Roberto Soldic vs Khaos Williams Odds
| Soldic Odds | -238 |
| Williams Odds | +195 |
| Over/Under | 1.5 (-105/-125) |
| Location | Delta Center, Salt Lake City, Utah |
| Bout Time | 8:45 p.m. ET |
| TV/Streaming | Paramount+ |
| UFC 332 odds as of Friday and via DraftKings. Bet on UFC 332 with our DraftKings promo code. | |
Check out the Roberto Soldic vs. Khaos Williams prediction for UFC 332 on Saturday, October 3, along with my betting preview and breakdown.
After years of contract issues with ONE FC, former two-division KSW champion Roberto Soldic finally makes his UFC debut this weekend. Perhaps best known for splitting a pair of fights with Dricus du Plessis, the 31-year-old Soldic is still firmly in his prime, as he returns to the welterweight division for the first time since 2021. Welcoming him to the Octagon is Khaos Williams, a solid UFC veteran who should oblige Soldic in a striking-based matchup, making this bout a potential "fight of the night" candidate.
Here's my Soldic vs. Williams pick and prediction.
Tale of the Tape
| Soldic | Williams | |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 21-4 | 16-5 |
| Avg. Fight Time | UFC Debut | 9:16 |
| Height | 5'11" | 6'0" |
| Weight (pounds) | 170 lbs. | 170 lbs. |
| Reach (inches) | 74" | 77" |
| Stance | Southpaw | Orthodox |
| Date of birth | 01/25/1995 | 03/30/1994 |
| Sig Strikes Per Min | 4.97 | |
| SS Accuracy | 39% | |
| SS Absorbed Per Min | 5.34 | |
| SS Defense | 41% | |
| Take Down Avg | 0 | |
| TD Acc | ||
| TD Def | 51% | |
| Submission Avg | 0 |
Representing Lansing, Michigan's Murcielago MMA, Kalinn "Khaos" Williams is the type of fighter the UFC loves to keep on the roster. A powerful striker who would probably be able to hang with most middleweights, Williams has never so much as attempted a takedown in the UFC.
He also has a negative striking differential and very limited interest or ability in defense — though some of those numbers are due to ground strikes — leading to consistently exciting fights as he slugs it out on the feet.
Williams is able to get away with that style due to his elite "hardware" for fighting. He has big power, but crucially also has a granite chin. Williams has never been dropped in the UFC or knocked out as a pro, despite matchups with dangerous strikers at various points in his run. In fact, the power coming back from Williams has turned some of those strikers into temporary grapplers.
That's where things tend to go south for Williams. He's not an especially technical fighter in any aspect, but his limitations are more glaring in grappling sequences. Before knocking out Nikolay Veretennikov this May, he had lost consecutive fights. Across those matchups, Williams gave up 12 total takedowns, losing by submission in one, and being controlled for nearly ten minutes in the other.
Soldic is primarily a striker, operating out of a southpaw stance and making great use of rear-leg kicks to the body and straight left hands against right-handed opponents. He hurt du Plessis repeatedly with body kicks from the open stance in their rematch, with du Plessis being the one to initiate grappling exchanges. As an aside, seeing a young DDP fight in a fairly technical style is also very interesting:
Soldic does come from a Judo background, though, so in theory he would have the ability to out-grapple Williams. The problem is whether that ability comes with the desire to do so, which is a bigger question mark here.
I'm also somewhat concerned about Soldic's durability if he engages in a firefight with Williams. He's more technical on the feet, but has been knocked out twice in his career (including once by du Plessis). He's also likely cutting a ton of weight in his first welterweight bout in more than five years, which has an impact on a fighter's durability. I also have doubts about his cardio given the confluence of factors at play here: elevation, ring rust, UFC debut jitters, and the weight cut. Soldic hasn't been to a decision since 2019, and his aggressive style could make extended fights difficult.
Still, Soldic is fairly smooth with his striking and doesn't waste a ton of energy, so my lean would be to him being able to maintain something like his typical pace over a 15-minute fight, at least at or above the level of Williams, who also cuts a ton of weight and doesn't perform especially well later in contests.
Soldic vs. Williams Pick, Prediction
My initial read on this fight was that Williams is undervalued, a sentiment shared by the market. He's been bet down from +260 odds to inside +200 as of Friday, taking much of the value out of the line. As Sean Zerillo and I discussed on the latest UFC Betting Preview podcast, CLV isn't all that predictive in MMA, but it still makes the moneyline not worth it for me.
However, if Williams is going to win, it's almost certainly a knockout. He's likely to be outstruck on the numbers by Soldic, and has next to no shot at winning grappling exchanges. That leaves him reliant on finding a finish against a fighter with some potentially questionable durability.
The best part is, his knockout prop is as high as +440 via FanDuel, a significant improvement over his moneyline.
Billy's Picks: Khaos Williams by KO/TKO/DQ +440 (FanDuel)
