2023 NCAA Tournament Odds: Expert Projections for First Round Matchups Credit: Isaiah Vazquez/NCAA Photos via Getty Images.
Updated:
Mar 12, 2023, 10:59 PM EDT
My initial reaction to the NCAA Tournament draw: Kansas got a raw deal. Houston is the No. 2 overall seed and gets a far more favorable draw in the Midwest region than the No. 3 Jayhawks.
NCAA Tournament odds are out, and my numbers are matched up with them. I’ll be making player prop picks throughout the tournament and will unveil my bracket before games tip off.
Now, here are my projected spreads for the first round!
West Region No. 1 Kansas vs. No. 16 Howard
Koerner’s Projected Spread Kansas -23.9
Actual Spread Kansas -21.5
Koerner’s Projected Over/Under 142.4
Actual Over/Under 145.5
Odds via FanDuel .
No. 8 Arkansas vs. No. 9 Illinois
Koerner’s Projected Spread Arkansas -2.5
Actual Spread Arkansas -2
Koerner’s Projected Over/Under 140.5
Actual Over/Under 145.5
Odds via bet365 .
No. 5 Saint Mary’s vs. No. 12 VCU
Koerner’s Projected Spread Saint Mary’s -8
Actual Spread Saint Mary’s -5
Koerner’s Projected Over/Under 123.3
Actual Over/Under 120.5
Odds via bet365 .
No. 4 UConn vs. No. 13 Iona
Koerner’s Projected Spread UConn -13.5
Actual Spread N/A
Koerner’s Projected Over/Under 142.5
Actual Over/Under N/A
Odds via bet365 .
No. 6 TCU vs. No. 11 Arizona State/Nevada No odds available.
No. 3 Gonzaga vs. No. 14 Grand Canyon
Koerner’s Projected Spread Gonzaga -19
Actual Spread Gonzaga -14.5
Koerner’s Projected Over/Under 154
Actual Over/Under 156.5
Odds via bet365 .
No. 7 Northwestern vs. No. 10 Boise State
Koerner’s Projected Spread Boise State -1
Actual Spread Boise State -1.5
Koerner’s Projected Over/Under 127.7
Actual Over/Under 128.5
Odds via bet365 .
No. 2 UCLA vs. No. 15 UNC Asheville
Koerner’s Projected Spread UCLA -21
Actual Spread UCLA -19.5
Koerner’s Projected Over/Under 132.8
Actual Over/Under 134.5
Odds via bet365 .
VIDEO
East Region No. 1 Purdue vs. No. 16 Texas Southern/Farleigh Dickinson No odds available.
No. 8 Memphis vs. No. 9 Florida Atlantic
Koerner’s Projected Spread Memphis -1.7
Actual Spread Memphis -2.5
Koerner’s Projected Over/Under 147.1
Actual Over/Under 151,5
Odds via bet365 .
No. 5 Duke vs. No. 12 Oral Roberts
Koerner’s Projected Spread Duke -7
Actual Spread Duke -7.5
Koerner’s Projected Over/Under 143.9
Actual Over/Under N/A
Odds via bet365 .
No. 4 Tennessee vs. No. 13 Louisiana
Koerner’s Projected Spread Tennessee -17.5
Actual Spread Tennessee -10
Koerner’s Projected Over/Under 135.9
Actual Over/Under 136
Odds via bet365 .
No. 6 Kentucky vs. No. 11 Providence
Koerner’s Projected Spread Kentucky -3.5
Actual Spread Kentucky -3.5
Koerner’s Projected Over/Under 147.5
Actual Over/Under N/A
Odds via bet365 .
No. 3 Kansas State vs. No. 14 Montana State
Koerner’s Projected Spread KSU -13.5
Actual Spread KSU -9.5
Koerner’s Projected Over/Under 135.8
Actual Over/Under N/A
Odds via FanDuel .
No. 7 Michigan State vs. No. 10 USC
Koerner’s Projected Spread MSU -2
Actual Spread MSU -1.5
Koerner’s Projected Over/Under 137.9
Actual Over/Under N/A
Odds via FanDuel .
