Tuesday’s Best NBA Player Props: Betting Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Points, More
Pictured: Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Photo Credit: Bill Streicher-USA Today Sports
- Tuesday's three-game NBA slate features two player prop bets offering value.
- This piece will focus on Rockets F P.J. Tucker and Clippers PG Shai Gilgeous-Alexander.
Tuesday’s best NBA player props focus on two of the slate’s three games:
- Portland Trail Blazers at Houston Rockets: 8 p.m. ET on NBATV
- Toronto Raptors at Los Angeles Clippers: 10:30 p.m. ET on NBATV
As a reminder, you can dig deeper on these and many other prop bets by using our FantasyLabs NBA Player Props Tool. It leverages our NBA projections against five of the most popular online sportsbooks and grades each prop on a scale of one to 10.
Let’s dive right in.
Rockets F P.J. Tucker
The Pick: Over six rebounds (-105 at Bovada)
Tucker is better known for things that don’t show up in the box score — grittiness, toughness, heart, etc. — but that doesn’t mean he can’t provide some value in the prop market.
Tucker played a whopping 39 minutes in the Rockets’ last game and is currently projected for 35.5 minutes in our FantasyLabs NBA Models. If he’s going to play that much, this rebound prop feels low: He’s averaged 7.3 rebounds per 36 minutes throughout his career. He’s also corralled at least six rebounds in seven of his past nine games.
I like Tucker’s ability to contribute on the glass as long as he remains a big part of the Rockets rotation. I’d play the over up to -140.
Clippers PG Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
The Pick: Over 12.0 points (-167 at BetOnline)
This bet is contingent on the status of Lou Williams, who is listed as questionable as of writing. That said, given the Clippers’ depth and the fact that this game is the second leg of a back-to-back, I think it’s more likely that Williams sits than plays. His absence would result in a few additional minutes for SGA, who scored 16 points in 33.5 minutes in Monday’s contest.
The Raptors are a tough test — they rank fifth in the league in terms of defensive efficiency — but this game should at least feature a bunch of possessions: Both of these teams play at a top-12 pace.
There’s definitely some risk in locking in this line before the Williams’ news is official, but this line could also increase if he’s ultimately ruled out. I think it’s worth the risk, but I wouldn’t play it if the juice were much greater.