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NBA Picks, Props, Odds, Predictions for Friday, January 16

NBA Picks, Props, Odds, Predictions for Friday, January 16 article feature image
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Action Network/Imagn Images: Michael Porter Jr., Joel Embiid, Naz Reid, James Harden

The NBA regular season is back in action with an excellent slate of games this Friday, with a total of six matchups on the docket scheduled for today. So, our staff of basketball betting experts dug into the latest odds and identified NBA picks for all six of tonight's matchups.

Continue below for our NBA picks, odds, props, and predictions for Friday, January 16.

NBA Picks, Odds, Props, Predictions: Friday, January 16

GameTime (ET)Pick
Chicago Bulls LogoBrooklyn Nets Logo
7:30 p.m.
Cleveland Cavaliers LogoPhiladelphia 76ers Logo
7 p.m.
Los Angeles Clippers LogoToronto Raptors Logo
7:30 p.m.
Minnesota Timberwolves LogoHouston Rockets Logo
9:30 p.m.
New Orleans Pelicans LogoIndiana Pacers Logo
7 p.m.
Washington Wizards LogoSacramento Kings Logo
10 p.m.
Specific betting recommendations come from the sportsbook offering preferred odds as of writing. Always shop for the best price using our NBA Odds page, which automatically surfaces the best lines for every game.

Bulls vs. Nets

Chicago Bulls Logo
Friday, Jan. 16
7:30 p.m. ET
NBA League Pass
Brooklyn Nets Logo
Michael Porter Jr. Over 25.5 Points (-110)
bet365 Logo

By Joe Dellera

The Brooklyn Nets host the Chicago Bulls on Friday night, and I’ll target Michael Porter Jr. in what could be one of his last games as a member of the Nets.

This is a great matchup for MPJ in a peak pace-up spot against the Bulls.

He dropped 33 against Chicago earlier this season, as the Bulls are extremely weak at the rim and from beyond the arc with a bottom-10 aDRTG.

When MPJ plays teams that rank top-10 in pace, he averages 30.6 points per game, going over this mark in 8-of-9 games.

His size makes him a total mismatch against this Bulls team, and he should continue to find success as Brooklyn continues to bolster his trade value.

Pick: Michael Porter Jr. Over 25.5 Points (-110)



Playbook

Cavaliers vs. 76ers

Cleveland Cavaliers Logo
Friday, Jan. 16
7 p.m. ET
ESPN
Philadelphia 76ers Logo
Over 232.5 (-110)
bet365 Logo

By Bet Labs

This NBA totals betting system is built on the idea that strong traveling teams can drive pace and scoring in matchups where the market leans too heavily toward the under.

By focusing on regular season games outside of division play, the system avoids slower rivalry environments and taps into contests that tend to be more open and less physical.

It targets overs specifically when the betting public and money trends show a clear lean toward the under, creating a contrarian opportunity where expectations are suppressed but conditions for scoring remain strong.

The away team must be early enough in its season to still carry energy and identity, and it must also be coming off a decisive win, a signal that its offense and confidence are functioning at a high level.

When these elements align, strong road teams often set the tone, push pace, and elevate scoring beyond market expectations, making the over more attractive precisely when it is being overlooked.

NBA Icon
Evan Abrams – Contrarian Overs, Good Road Teams
the game is played during the Regular season
betting on the Over
the game is a Non-Division game
the away team's game number is between 1 and 60
the percentage of dollars on the Under is between 0% and 40%
the visitor team's previous game margin is between 5 and 100
$5,543
WON
823-709-12
RECORD
54%
WIN%

Pick: Over 232.5 (-110)



Clippers vs. Raptors

Los Angeles Clippers Logo
Friday, Jan. 16
7:30 p.m. ET
NBA League Pass
Toronto Raptors Logo
Clippers Moneyline (-125)
bet365 Logo

By Bet Labs

This NBA system identifies profitable moneyline opportunities by fading home teams that are mildly hot but not dominant, especially during the heart of the season.

