UFC 332 Predictions, Odds, Picks, Previews for Every Fight (October 3)

Sean Zerillo

Senior Betting Analyst

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Updated:

Oct 03, 2026, 12:18 PM EDT

Updated:

Oct 03, 2026, 12:18 PM EDT

UFC 332 Predictions, Odds, Picks, Previews for Every Fight (October 3) article feature image

15 min read

Credit:

Dec 6, 2025; Las Vegas, Nevada, UNITED STATES; Henry Cejudo (red gloves) fights Payton Talbott (blue gloves) during UFC 323 at T-Mobile Arena. Mandatory Credit: Stephen R. Sylvanie-Imagn Images

Check out my UFC 332 predictions for every fight from the numbered event at the Delta Center in Salt Lake City, Utah.

Below, I look at the latest UFC 332 odds and break down and predict each bout on tonight's card with updated odds. You can also find my prop and finish projections for each fight.

Let's break it down.

UFC 332 Predictions

After examining all betting options, a typical UFC card can offer substantial actionable value, and after looking at the UFC 332 odds, today's event is no exception.

So, in addition to moneylines and over/unders, I'll break down how I plan to bet on all the fights based on the latest UFC 332 odds, including exact winning methods, winning round props, and whether the match will go to a decision or finish inside the distance.

Here are my moneyline projections for Saturday:

And now my prop projections, including odds for the fight to reach a decision, or for each fighter to win by decision, KO/TKO, Submission, or inside the distance (finish).

UFC 332 odds are as of Saturday morning and via DraftKings. Bet on UFC 332 with our DraftKings promo code.

Picks
Court McGhee vs. Eric Nolan
Marvin Vettori vs. Ismael Narudiev
Rafael Dos Anjos vs. Alexander Hernandez
Jacobe Smith vs. Bruce Whitehead
Johnny Walker vs. Mick Parkin
Anthony Wint vs. Lucas Armand
Marcus McGhee vs. Bernardo Sopaj
Damien Pinas vs. Andrey Pulayev
Imanol Rodriguez vs. Alden Coria
Ateba Gautier vs. Roman Kopylov
Roberto Soldic vs. Khaos Williams
King Green vs. Esteban Ribovics
Deiveson Figueiredo vs. Payton Talbott
Natalia Silva vs. Cong Wang

Fight times are approximate and subject to change. All times ET.

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Court McGee vs. Eric Nolan

Provo, Utah native Court McGee enters his retirement fight on Saturday at age 41, after winning season 11 of The Ultimate Fighter (Team Liddell vs. Team Ortiz) in 2011; for perspective, that show just wrapped up season 34.

He will face Eric Nolan, an opponent 12 years his junior, who was taken down 17 times in his last fight against Farman Hasanov.

While McGee has been an underrated striker throughout his career (+0.8 differential per minute at distance), Nolan is both the faster and more durable athlete on the feet at this stage of their respective careers, and McGee likely needs grappling success if he wants to pull the upset after his final walk to the Octagon.

McGee isn't the best wrestler (36 of 145 attempts; 25% landed), but he is fairly reliable to shoot (averages 3.4 attempts per five minutes at distance), and he has decent top pressure (82% control rate) and a solid submission game.

I project small edges on McGee to win by Submission (projected +621, listed +900) or inside the distance (projected +421, listed +650), and I would also consider a live wager on him after the opening round; despite the age gap, I expect McGee, who trains at altitude, to have the better stamina in this fight potentially.

Bets

Court McGee wins by Submission (+850, 0.05u; DraftKings)
Court McGee Live after Round 1

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Marvin Vettori vs. Ismail Narudiev

Marvin Vettori enters Saturday's contest on a four-fight losing streak, with a 2-6 record in his past eight bouts, and looks increasingly slower and less interested in each outing.

"The Italian Dream" has always been well-rounded and exceedingly durable but has never defended strikes well during his career (56% striking defense), and perhaps that attritional damage is catching up to his athleticism in his mid-thirties.

Ismail Naurdiev is the younger, more dynamic athlete, and the market has pushed him nearly five percent in implied probability, from a -120 favorite at open closer to -145 as of writing.

