Selection Sunday is inching closer.
That means it's time to take a look at our proprietary model, which will help focus in and find edges for game totals to bring you our college basketball best bets.
With that in mind, here are our college basketball picks and two bets for Saturday, February 28.
You can find all of our picks daily in the free Action Network app:
Seton Hall vs UConn Prediction
UConn is a juggernaut at home, where the Huskies average 80 points per game. In fact they have cleared their team total in 14 of their 16 games at Gampel Pavilion.
The Huskies are shooting 52.3% from the field and nearly 40% from 3-point range in Big East play.
Seton Hall’s possessions per game jump by nearly 8% when trailing by double digits in the second half, which is the exact scenario oddsmakers expect for this matchup, as UConn enters as a -13.5 favorite.
The Pirates have shown they can score on the road this year, averaging 71 PPG away from home and hitting the over in 10 of their 12 road contests.
With both KenPom and our internal model projecting a final score closer to 136, there's significant value in the current line of 129.5.
Pick: Over 129.5 or Better
Arkansas vs Florida Prediction
The Razorbacks head to Gainesville to take on the Gators in an SEC clash between top-20 teams.
While both teams love a fast pace, this total is likely inflated by recency bias following Arkansas’ 115-point explosion in a double-overtime thriller against Alabama last week.
Florida’s defense has been locking down opponents in Gainesville, giving up just 67.8 points per game.
The Gators have seen the total go under in seven of their last 10 games, while the Hogs have mirrored that trend with their road totals also going under in seven of their last 10.
With our model projecting a final tally of 162 and KenPom sitting even more conservative at 158, there’s a significant statistical cushion suggesting these teams will stay well below the 167.5 mark.
Pick: Under 167.5 or Better