These situations occur when a team has recently won one or two games and returns home after a short road trip, creating inflated market confidence and public bias.

When those same teams were underdogs in their previous game, bettors often overreact to the perceived turnaround, driving prices beyond fair value.

Visiting teams benefit from this pricing inefficiency, as motivation and focus tend to be stronger for road squads facing temporarily overvalued opponents.

The effect is most pronounced in winter months when travel schedules and fatigue begin to normalize early season variance, allowing disciplined contrarian bettors to take advantage of short-term overperformance by home favorites.

NBA Icon
Evan Abrams – Fade Just Got Home
the team is the Visitor team
the previous game the opponent was the Dog
the game is played during the Regular season
the opposing team's home/away streak is between 1 and 1 games
the opponent's Win/Loss streak is -1 or 1 or 2 games
the closing moneyline is between -205 and 100000
the game was played in November or January or December
$13,140
WON
842-1174-0
RECORD
42%
WIN%

Pick: Clippers Moneyline (-125)



Timberwolves vs. Rockets

Minnesota Timberwolves Logo
Friday, Jan. 16
9:30 p.m. ET
ESPN
Houston Rockets Logo
Naz Reid Under 16.5 Points (-130)
FanDuel Logo

By Kyle Murray

Naz Reid is always capable of getting hot and scoring in bunches, but the under projects well here, as this number is a bit too inflated due to the absence of Anthony Edwards.

Reid actually doesn't see much of a usage spike with Edwards out — and with Gobert back, we likely see Reid's minutes in the mid-to-high 20s in this game.

Pick: Naz Reid Under 16.5 Points (-130)



Pelicans vs. Pacers

New Orleans Pelicans Logo
Friday, Jan. 16
7 p.m. ET
NBA League Pass
Indiana Pacers Logo
Pacers Moneyline (-155)
bet365 Logo

By Bet Labs

This NBA system identifies regular season matchups where efficient but undervalued teams face opponents with poor defensive metrics.

When a team’s underlying performance indicators, such as Pythagorean strength, exceed public perception, the betting market often undervalues them against weak defensive opponents who allow high scoring efficiency.

These games typically feature modest moneylines that signal balance but overlook the defensive mismatch.

Slight movement toward the undervalued side reinforces that bettors are slowly recognizing the edge, yet the market remains mispriced.

Over recent seasons, this pattern has rewarded teams whose true performance levels are masked by variance while exploiting opponents that consistently fail to contain efficient offenses, creating a steady opportunity on the moneyline.

NBA Icon
Evan Abrams – Undervalued vs. Bad Defense (SEASON)
the game is played during the Regular season
the opposing team's average points allowed is between 110 and 1000
the opposing team's defensive efficiency is between 110 and 1000
the team's Pythagorean +/- is between 2% and 100%
the closing moneyline is between -205 and 131
the spread change from open to close is between -100 and -0.5
the game was played during the 2025-26 or 2024-25 or 2023-24 or 2022-23 or 2021-22 or 2020-21 season
$1,673
WON
309-220-0
RECORD
58%
WIN%

Pick: Pacers Moneyline (-155)



Wizards vs. Kings

Washington Wizards Logo
Friday, Jan. 16
10 p.m. ET
NBA League Pass
Sacramento Kings Logo
Alex Sarr Over 28.5 Points, Rebounds, & Assists (-116)
DraftKings  Logo

By Kyle Murray

Alex Sarr was ejected early into his last game after spiking the ball, but this is a great bounce-back spot for him against a Kings team that has allowed the 2nd-most points in the paint this season.

There is a chance they get Sabonis back, but even if they do, he will likely be on a strict minutes restriction.

Sarr has also seen a nice usage bump since CJ McCollum was traded away.

Pick: Alex Sarr Over 28.5 Points, Rebounds, & Assists (-116)



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