My model agrees with the steam, projecting Naurdiev as a heavy favorite.

I also project an edge on Naurdiev by decision, but I prefer his moneyline.

Trade

Ismail Naurdiev (-127, 0.5u; Kalshi)

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Rafael Dos Anjos vs. Alexander Hernandez

Rafael dos Anjos ("RDA") has faced arguably the toughest strength of schedule in promotional history, fighting Donald Cerrone (2x), Khabib Nurmagomedov, Nate Diaz, Anthony Pettis, Eddie Alvarez, Tony Ferguson, Robbie Lawler, Colby Covington, Kamaru Usman, and others – all in or near the prime of their respective careers.

Still, he enters Saturday's bout on a three-fight losing streak after a near two-year layoff, against an explosive opponent seven years his junior.

Hernandez does typically start fast before fading in the back half of his fights – which could pose a serious challenge at elevation in Salt Lake City – and RDA has always shown excellent cardio throughout his career.

RDA needs to make this fight a grind – and force Hernandez to defend takedowns or clinch positions up against the fence – and avoid getting stuck at range against a faster, more powerful opponent.

If Hernandez does not finish, I expect RDA to be competitive on minutes, particularly down the stretch, and I would live bet him after Round 1.

I'd need something closer to +250 to play RDA pre-fight, relative to my projection (+222), or you could take a stab on his inside-the-distance odds (projected +502, listed +700) and hope Hernandez fades.

Still, I think the optimal approach, specifically off the lengthy layoff in his forties, is to wait a round to see how RDA looks before potentially taking a live position; if he's competitive and forcing Hernandez to work, I think the older fighter can rally over the final ten minutes.

Bets

Rafael dos Anjos Live After Round 1

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Jacobe Smith vs. Bruce Whitehead

Jacobe Smith had a July bout with Kevin Holland canceled and was rebooked for UFC 332 against Fury FC debutant Bruce Whitehead.

Smith is the biggest favorite on the card, and I agree; he's 3-0 in the UFC, has a decorated wrestling background, seems like an exceptional athlete, and the UFC keeps giving him soft matchups.

Whitehead isn't particularly durable, and his only path to victory is if Smith has an adrenaline dump and crashes out at altitude; if Whitehead survives the opening round, he's worth a poke in the live market; otherwise, I'm likely passing on this fight.

Bets

Bruce Whitehead Live after Round 1

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Johnny Walker vs. Mick Parkin

I projected Mick Parkin as a -110 favorite and showed a bigger edge before weigh-ins, moving from a +115 underdog to a -105 pick'em overnight.

Johnny Walker is the bigger man (2" taller, 3" reach advantage) but is moving up from Light Heavyweight to Heavyweight for this matchup.

Parkin weighed in 23 pounds heavier on Friday (265 to 242) and has shown superior output and efficiency at distance (5.4 vs. 3.5 strikes landed per minute; +0.7 to +0.5 differential per minute at distance), plus better offensive wrestling and control (79% to 30% control rate).

Walker is the more dynamic athlete, with more power and a better submission game, and he's likely faster too, but carrying more poundage at Heavyweight tends to slow former light heavyweights as fights extend, and that's a problem that will only be exacerbated while fighting at elevation.

Take Parkin pre-fight to -105, and look for a live entry on the Englishman after Round 1. I also show an edge on his odds to win by finish or inside the distance (projected +203 listed +225) against an opponent who has shown severe durability concerns.

Bets

Mick Parkin (+100, 0.25u), FanDuel
Mick Parkin Live after Round 1

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Anthony Wint vs. Lucas Armand

Former NFL linebacker Anthony Wint is one of the more intriguing athletes to join the UFC in recent years; he has substantial upside as a Heavyweight prospect who has only been training MMA for a few years.

Like Jacobe Smith, Wint is being given highly favorable matchups in an effort to inflate his record; Lucas Armand is unbeaten as a professional, but has amateur losses at the same time Wint was beginning his professional career, and an unbeaten record against relative cans (his last opponent is 9-23) on the Michigan regional scene doesn't tell us very much about his abilities. In fact, being unable to finish that 9-23 opponent (Cameron Graham) until Round 4 should be concerning.