No. 2 Marquette vs. No. 15 Vermont
Koerner’s Projected Spread MU -13
Actual Spread MU -11
Koerner’s Projected Over/Under 146.7
Actual Over/Under 145.5
Odds via bet365 .
Midwest Region No. 1 Houston vs. No. 16 Northern Kentucky
Koerner’s Projected Spread Houston -25.5
Actual Spread Houston -20
Koerner’s Projected Over/Under 126.7
Actual Over/Under 121.5
Odds via bet365 .
No. 8 Iowa vs. No. 9 Auburn
Koerner’s Projected Spread Auburn -2
Actual Spread Auburn -1
Koerner’s Projected Over/Under 150.9
Actual Over/Under 153
Odds via bet365 .
No. 5 Miami (FL) vs. No. 12 Drake
Koerner’s Projected Spread Miami -5.5
Actual Spread Miami -4
Koerner’s Projected Over/Under 145.1
Actual Over/Under 147.5
Odds via bet365 .
No. 4 Indiana vs. No. 13 Kent State
Koerner’s Projected Spread Indiana -4.5
Actual Spread Indiana -4
Koerner’s Projected Over/Under 137.5
Actual Over/Under 140.5
Odds via bet365 .
No. 6 Iowa State vs. No. 11 Mississippi State/Pittsburgh No odds available.
No. 3 Xavier vs. No. 14 Kennesaw State
Koerner’s Projected Spread Xavier -14
Actual Spread Xavier -11.5
Koerner’s Projected Over/Under 151.2
Actual Over/Under 155.5
Odds via bet365 .
No. 7 Texas A&M vs. No. 10 Penn State
Koerner’s Projected Spread Texas A&M -4.5
Actual Spread Texas A&M -2.5
Koerner’s Projected Over/Under 141.6
Actual Over/Under 133.5
Odds via bet365 .
No. 2 Texas vs. No. 15 Colgate
Koerner’s Projected Spread Texas -16.5
Actual Spread Texas -13
Koerner’s Projected Over/Under 149
Actual Over/Under 147.5
Odds via bet365 .
South Region No. 1 Alabama vs. TBD Odds not available.
No. 8 Maryland vs. No. 9 West Virginia
Koerner’s Projected Spread Pick’em
Actual Spread WVU -1.5
Koerner’s Projected Over/Under 141.2
Actual Over/Under 140.5
Odds via bet365 .
No. 5 San Diego State vs. No. 12 Charleston
Koerner’s Projected Spread SDSU -8.5
Actual Spread SDSU -4.5
Koerner’s Projected Over/Under 139.5
Actual Over/Under 141.5
Odds via bet365 .
No. 4 Virginia vs. No. 13 Furman
Koerner’s Projected Spread Virginia -8.8
Actual Spread Virginia -5.5
Koerner’s Projected Over/Under 138.4
Actual Over/Under 133.5
Odds via bet365 .
No. 6 Creighton vs. No. 11 NC State
Koerner’s Projected Spread Creighton -7
Actual Spread Creighton -4.5
Koerner’s Projected Over/Under 144.2
Actual Over/Under N/A
Odds via bet365 .
No. 3 Baylor vs. No. 14 UC Santa Barbara
Koerner’s Projected Spread Baylor -13.4
Actual Spread Baylor -10.5
Koerner’s Projected Over/Under 147.4
Actual Over/Under N/A
Odds via FanDuel .
No. 7 Missouri vs. No. 10 Utah State
Koerner’s Projected Spread Utah State -3.5
Actual Spread Utah State -1.5
Koerner’s Projected Over/Under 159.5
Actual Over/Under 154
Odds via bet365 .
No. 2 Arizona vs. No. 15 Princeton Odds not available because of New Jersey betting regulations.
How would you rate this article?
This site contains commercial content . We may be compensated for the links provided on this page. The content on this page is for informational purposes only. Action Network makes no representation or warranty as to the accuracy of the information given or the outcome of any game or event.
