one ends? Winning method is another avenue to get a wager down.
The most likely outcome according to the odds is a McGregor KO, which is how 19 of his 22 wins have ended. He has just one submission win and two decision victories.
The value on Poirier could be a submission win. McGregor's only two losses in the UFC are via submission, and "The Diamond" has won seven times by submission. Most of those were prior to the UFC, but he did submit Anthony Pettis in 2017.
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