While I do project edges on both Wint by decision (projected +518, listed +650) or by KO/TKO (projected +103, listed +110), I'm inclined to pass.

Wint is developing rapidly and showed both a willingness to grapple and the skill to do so in his last fight; on top of world-class athleticism, that gives him a significant advantage over most Heavyweights.

Bets

Pass

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Marcus McGhee vs. Anthony Romero

Anthony Romero is replacing Bernardo Sopaj on short notice, after compiling a 7-2 record on the California regional scene.

He will face MMA Lab's Marcus McGhee, who had a competitive fight with and took a round off of current champion Petr Yan last year.

McGhee is extremely well-rounded, and this spot sets up as a likely finish for his record if he displays the appropriate level of aggression against a lesser, smaller opponent (McGhee is 3" taller with a 3" reach advantage); he failed to do so as a -430 favorite against John Yannis in June.

I project small edges both on McGhee to win inside the distance (projected -119, listed -105) and the fight to end inside the distance (projected -179, listed -145); I'm comfortable placing either wager.

Bets

Marcus McGhee wins Inside the Distance (-105, 0.25u), DraftKings

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Damian Pinas vs. Andrey Pulayev

Damian Pinas is far from the most technical or well-rounded fighter, but he carries one-and-done power that can delete opponents in an instant.

At just 24, Pinas is still extremely green, but he trains at Nova União. This camp is hopefully instilling in him the same anti-grappling mindset as former champion and future Hall-of-Famer Jose Aldo, arguably the best counter-wrestler in the sport's history.

Pinas has shown that he can get outgrappled by opponents (including his last fight against Cesar Almeida) who aren't particularly good at grappling, but I don't think Andrey Pulyaev is a good enough grappler to take advantage of the potential hole in Pinas' skillset; Pulyaev has been clearly outgrappled himself by Liam Anderson, Christian Leroy Duncan, Nick Klein, and Nursulton Ruziboev during his UFC run.

As a result, if Pulyaev can't land takedowns or generate cage control, he will need to survive long enough for Pinas to gas out at elevation eventually; the Suriname-born Arbuan has only gotten past the opening round once in his professional career.

Pinas needs to keep developing as a fighter, or he'll eventually run into a durable opponent at the UFC level who can expose his grappling defense; still, I don't think Pulyaev is the opponent to do so.

If Pulyaev survives for five minutes, I'd consider betting him on the live line, since we don't know much about how Pinas will look in an extended fight; otherwise, this seems like another smash spot for a big favorite.

Bets

Andrey Pulyaev Live after Round 1

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Imanol Rodriguez vs. Alden Coria

This is a matchup between two extremely talented flyweight prospects; Rodriguez is the better wrestler, but I view Coria as both the better striker and the more durable athlete, and he's also the bigger man (4" taller, 3" reach advantage) with better power.

I projected a small edge on Coria when his moneyline was closer to +135, but now that it has dropped to +115, I'm in alignment with the market for this fight.

I do still project a pre-fight edge on Coria by KO/TKO (projected +566, listed +800) or inside the distance (projected +398, listed +500), and I'd consider a small play on his finish props; Rodriguez was lucky to survive getting hurt twice by Kevin Borjas, and Coria was similarly unlucky in failing to finish Stewart Nicoll.

Rodriguez might have early wrestling success, but I expect Coria to defend those takedowns more readily as the fight extends, and Rodriguez loses energy

Coria trains full time with Joshua Van, and he follows a similar pacing in his fights: concentrating on anti-grappling early before pouring on the pace as he gets a feel for his opponent; that style should lend itself well to fighting at altitude, too.

Take Coria to finish pre-fight, in addition to his point spread (+3.5, -140) and look to bet him live after Round 1.

Bets

Alden Coria +3.5 Points (-130, 0.25u), Caesars
Alden Coria wins Inside the Distance (+500, 0.1u), FanDuel
Alden Coria Live after Round 1

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Ateba Gautier vs. Roman Kopylov

Check out my colleague Billy Ward's write up on Gautier vs Kopylov.

