Wednesday NBA PrizePicks Player Props: Target Al Horford & Brook Lopez Overs in Game 5 of Bucks vs. Celtics

Wednesday NBA PrizePicks Player Props: Target Al Horford & Brook Lopez Overs in Game 5 of Bucks vs. Celtics article feature image

Via Stacy Revere/Getty Images. Pictured: Al Horford #42 of the Boston Celtics shoots over Brook Lopez #11 of the Milwaukee Bucks.

  • Our NBA props analyst has found two plays on big men in Game 5 of Bucks vs. Celtics.
  • With Al Horford and Brook Lopez playing key roles in this matchup, you should target two of their overs.
  • Check out Brandon Anderson's picks and analysis below.

Player props have become among the most popular bets in the industry, but while the amount of states with legalized gambling is growing, some may feel left out.

Enter: PrizePicks.

With PrizePicks, you get the opportunity to essentially parlay game prop over/unders with cash payouts depending on how many you get correct on that day’s slate.

You can do a Flex Play or a Power Play. A Flex Play gives you lesser odds, but you can win money even if you don’t nail every pick. Meanwhile, a Power Play is similar to a parlay — it’s all or nothing.

Here’s how I would approach today’s slate in NBA Playoffs slate.

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NBA PrizePicks Parlay

Brook Lopez Over 17.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists

This series has slowly — or maybe quickly — turned into a rock fight. Giannis Antetokounmpo has played the part of Thanos, destroyer of worlds and controller of the paint on both ends, but he’s not doing it alone. As the series has progressed, Brook Lopez has taken more and more of a role beside Antetokounmpo in the paint.

On one end, that means doing what Lopez does best, protecting the rim. But he’s really shown up on the other end too, as a scorer. Points have been impossibly hard to come by in this series, and with Boston switching so well and making everything difficult, Milwaukee is going old school at times and just getting the ball to its giant center in the post, usually with a smaller defender on him, letting him get a bucket the old-fashioned way.

Lopez had 17 points in Game 4, and he had 13 and 10 in a Game 3 double-double. He doesn’t get many assists, but with 24 and 23 points plus rebounds the last two games, we may not need them. This line has failed to adjust up for the way Milwaukee is deploying its big man. Take advantage.

Al Horford Over 2 Made 3s

Game 4 was the game of Al Horford’s life, and that’s no small statement for a guy who has played well over 1000 professional games and won back-to-back national championships in college. Horford defended Antetokounmpo on one end about as well as possible, and he hit five 3s and racked up 30 points on the other end to lead the Celtics to victory.

Horford probably won’t score 30 again in Game 5, though it’d hardly be a surprise with the way he’s been great all series at 18.8 points and 11.3 rebounds per game. But the one thing we can feel pretty confident in at this point is that Horford is going to get some 3-point shots up.

Horford has had the ultimate green light from deep against Milwaukee’s drop coverage, and he’s attempted 28 treys in four games, an average of seven attempts per game. He has at least four makes in all but one game this series, and even better, a below average game of 2-of-7 still pushes this pick and isn’t a loss.

With the volume Horford is getting from deep, this line is just too good to pass up.

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Nick Sterling
May 26, 2024 UTC