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Gonzaga vs. Arkansas Odds, Opening Spread, Predictions for March Madness Sweet 16

Gonzaga vs. Arkansas Odds, Opening Spread, Predictions for March Madness Sweet 16 article feature image
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Jamie Schwaberow/NCAA Photos via Getty Images. Pictured: Drew Timme.

Gonzaga vs. Arkansas Odds

Gonzaga Odds -8.5
Arkansas Odds +8.5
Over/Under 155
Odds via DraftKings. Find our expert’s projected odds below.

After four days of madness, the 2022 NCAA Tournament rolls into the Sweet 16, where No. 1 Gonzaga will face No. 4 Arkansas. Find our expert’s projected odds and more about how these teams match up below.

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Projected Gonzaga vs. Arkansas Odds

Projected Gonzaga Odds -9.5
Projected Arkansas Odds +9.5
Projected Over/Under 147.4
March Madness projections as of Selection Sunday. Find the latest NCAA Tournament projections here.
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More About Gonzaga

D.J. James: Gonzaga is still the best team in the country.

The Zags maintained the second-best offense and seventh-best defense through the WCC Tournament, per KenPom. And neither of those rankings changed much after their loss to Saint Mary’s right before the conference tournament — for good reason. The Gaels are a strong team, and that let-down spot for the Zags did not alter their aspirations, as evidenced by them avenging said loss with an 82-69 win over the Gaels in the WCC Tournament final.

This team can hit and guard 3s. Julian Strawther, Rasir Bolton, Andrew Nembhard and Chet Holmgren each launched at least 97 3-pointers heading into the NCAA Tournament. Nembhard is the least efficient of the four — and he was still hitting outside shots at a 36.5% clip through the WCC Tournament.

The key to defeating the Zags is eliminating their bigs and the mismatches they can create, which ultimately hinders their entire offensive approach. That’s easier said than done against a veteran in Drew Timme and a unique talent in Holmgren, but that will be every opponent’s blueprint in the tournament.

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More About Arkansas

Collin Wilson: Eric Musselman is primed for another run to the Elite Eight and a chance to make the Final Four trip to New Orleans.

Arkansas started the SEC season 0-3 before rattling off 14 wins in 15 conference games. Boasting a 7-2 against-the-spread (ATS) mark on the road, the Razorbacks have more buzz than just a team that depends on the home crowd at Bud Walton Arena. Arkansas has thrived in transition offense with heavy emphasis on finishing at the rim. From a defensive perspective, the Hogs have feasted against heavy screen and post-up offenses.

The key to beating the Razorbacks is a lockdown wing defender on JD Notae and strong protection at the rim. Opponents without those elements will have no luck knocking off the Hogs.

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