Ateba Gautier has faced an incredibly soft strength of schedule, with UFC wins over Ozzy Diaz (1-3 promotional record), Andrey Pulyaev (1-3), Tre'ston Vines (0-1-1), Robert Valentin (2-3), and Jose Medina, the second UFC fighter to go 0-5.

Gautier is clearly an exceptional athlete, and given his physique, it's hard to believe he still has physical maturing to do at 24, and it's a wonder he can cut to 185 pounds. He's the bigger man than Roman Kopylov (4" taller, 6" reach), but carrying around that frame could be a detriment to his body at elevation.

Kopylov doesn't necessarily have the gas tank to fight for 15 minutes at altitude, either, but he is the more well-rounded and proven fighter of the pair. He can potentially mix in takedowns and expose holes in Gautier's defensive grappling. He will also manage the size gap by landing his exceptional body kicks, which can further take the wind out of Gautier's sails in an extended fight.

I make Kopylov roughly a +190 underdog and would bet his moneyline at +200 or better; I also see an edge on his odds to win inside the distance (projected +363, listed +500).

I would also look to bet Kopylov to land Over 0.5 takedowns at -105; he typically looks to mix things up even when he's at a grappling disadvantage, but this is a matchup where wrestling is his path of least resistance.

Lastly, keep an eye on Kopylov in the live market. He's normally a fighter I bet against live, but I don't trust Gautier in extended fights either, and would be extra concerned about him carrying around a heavy frame at elevation in Utah.

Bets

Roman Kopylov (+210, 0.2u), Caesars
Roman Kopylov Over 0.5 Takedowns (-105, 0.1u), DraftKings
Roman Kopylov Live after Round 1

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Roberto Soldic vs. Khaos Williams

Check out Ward's write up on Soldic vs Williams.

Roberto Soldic will make his long-awaited UFC debut on Saturday; the former two-division KSW champion remains the only man to knock out former UFC middleweight champion Dricus Du Plessis. Still, Soldic may be arriving in the UFC a bit past his prime. At just 31, Soldic has fought only once since a 2023 knockout loss to Swede Zebaztian Kadestam, a -500 favorite, in ONE Championship.

Soldic is powerful, but I don't think he's the best athlete; his movements seem rigid, and I think Khaos Williams is both the bigger man (2" taller, 4" reach advantage) and the one with the faster hands.

And most importantly, he carries some of the biggest power in the welterweight division; if Soldic doesn't look to grapple, he's going to get hit cleanly by Williams at some point during this fight, and it may only take one big shot to put him away; I don't trust his chin or durability.

I project an edge on Williams' moneyline, setting him as a +172 underdog, and I would bet his moneyline at +180 or better. Additionally, I projected his knockout prop at +312 and his inside-the-distance prop at +273, compared to listed odds of +400 and +350, respectively.

Bets

Khaos Williams (+185, 0.15u), FanDuel
Khaos Williams wins by TKO/KO (+400, 0.1u), BetMGM

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King Green vs. Esteban Ribovics

Check out my colleague John Lanfranca's write up on Green vs Ribovics.

Esteban Ribovics was the only fighter to miss weight on Friday, which could prove crucial at altitude in Salt Lake City, especially against a fighter with excellent cardio and third-round pace such as King Green.

Ribovics is a decade younger than Green and the more powerful striker, but Green is the superior grappler (61% to 12% control rate) and can land takedowns and get to dangerous positions in this fight.

Ribovics maintains a furious pace on the feet (9.4 strikes landed per minute). Still, Green is accustomed to high-volume wars, and he is also the more efficient striker by the numbers (+2.8 to +2.0 strike differential per minute at distance) and the longer man (2" reach advantage) with an excellent jab.

I don't project any pre-fight value on Green, but I would consider a live entry following Round 1 against an opponent who missed weight, and I would bet Green to land Over 0.5 takedowns (-135) up to -150, and/or Over 53.5 Significant Strikes to -135.

Bets

King Green, Over 0.5 Takedowns (-135, 0.1u), DraftKings
King Green, Over 53.5 Significant Strikes (-115, 0.1u), DraftKings
King Green Live after Round 1

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Deiveson Figueiredo vs. Payton Talbott

Check out my colleague Dan Tom's write up on Figueiredo vs Talbott.

