CBB Sharp Report: Pros Betting UNC-Duke, 2 Other Wednesday Games


Duke Blue Devils forward Cam Reddish. Credit: Rob Kinnan-USA TODAY Sports

Feb 20, 2019, 02:39 PM EST
  • Wiseguys are betting three college basketball games on Wednesday, headlined by North Carolina-Duke (9 p.m. ET on ESPN).
  • Sharps are also getting down on Xavier-Seton Hall (7 p.m. ET on CBS Sports Network) and Creighton-Depaul (9 p.m. ET on FSN).
  • Using the tools available at The Action Network, we analyze how pros are betting each game.

NBA action returns tomorrow. But for one more day, it’s all about college hoops. Since it’s the only game in town, recreational bettors will continue to flood the market with square money, providing additional contrarian value and an increased edge to the wiseguys.

After analyzing Wednesday’s stacked 46-game slate using the betting tools available at Sports Insights and The Action Network, I’ve identified three games receiving sharp action from professional bettors, with start times of 7 p.m. and 9 p.m. ET.

Betting Terms to Know

Steam Move: Sudden, drastic and uniform line movement across the market caused by an overload of sharp action from respected players.

Reverse Line Movement: When the betting line moves in the opposite direction of the betting percentages. It’s a top smart money indicator.

Line Freeze: When one side is getting heavy betting, but the line won’t budge, indicating sharp liability on the other side.

Juice: The tax or commission that bettors must pay sportsbooks in order for them to accept your wager. A -115 juice means a bettor would have to wager $115 to win $100.

Xavier @ Seton Hall

7 p.m. ET | CBS Sports Network

Sharp angle: Xavier (moved from +6.5 to +5)

Casual bettors rarely look at betting percentages, line movement, power rankings or historical data when making a pick. Instead, they focus almost exclusively on won-loss records. Always bet the team with the better record.

Not the sharps. They know it’s never that easy.

Seton Hall (16-9) opened as a 6.5-point home favorite against visiting Xavier (13-13). Naturally, nearly 75% of bets are laying the points with the Pirates.

However, despite receiving such heavy public support, Seton Hall has fallen from -6.5 to -5. What caused the peculiar line movement? Follow the money.

Xavier is receiving only 28% of bets but 68% of dollars. This heavy smart money discrepancy signals that big wagers are grabbing the points, not laying them.

Creighton @ Depaul

9 p.m. ET | FSN