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College Basketball Best Bets: 3 NCAAB Picks for Saturday, November 7

College Basketball Best Bets: 3 NCAAB Picks for Saturday, November 7 article feature image
4 min read
Credit:

IMAGN IMAGES via Reuters Connect. Pictured: Bryan Hodgson (Providence)

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While all eyes are on the plethora of ranked matchups in college football on Saturday, we can't ignore the passion college hoops fans who want to bet their sport.

Thus, our staff has found three spots with value as part of Saturday's hoops slate.

Read below for college basketball best bets, including three NCAAB picks for Saturday, November 7.

Be sure to download the Action Network app for more expert picks and analysis!


3 College Basketball Best Bets

GameTime (ET)Pick
Toledo Rockets LogoMarshall Thundering Herd Logo
2 p.m.
San Diego State Aztecs LogoColorado Buffaloes Logo
3:30 p.m.
Providence Friars LogoNebraska Cornhuskers Logo
7 p.m.
Specific betting recommendations come from the sportsbook offering preferred odds as of writing. Always shop for the best price using our NCAAB Odds page, which automatically surfaces the best lines for every game.

Toledo vs. Marshall

Toledo Rockets Logo
Saturday, Nov. 7
2 p.m. ET
ESPN+
Marshall Thundering Herd Logo
Marshall -2.5
DraftKings  Logo

By Evan Abrams

This mid-afternoon matchup may not be the best on the college basketball slate, but it's arguably the best value on the board.

My Bet Labs Sports Insights "Bad Expectation Favorites" system says that Marshall -2.5 is the play for this affair.

In fact, this system owns a 4% return on investment (ROI) all-time and has posted a 2-1 record so far this season.

NCAAB Icon
Evan Abrams – Bad Expectation Favorites
the team is the Favorite
the game is played during the Postseason or Regular season
the team's game number is between 1 and 9
the team's previous season win total is between 14 and 100
the team's previous season ATS Win % is between 0% and 41%
the spread is between -9.5 and 100
$2,715
WON
363-311-14
RECORD
54%
WIN%

This system focuses on early season college basketball favorites that underperformed expectations the year before.

These teams typically won games outright but failed to cover spreads, leading bettors to view them as unreliable favorites.

The market often reacts by undervaluing them at the start of the new season, creating opportunity in games one through nine when rosters have matured and preseason adjustments take hold.

By limiting to spreads inside 10 points, the focus stays on competitive matchups where talent can outweigh perception.

These teams usually return enough production to remain strong straight-up, but now carry lighter betting pressure and more realistic lines.

In essence, "Bad Expectation Favorites" are teams that disappointed gamblers last season but have corrected their market price early, offering value before the betting public catches up.

Pick: Marshall -2.5


San Diego State vs. Colorado

San Diego State Aztecs Logo
Saturday, Nov. 7
3:30 p.m. ET
USA Network
Colorado Buffaloes Logo
San Diego State -2.5
DraftKings  Logo

By Sean Paul

Colorado began its year by crushing Abilene Christian, 94-59. That’s a great sight for veteran HC Tad Boyle, as most of last year's team hit the transfer portal.

On the flip side, you can lock Brian Dutcher in for 20+ wins every season. In fact, the Aztecs won 22+ games in all of Dutcher's seasons as HC, dating back to 2018.

This isn't the same SDSU team, though. Dutcher adjusted his style, which very few coaches would do after winning 20+ games every season. The Aztecs began playing faster last year, jumping from 245th in adjusted tempo to 104th.

Still, it ranked just 99th in offensive efficiency. A faster offense doesn't always mean a better offense.

This year, I am optimistic about SDSU being a good offense. It scored 102 points on 1.25 PPP in the season-opening win over Cal State Fullerton.

Although SDSU struggled defensively against Cal State Fullerton, I expect Dutcher to get them on track. It's not a lack of talent thing; it's that Fullerton plays fast and SDSU just wasn't locked in on that end.

Dutcher, being the defensive tactician that he is, I expect them to bounce back.

Give me SDSU.

Pick: San Diego State -2.5 (Play to -4)


Providence vs. Nebraska

Providence Friars Logo
Saturday, Nov. 7
7 p.m. ET
FS1
Nebraska Cornhuskers Logo
Providence +2.5
FanDuel Logo

By Ryan Minion

We are in for a phenomenal matchup on Saturday night as Providence and Nebraska get ready to square off in a Hall of Fame Tip-Off showdown at Mohegan Sun.

Though Saturday’s matchup will evidently be played at a neutral site, the Friar Fanatics typically travel very well, and I expect Providence to have a slight crowd advantage, which could definitely be a difference-maker in a closely contested matchup.

The Cornhuskers undoubtedly looked impressive on opening night, but I'm extremely high on this Providence team after a significant influx of talent via the transfer portal in Bryan Hodgson’s first year at the helm.

I definitely think Nebraska’s 2.5-point line is somewhat fair considering how well Fred Hoiberg’s bunch performed in last year’s NCAA Tournament. I just think the Friars are catching too many points in a game I would price closer to a “pick’em."

I feel confident backing Providence +2.5 in what should be an extremely entertaining game for all 40 minutes.

Pick: Providence +2.5

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