The Michigan Wolverines take on the Oregon Ducks in Eugene, Oregon. Tip-off is set for 4 p.m. ET on NBC.
Michigan is favored by 18.5 points on the spread with a moneyline of -6600. The total is set at 152.5 points.
Here’s my Michigan vs. Oregon prediction and college basketball picks for January 17, 2026.
Michigan vs Oregon Prediction
My Pick: Michigan -18.5
My Michigan vs Oregon best bet is on the Wolverines to cover the spread. For all of your college basketball bets, be sure to find the best lines by using our live NCAAB odds page.
Michigan vs. Oregon Odds
| Michigan Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-18.5 -110 | 155.5 -110o / -110u | -6600 |
| Oregon Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+18.5 -110 | 155.5 -110o / -110u | +1650 |
- Michigan vs Oregon spread: Michigan -18.5
- Michigan vs Oregon over/under: 155.5 points
- Michigan vs Oregon moneyline: Michigan -6600, Oregon +1650
Michigan vs Oregon College Basketball Betting Preview
The No. 1 team in KenPom visits Eugene, Oregon, on Saturday afternoon for a “classic” Big Ten tilt.
Michigan looks to continue its dominant season, although it's looked a little more mortal as of late. After beating just about everybody by 20+ points, Michigan has failed to cover its last three games, perhaps signaling that it's coming back down to Earth … or that it just got kind of bored.
Oregon has been anything but dominant this season, as it's off to one of its worst starts of the Dana Altman era. The Ducks started 0-9 against the spread before covering five straight, but that streak has ended with three straight non-covers. The injury to point guard Jackson Shelstad has been devastating.
Shelstad is likely out once again, and so is Nate Bittle, Oregon’s center and lifeblood on both ends of the floor. Without their star duo, the Ducks are cooked.
Michigan’s defense has been its more dominant end, but it’s really been Michigan’s dominance inside the arc on both ends that's set it apart from the rest of the country.
The Wolverines lead the nation in both 2-point field goal percentage and 2-point field goal percentage allowed, a near impossibility. That dominance will be pronounced against a Bittle-less Oregon frontline. Sean Stewart and Kwame Evans Jr. won't hold up against the best frontcourt in the country.
The Wolverines will look to push the pace in transition and tire the Ducks out. They rank third nationally in offensive tempo, juxtaposed to Oregon’s attack that ranks as the slowest in the Big Ten.
Oregon has struggled to stop transition all season, ranking in just the 11th percentile nationally in points per possession allowed, per Synergy.
Scoring might be impossible for Oregon without Bittle or Shelstad. The Ducks have no creation, and Bittle was central to their post-up and pick-and-roll attack. He was also key on the offensive glass and getting to the foul line. Michigan should have no trouble shutting down the far inferior supporting cast.
Oregon recently lost to Rutgers and by 35 to Nebraska without Shelstad. Now, without Bittle, there’s no reason to expect this game to be within 20 points.
Michigan in a rout.
My Pick: Michigan -18.5