While I don't project enough value on Saturday's co-main event to fire at a moneyline, total, or any winning method props, I do like a couple of takedown props between former flyweight champion Deiveson Figueiredo and rising contender Payton Talbott.

Figueiredo needs offensive grappling to stay competitive or win, and his Over 0.5 takedowns (-135) is more than reasonable for a fighter who needs to grapple actively. Additionally, however, you can also find Talbott Over 0.5 takedowns at even money, one fight after taking down Henry Cejudo three times.

Talbott clearly improved his defensive wrestling after his loss to Raoni Barcelos (opponents are 4-for-22 since), which renewed his confidence in his offensive grappling and made him a more complete fighter.

He offers triple the output as Figgy on the feet (8.9 to 2.9 strikes landed per five minutes at distance; +4.1 to -1.3 strike differential per minute), and it's difficult to find, outside of a power shot or a deep guillotine attempt, where Figgy will win minutes in this matchup against a fighter who is ten years younger, with a 5" reach advantage.

Figgy has been consistently outworked and outlanded at Bantamweight, where he doesn't have the same power he did at Flyweight, and even though he is talented, his minute-winning ability has dissipated.

Apart from the takedown props, I would consider betting Talbott -7.5 points (-165); Figueiredo will get outworked and will either need an early takedown and substantial top time, or a knockdown at some point to steal a round.

Lastly, target Talbott as a live bet after Round 1.

Bets

Payton Talbott -7.5 Points (-165, 0.1u), Caesars
Payton Talbott Over 0.5 Takedowns (+115, 0.1u), Caesars
Deiveison Figureido Over 0.5 Takedowns (-135, 0.1u), DraftKings
Payton Talbott Live after Round 1

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Natalia Silva vs. Cong Wang

For more information, including a full statistical breakdown of Saturday's main event, check out my full fight preview.

In short, I projected Natalia Silva as a 64% favorite (-178 implied odds) in this matchup, so I view Wang Cong as closer to the value side of the money line; still, I would need something closer to +200 to back the underdog pre-fight.

The elevation factor favors Silva, the younger fighter on a full camp with prior championship round experience. In contrast, Cong is older than the average age for women's Flyweight, on short notice, and trying five rounds for the first time. For that reason, I would target a live bet on Silva anytime after Round 1, with the optimal price point likely coming sometime during or after Round 2.

I do expect this fight to end inside the distance slightly more often than the odds suggest, setting that prop at +196, compared to listed odds as high as +210. And I show a correlated edge on Silva to win by Submission (projected +764, listed +1100) or inside the distance (projected +322, listed +400)

Despite showing value on the fight to end by finish, I would consider a Same-Game Parlay (SGP) with Silva and Over 2.5 Rounds (-135 at DraftKings) or her odds to win in Round 4 (+2200) or Round 5 (+3000); I think a decent chunk of her finish equity is tied to Cong gassing out at elevation.

Lastly, I would look to the takedown props in a matchup between strikers, as I'm surprised to find Silva's Over 0.5 takedowns priced as a less frequent outcome than Cong's prop at DraftKings; I would take Silva Over 0.5 to around +125, and Cong Under 0.5 to -150, compared to current odds of +140 and -135, respectively.

Bets

Fight Ends Inside the Distance (+210, 0.1u), FanDuel
Natalia Silva wins by Submission (+1100, 0.05u), Hard Rock Bet
Natalia Silva Over 0.5 Takedowns (+140, 0.1u), DraftKings
Natalia Silva Live anytime after Round 1

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Sean Zerillo's UFC 332 Picks & Predictions

For additional notifications about UFC 332 bets, follow me in the Action Network App.

