The Detroit Pistons (33-11) and Denver Nuggets (31-15) will face off in the NBA tonight. Tipoff is set for 9:00 p.m. ET from Ball Arena in Denver, Colorado. The game will broadcast live on FDSDET.
The Pistons are 7-point favorites over the Nuggets on the spread (Pistons -7), with the over/under set at 216 total points. Detroit is a -260 favorite to win outright on the moneyline, while Denver is +210 to pull off the upset.
Let's get into my Pistons vs. Nuggets predictions and NBA picks for Tuesday, January 27.
Pistons vs Nuggets Prediction, Picks
- Pistons vs Nuggets pick: Duncan Robinson Over 2.5 Three-Pointers Made (+102)
My Nuggets vs. Pistons best bet is on Duncan Robinson over 2.5 three-pointers made, with the best price currently available at DraftKings, but make sure to find the best odds by checking our live NBA odds page.
Pistons vs Nuggets Odds
| Pistons Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-7 -110 | 216 -110o / -110u | -260 |
| Nuggets Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+7 -110 | 216 -110o / -110u | +210 |
Pistons vs Nuggets NBA Preview
The Nuggets have a defensive scheme and that allows a ton of looks from the corners. While they do limit three-point attempts overall, the corners are where they're a bit more vulnerable.
Denver also isn't great in some spot-up situations, and the injury context matters here.
Aaron Gordon is out, Christian Braun is out, and Cam Johnson is still out, all of which impact the Nuggets' defensive structure.
Even with Jokic out, they continue to switch defensively, but they don't fully trust each other, which leads to extra help and leaves shooters open. It creates some strange looks, especially from the corners.
With Jonas Valanciunas back, they are likely to play a bit more drop, which forces help from the corner on the short roll.
Pistons vs Nuggets Predictions, Betting Analysis
Duncan Robinson over 2.5 threes is the play, and I really like this spot. Robinson is a player whose entire shot diet is built around three-pointers.
While he will always get a few attempts above the break, about 22% of his shots come from the corners — 13% from one corner and 9% from the other — which lines up well with where Denver is most susceptible.
Looking at the numbers, Robinson is averaging 2.9 made threes per game this season for the Pistons, and has cleared over 2.5 threes in roughly 66% of his games so far (27 of 41).
That consistency, paired with Denver's corner vulnerabilities and current defensive absences, makes this a strong setup.
With the Nuggets likely leaning more into drop coverage and extra help, Robinson should have opportunities to get clean looks from his preferred spots.
Pick: Duncan Robinson Over 2.5 Three-Pointers Made (+102)
Nuggets vs Pistons Betting Trends
