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NBA Picks, Odds, Props, Predictions for Monday, November 17

NBA Picks, Odds, Props, Predictions for Monday, November 17 article feature image
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Action Network/Imagn Images: Tyrese Maxey, Donovan Mitchell, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Ryan Kalkbrenner

The NBA regular season is back with another loaded slate of games on Monday night, with a total of eight matchups on the docket scheduled for today, featuring an excellent nationally televised showdown on Peacock, as Bucks vs Cavaliers takes center stage at 7:00 p.m. ET.

Our staff of basketball betting experts dug into the latest odds and identified a total of six NBA picks for tonight's matchups.

Continue below for our NBA picks, odds, props, and predictions for Monday, November 17.

NBA Picks, Odds, Props, Predictions: Monday, November 17

GameTime (ET)Pick
Charlotte Hornets LogoToronto Raptors Logo
7:30 p.m.
Milwaukee Bucks LogoCleveland Cavaliers Logo
7 p.m.
Los Angeles Clippers LogoPhiladelphia 76ers Logo
7 p.m.
New York Knicks LogoMiami Heat Logo
7:30 p.m.
Oklahoma City Thunder LogoNew Orleans Pelicans Logo
8 p.m.
Indiana Pacers LogoDetroit Pistons Logo
7 p.m.
Specific betting recommendations come from the sportsbook offering preferred odds as of writing. Always shop for the best price using our NBA Odds page, which automatically surfaces the best lines for every game.

Playbook

Hornets vs. Raptors

Charlotte Hornets Logo
Monday, November 17
7:30 p.m. ET
NBA League Pass
Toronto Raptors Logo
Ryan Kalkbrenner Over 9.5 Points (+100)
bet365 Logo

By Joe Dellera

The Hornets face off against the Raptors on Monday night, and I’m targeting the rookie big man in this spot.

Kalkbrenner is averaging 10.2 ppg to start off his career, and he’s scored double digit points in 67% of his games including four of his last five.

This spot against the Raptors is an interesting one for him.

While Poeltl is solid defensively, the Raptors have been weaker overall against opposing 5s.

Jay Huff, Claxton, Landale, and Steven Adams have all cleared their points prop recently, and with Kalkbrenner essentially only scoring at the rim, it’s a good spot against this Raptors’ defense that funnels those shots.

Pick: Ryan Kalkbrenner Over 9.5 Points (+100)



Bucks vs. Cavaliers

Milwaukee Bucks Logo
Monday, November 17
7 p.m. ET
Peacock
Cleveland Cavaliers Logo
Cavaliers -7.5 (-105)
bet365 Logo

By Bet Labs

This system identifies NBA teams that have struggled against the spread but are poised for short term correction after another poor showing.

When a team has been consistently failing to cover and comes off another game where they fell short of expectations, the betting market tends to overadjust, shading lines too heavily against them, which appears to be the case for the Cavaliers tonight.

This creates value for disciplined bettors who recognize that spreads often move more on perception than true performance.

Teams in this range are typically being underestimated, especially as the season progresses beyond the early adjustment phase.

In these spots, motivation to respond is high, public sentiment is low, and pricing inefficiencies emerge that favor the side of teams the market has temporarily abandoned.

Pick: Cavaliers -7.5 (-105)



Clippers vs. 76ers

Los Angeles Clippers Logo
Monday, November 17
7 p.m. ET
NBA League Pass
Philadelphia 76ers Logo
Clippers +5.5 (-115)
bet365 Logo

By Dead Pres Picks

We’ll ride with the road underdogs in this matchup.

I expect the Clippers to figure things out sooner rather than later.

The Sixers should not be laying five points in the absence of key players like Joel Embiid, Kelly Oubre Jr. and Adem Bona.

Los Angeles is the deeper team and should be able to take advantage of a thin Sixers bench tonight.

Pick: Clippers +5.5 (-115)



Knicks vs. Heat

New York Knicks Logo
Monday, November 17
7:30 p.m. ET
NBA League Pass
Miami Heat Logo
Heat Moneyline (-125)
bet365 Logo

By Bet Labs

This NBA system identifies regular season matchups where efficient but undervalued teams face opponents with poor defensive metrics.

When a team’s underlying performance indicators, such as Pythagorean strength, exceed public perception, the betting market often undervalues them against weak defensive opponents who allow high scoring efficiency.

These games typically feature modest moneylines that signal balance but overlook the defensive mismatch, which may be the situation for the Heat entering tonight's game against the Knicks.

Slight movement toward the undervalued side reinforces that bettors are slowly recognizing the edge, yet the market remains mispriced.

Over recent seasons, this pattern has rewarded teams whose true performance levels are masked by variance while exploiting opponents that consistently fail to contain efficient offenses, creating a steady opportunity on the moneyline.

NBA Icon
Evan Abrams – Undervalued vs. Bad Defense (SEASON)
the game is played during the Regular season
the opposing team's average points allowed is between 110 and 1000
the opposing team's defensive efficiency is between 110 and 1000
the team's Pythagorean +/- is between 2% and 100%
the closing moneyline is between -205 and 131
the spread change from open to close is between -100 and -0.5
the game was played during the 2025-26 or 2024-25 or 2023-24 or 2022-23 or 2021-22 or 2020-21 season
$1,392
WON
290-207-0
RECORD
58%
WIN%

Pick: Heat Moneyline (-125)



Thunder vs. Pelicans

Oklahoma City Thunder Logo
Monday, November 17
8 p.m. ET
NBA League Pass
New Orleans Pelicans Logo
Saddiq Bey Over 4.5 Rebounds (+120)
bet365 Logo

By Chris Prince

There are some 3.5 lines available in the market, but those are heavily juiced, and I love the plus-odds we are getting on over 4.5 rebounds tonight.

Bey has been playing a much bigger role for this Pelicans team that is dealing with a bunch of injuries right now.

He has logged at least 29 minutes in six straight games, and he has really upped his rebounding with these additional minutes.

Bey is averaging 4.8 rebounds per game on the season, and he has increased those numbers as he's pulled down six or more rebounds in five of his last six games.

It's a tough spot against a very good rebounding team in Oklahoma City, getting plus-odds on a guy that's been getting it done on the glass is a bet I'm willing to make.

Pick: Saddiq Bey Over 4.5 Rebounds (+120)



Pacers vs. Pistons

Indiana Pacers Logo
Monday, November 17
7 p.m. ET
NBA League Pass
Detroit Pistons Logo
Pacers +10.5 (-110)
bet365 Logo

By Bet Labs

The NBA system titled "Road 'Dogs Off ATS Loss" focuses on regular season situations where visiting underdogs are primed for a rebound after failing to cover the spread in their previous game.

These teams often show stronger effort and tighter execution following a poor performance, particularly when facing opponents coming off strong ATS wins who may enter overconfident or slightly overvalued by the market.

The travel factor adds to the motivation, as underdogs on the road tend to play with urgency and discipline to stay competitive.

By isolating games where perception favors the home team and the spread is wide enough to allow value, this system captures bounce back opportunities where public sentiment skews the line, rewarding disciplined bettors who back undervalued road 'dogs in resilient spots.

NBA Icon
Evan Abrams – Road Dogs Off ATS Loss
the previous game the team was the Dog
the team is the Visitor team
the game is played during the Regular season
the team's previous game ATS margin is between -100 and -0.5
the opponent's previous game ATS margin is between 4 and 100
the spread is between 3 and 100
$8,344
WON
896-763-30
RECORD
54%
WIN%

Pick: Pacers +10.5 (-110)



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