Moneyline Bets

Ismail Naurdiev (-127, 0.5u), Kalshi
Mick Parkin (+100, 0.25u), FanDuel
Roman Kopylov (+210, 0.2u), Caesars
Khaos Williams (+185, 0.15u), FanDuel

Prop Bets, Totals

Court McGee wins by Submission (+850, 0.05u), DraftKings
Marcus McGhee wins Inside the Distance (-105, 0.25u), DraftKings
Alden Coria +3.5 Points (-130, 0.25u), Caesars
Alden Coria wins Inside the Distance (+500, 0.1u), FanDuel
Roman Kopylov Over 0.5 Takedowns (-105, 0.1u), DraftKings
Khaos Williams wins by TKO/KO (+400, 0.1u), BetMGM
King Green, Over 0.5 Takedowns (-135, 0.1u), DraftKings
King Green, Over 53.5 Significant Strikes (-115, 0.1u), DraftKings
Payton Talbott -7.5 Points (-165, 0.1u), Caesars
Payton Talbott Over 0.5 Takedowns (+115, 0.1u), Caesars
Deiveison Figureido Over 0.5 Takedowns (-135, 0.1u), DraftKings
Cong/Silva, Fight Ends Inside the Distance (+210, 0.1u), FanDuel
Natalia Silva wins by Submission (+1100, 0.05u), Hard Rock Bet
Natalia Silva Over 0.5 Takedowns (+140, 0.1u), DraftKings

Parlays

Live Bets

Court McGee Live after Round 1
Rafael dos Anjos Live after Round 1
Bruce Whitehead Live after Round 1
Mick Parkin Live after Round 1
Andrey Pulyaev Live after Round 1
Alden Coria Live after Round 1
Roman Kopylov Live after Round 1
King Green Live after Round 1
Payton Talbott Live after Round 1
Natalia Silva Live anytime after Round 1

About the Author

Sean graduated from the University of Miami and Hofstra University Law School, later passing the New York State Bar Exam in 2014. He shifted from a legal career to sports data and betting, joining the Action Network in 2019 after working as a baseball video scout and in financial regulatory compliance. As a senior writer and betting analyst, Sean provides MLB and MMA projections using proprietary models and contributes to various digital content and podcasts, becoming a leading expert in betting for baseball, MMA, and horse racing.

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This site contains commercial content. We may be compensated for the links provided on this page. The content on this page is for informational purposes only. Action Network makes no representation or warranty as to the accuracy of the information given or the outcome of any game or event.

UFC 332 Predictions, Odds, Picks, Previews for Every Fight (October 3)

UFC 332 Predictions

Court McGee vs. Eric Nolan

Bets

Marvin Vettori vs. Ismail Narudiev

Trade

Rafael Dos Anjos vs. Alexander Hernandez

Bets

Jacobe Smith vs. Bruce Whitehead

Bets

Johnny Walker vs. Mick Parkin

Bets

Anthony Wint vs. Lucas Armand

Bets

Marcus McGhee vs. Anthony Romero

Damian Pinas vs. Andrey Pulayev

Bets

Imanol Rodriguez vs. Alden Coria

Ateba Gautier vs. Roman Kopylov

Bets

Roberto Soldic vs. Khaos Williams

Bets

King Green vs. Esteban Ribovics

Deiveson Figueiredo vs. Payton Talbott

Bets

Natalia Silva vs. Cong Wang

Bets

Sean Zerillo's UFC 332 Picks & Predictions

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UFC 332 Predictions, Odds, Picks, Previews for Every Fight (October 3)

UFC 332 Predictions

Court McGee vs. Eric Nolan

Bets

Marvin Vettori vs. Ismail Narudiev

Trade

Rafael Dos Anjos vs. Alexander Hernandez

Bets

Jacobe Smith vs. Bruce Whitehead

Bets

Johnny Walker vs. Mick Parkin

Bets

Anthony Wint vs. Lucas Armand

Bets

Marcus McGhee vs. Anthony Romero

Damian Pinas vs. Andrey Pulayev

Bets

Imanol Rodriguez vs. Alden Coria

Ateba Gautier vs. Roman Kopylov

Bets

Roberto Soldic vs. Khaos Williams

Bets

King Green vs. Esteban Ribovics

Deiveson Figueiredo vs. Payton Talbott

Bets

Natalia Silva vs. Cong Wang

Bets

Sean Zerillo's UFC 332 Picks & Predictions

Free Guide: 10 Tips to Hit Bigger Same Game Parlays More Often

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