Michigan vs. Texas Tech Betting Odds: Opening Spread for NCAA Tournament Sweet 16

Michigan vs. Texas Tech Betting Odds: Opening Spread for NCAA Tournament Sweet 16 article feature image

Michael C. Johnson-USA TODAY Sports

#2 Michigan vs. #3 Texas Tech NCAA Tournament Betting Odds

  • Spread: Michigan -2
  • Over/Under: 126.5
  • Date: Thursday, March 28
  • Time: 9:39 p.m. ET
  • Location: Anaheim, Calif.
  • TV: CBS

Texas Tech didn’t meet much resistance on its way to the Sweet 16, winning its two tournament games by an average of 17.5 points.

Michigan had a similar experience in its first two games, winning by 19 vs. Montana and blowing out Florida by 15.

Michigan’s Statistical Profile

The Michigan Wolverines check in as the sixth-best team in the country, per KenPom’s Adjusted Efficiency Margin metric. This team imposes its will on the defensive end of the court, ranking third in adjusted defense while playing excruciatingly slow in terms of pace.

Clocking in as the sixth-best team in the country according to KenPom, Michigan should be a contender to win the national championship … as long as they don’t run into rival Michigan State. The Spartans handed the Wolverines three of their six losses on the season, including a defeat in Sunday’s Big Ten Conference Championship game. — PJ Walsh

  • Record: 28-6
  • Adj. Efficiency Rank: 6
  • Adj. Offensive Efficiency Rank: 18
  • Adj. Defensive Efficiency Rank: 3
  • Tempo Rank: 317

All advanced metrics via KenPom from before NCAA Tournament.

Texas Tech’s Statistical Profile

Texas Tech finished the season as the best in the country defensively per KenPom’s Adjusted Defensive Efficiency metric and slowed the pace on offense, ranking just 226 of 353 teams in terms of Adjust Tempo.

However, none of that worked in their favor as the Red Raiders — who closed as 12.5-point favorites — lost to West Virginia, 79-74, in the Big 12 Tournament quarterfinals.

With plenty of time to reflect on that loss while preparing for the NCAA Tournament, it’ll be interesting to see whether Chris Beard can make the necessary adjustments to get his team ready for deep tourney run. — PJ Walsh

  • Record: 26-6
  • Adj. Efficiency Rank: 9
  • Adj. Offensive Efficiency Rank: 35
  • Adj. Defensive Efficiency Rank: 1
  • Tempo Rank: 226

All advanced metrics via KenPom from before NCAA Tournament.

Sean Koerner’s Michigan-Texas Tech Projections

Get point spreads for this game and every possible tournament matchup with our bracket simulator built by Sean Koerner, our Director of Predictive Analytics, a former oddsmaker and FantasyPros’ most accurate in-season fantasy football ranker from 2015-2017.

  • Spread: Michigan -1.5
  • Total: 121.5
  • Proj Score: Michigan 61.5 | Texas Tech 60
  • Win Probability: Michigan 53.1% | Texas Tech 46.9%
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