Underdogs priced at +142, +160, +164 and +260 on the moneyline are all live to win outright today, according to PRO data.
Projections are out for Wednesday. Advanced PRO models shade a huge edge to four plus-money picks in particular, including one grade-A confidence outright prediction.
Below, I’ll break down all four moneyline underdogs bettors should consider, which also form a +5879 college basketball parlay for today.
Big edges are popping, with action tipping off at 7:30 p.m. ET. Let’s dive into the moneyline picks and projection insights.
College Basketball Parlay Today: +5879 Moneyline Underdog Pick
First up, at 7:30 p.m. ET, take Louisiana Tech to upset Tulane.
Tulane is -4.5 on the spread, but PRO Projections peg the favorite closer to -2.1, shading a sizable edge to Louisiana Tech.
La Tech’s moneyline sits at +160 (FanDuel), implying a 38% chance to win.
PRO, meanwhile, assigns Louisiana Tech a fair price of +123, giving the Bulldogs a 45% win probability.
Implied Win Probability: 38%
PRO Win Probability: 45%
Pick: Louisiana Tech Moneyline
Next, in the same window, consider Houston Christian to trip up Nicholls State.
Nicholls State is -3.5 on the spread, but the PRO line is much shorter at just -2.1. FanDuel’s moneyline price of +164 on Houston Christian stands out as a strong value, considering PRO prices the Huskies closer to +123.
Implied Win Probability: 38%
PRO Win Probability: 45%
Pick: Houston Christian Moneyline
At 8:30 p.m. ET, Texas State is live to win against Arkansas State.
Texas State is +3.5 on the spread. PRO, meanwhile, expects Bobcats vs. Red Wolves to come down to the wire, with a fair line closer to Texas State +1.4.
With the best odds on the underdog sitting at +142 (FanDuel), projections give the green light, submitting true odds of +106.
Implied Win Probability: 41%
PRO Win Probability: 48%
Pick: Texas State Moneyline
Finally, look out for Eastern Washington to shock Washington State tonight.
Eastern Washington is +7.5 on the spread and +260 on the moneyline (FanDuel). Compared to PRO’s projected +5.1 spread and +197 moneyline price, this shapes up as a solid outright look on the Eagles.
Implied Win Probability: 28%
PRO Win Probability: 34%
