The Missouri Tigers take on the Texas A&M Aggies in College Station on Wednesday, Feb. 11. Tip-off is set for 9 p.m. ET on SEC Network.
Texas A&M is favored by 6.5 points on the spread with a moneyline of -310. Missouri, meanwhile, enters as a +6.5 underdog and is +250 on the moneyline to pull off the upset. The over/under sits at 157.5 total points.
Here’s my Missouri vs. Texas A&M prediction and college basketball picks for Wednesday, February 11.
Missouri vs Texas A&M Prediction
My Pick: Missouri +6.5 (Play to +5)
My Missouri vs Texas A&M best bet is on the Tigers to cover the spread. For all of your college basketball bets, be sure to find the best lines by using our live NCAAB odds page.
Missouri vs. Texas A&M Odds
| Missouri Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+6.5 -110 | 157.5 -110o / -110u | +250 |
| Texas A&M Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-6.5 -110 | 157.5 -110o / -110u | -310 |
- Missouri vs Texas A&M Spread: Texas A&M -6.5, Missouri +6.5
- Missouri vs Texas A&M Over/Under: 157.5 Points
- Missouri vs Texas A&M Moneyline: Missouri +250, Texas A&M -310
Missouri vs Texas A&M College Basketball Betting Preview
Missouri Basketball
Missouri enters this game at 16-7 on the season and finds itself in bubble territory in early February. The Tigers have dealt with injuries and inconsistent play, but this team is trending in the right direction entering the back half of SEC play.
Dennis Gates’ group has taken care of business against two of the lesser teams in the league recently, defeating Mississippi State at home by five and blowing out South Carolina by 19 on the road.
Mark Mitchell is the heartbeat of this Mizzou team, leading the Tigers in points, rebounds and assists on the season. He’s flanked by elite shooters Jayden Stone, Jacob Crews and Trent Pierce, plus an electric two-way guard in Anthony Robinson.
Mizzou is a big, physical team with impressive positional size. That leads to a top-30 2-point offense and defense nationally. The Tigers also rank 32nd in offensive rebounding rate and 43rd in free-throw rate.
While this team does get to the free-throw line frequently, it has been quite ineffective once it gets there, ranking in the bottom 30 nationally at 67.5% from the stripe.
Defense and defensive rebounding have been the two biggest weaknesses for Gates since he took over the program four years ago, but this team has shown real improvement in those areas as of late.
In SEC play, Missouri ranks fourth in the league in defensive efficiency and eighth in defensive rebounding rate.
Mizzou has its weaknesses, namely poor free-throw shooting and being second-worst in the league in turnover rate, but this team has a high ceiling with its blend of talent, size and shooting.
Texas A&M Basketball
Bucky Ball is one of the best stories in college basketball this season. Five years ago, Bucky McMillan was coaching high school basketball, and in his first year at Texas A&M, he has the Aggies in the mix at the top of the SEC.
A&M is coming off back-to-back losses after starting the season 17-4 and 7-1 in conference play. The Aggies lost by three in Tuscaloosa to an Alabama team with an active Charles Bediako before a 19-point home loss to a red-hot Florida team.
McMillan deploys a unique style of basketball, full-court pressing the entire game to make opponents uncomfortable and speed things up.
He also plays 10-plus guys regularly to keep legs fresh due to the up-and-down nature of these games. The Aggies play at the 26th-fastest pace in the country and rank 60th nationally in defensive turnover rate.
A&M is also sixth nationally in assist rate and 25th in 3-point attempt rate, taking 48% of their field goal attempts from behind the arc while hitting at a 37% clip.
Ruben Dominguez, Rylan Griffen, Pop Isaacs, Ali Dibba and Zach Clemence are all shooting above 40% from long range.
This roster is filled with a balance of fun shot-creating guards and high-level shooters. Six players score in double figures per game.
Small-ball five Rashaun Agee may be the most important player on this team, averaging 14.0 points, 8.8 rebounds, 2.4 assists and nearly two stocks (steals + blocks) per game.
The metrics aren’t fully sold on this A&M team, as they check in at just 33rd on KenPom despite having sole possession of first place in the league a week ago.
The Aggies have definitely won plenty of close games, but this is still a team squarely in the top-25 mix.
Missouri vs Texas A&M Pick, Betting Analysis
A key variable in this game will be Missouri’s ball security.
Texas A&M is elite at forcing turnovers and converting those runouts into open 3s and layups. Missouri has a propensity to be careless with the ball and isn’t great in transition defense either.
However, I’m taking the points with the Tigers here.
I think they’ll be able to get what they want in the half-court offensively and generate plenty of second-chance opportunities against the undersized A&M frontcourt, similar to what Florida just did.
That should balance out — or even outweigh — the extra possessions A&M generates from turnovers. If Missouri does take care of the ball — say less than 12 turnovers — I think this will be an outright win.
Sprinkle on the moneyline if you're feeling frisky.
My Pick: Missouri +6.5 (Play to +5)
