The Providence Friars take on the Butler Bulldogs in New York, N.Y. Tip-off is set for 4:00 p.m. EDT on Peacock.
Providence is favored by -1.5 points on the spread with a moneyline of -122. The total is set at 162.5 points.
Here’s my Providence vs. Butler predictions and college basketball picks for March 11, 2026.
Providence vs Butler Prediction
My Pick: 1H Under 77
My Providence vs Butler best bet is on the first half under. For all of your college basketball bets, be sure to find the best lines by using our live NCAAB odds page.
Providence vs. Butler Odds
| