Thunder vs. Nets Odds & Betting Predictions - February 27, 2025

It’s going to be a tough matchup for the MVP Candidate tonight. SGA averages 26.6 PPG in the 15 games this season when Chet Holmgren is in the lineup, and fails to score 31+ points in 12 of these game (80% rate). According to Court IQ, in the 324 minute sample of them being on the court together, no player sees a sharper decline in PPG than SGA with a 6.7 PPG Per-35 minute dip, now having to share the ball with a 17.0 PPG scorer. Holding teams to the 2nd lowest total PTS Per-100 possessions since February, Brooklyn’s defense has been quietly elite. They rank #1 in defensive rating, #4 in points in the paint, #1 at limiting pull-ups (47% of SGA’s FGM) and #1 at limiting the PnR Ball Handeling (27% of SGA’s FGM). They’ll likely force him to pass out and double blitz after the pick. Ultimately, this is a spot where the upside won’t surpass the minutes played and I’m comfortable fading. #PlayerProps

#Tailing @PropBomb