Chicago State vs. Loyola is PRO Projections' most confident game to predict Sunday.
Thursday's 5 p.m. ET college basketball showdown between the Cougars and Ramblers on MARQ is flying under the radar, but it stands out due to how far the odds differ from Action PRO's advanced betting models.
PRO Projections use sophisticated models to generate true odds based on team performance metrics, which are then compared against market lines and money movement to identify value bets. These plays are assigned A, B or C grades to highlight confidence levels.
Both of today's Chicago State vs. Loyola picks — the spread and the over/under — earned A grades, with each sitting roughly five points off the market.
Chicago State vs Loyola Odds: Projections 2 Big Spread, Over/Under Picks
Chicago State enters the game with a 1-9 record, while Loyola sits at 3-7.
Ugly on paper, sure… but loaded with value!
Current odds list Loyola as a 13.5-point favorite, with an over/under set at 140.5. However, PRO Projections reveal notable discrepancies. The fair spread for Loyola is closer to -8.6, indicating the market may be overestimating the Ramblers. This gap earns a strong A grade on Chicago State to cover the inflated number, especially with 66% of the money backing the underdog Cougars.
As for the total, the market's 140.5 appears a bit low compared to PRO's projected total of 145.3. That suggests value on the over, which earns an A- grade from PRO, signaling a potential edge on a higher-scoring game than currently priced.
The predictive model estimates a final score near 77-68 in favor of Loyola.
Pick: Chicago State to Cover
Pick: Chicago State vs. Loyola Over
PRO Game Score Prediction: Chicago State 68 | Loyola 77
Our PRO signals flag far more great picks than our staff could author each day — that's where Action AI comes in. Using generative AI, signals that hit a high-grade threshold are written up into articles that are then vetted and edited by a human to help us get you all the sharp action. Read more about how it works here.
