The Portland Trail Blazers (8-13) and Memphis Grizzlies (9-13) will face off in the NBA tonight. Tipoff is set for 6:00 p.m. EST from FedExForum in Memphis, Tenn. The game will broadcast live on KUNP.
The Grizzlies are favored by -1.5 on the spread, with the over/under set at 231.5 total points. The Grizzlies are -120 favorites to win outright on the moneyline, while the Trail Blazers are +100 to pull off the upset.
Let's get into my Trail Blazers vs. Grizzlies predictions and NBA picks for Sunday, December 7.
My Trail Blazers vs Grizzlies Prediction
- Trail Blazers vs Grizzlies pick: Blazers ML (-102)
My Trail Blazers vs Grizzlies best bet is on Portland to win outright, with the best price currently available at bet365. But as always, make sure to find the best odds by checking our live NBA odds page.
Trail Blazers vs Grizzlies Odds
| Trail Blazers Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -115 | 231.5 -110o / -110u | +100 |
| Grizzlies Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 -105 | 231.5 -110o / -110u | -120 |
Trail Blazers vs Grizzlies NBA Preview
The Grizzlies come into this matchup with a 10-13 record and riding an impressive stretch of form that included a few tough losses — they’ve dropped only two of their last eight games.
This game is crucial for Tuomas Iisalo’s squad, who will look to capitalize on their momentum to keep climbing the standings and solidify a potential Playoff spot.
With Ja Morant (calf) now doubtful, the Grizzlies’ win condition leans heavily on Jaren Jackson Jr., especially in what shapes up to be a key matchup against Deni Avdija.
The Trail Blazers come into this game after a 122-116 road loss to the Detroit Pistons despite standout performances from Deni Avdija (35 pts – 3 3PM – 9 Reb) and Jerami Grant (29 pts – 4 3PM).
Tiago Splitter continues to struggle putting together a reliable perimeter defense due to the long list of injuries.
Tonight, even at home, the Blazers won’t have the most favorable matchup given the Grizzlies’ perimeter firepower. However, if they manage to effectively contest Memphis’ 3-point attempts, the game could open up in Portland’s favor.
Trail Blazers vs Grizzlies Prediction, Betting Analysis
This system identifies NBA regular-season matchups where efficient but undervalued teams face opponents with poor defensive metrics.
When a team’s underlying performance indicators, such as Pythagorean strength, exceed public perception, the betting market often undervalues them against weak defensive opponents who allow high scoring efficiency.
These games typically feature modest moneylines that signal balance but overlook the defensive mismatch.
Slight movement toward the undervalued side reinforces that bettors are slowly recognizing the edge, yet the market remains mispriced.
Over recent seasons, this pattern has rewarded teams whose true performance levels are masked by variance while exploiting opponents that consistently fail to contain efficient offenses, creating a steady opportunity on the moneyline.
Pick: Trail Blazers ML
Spread
We don't see value on the spread line.
Moneyline
As mentioned, Evan Abrams' Undervalued vs Bad Defense system fits perfectly for this game. We are backing Portland Moneyline.
Over/Under
We are also staying away from game totals.
Grizzlies vs Trail Blazers Betting Trends
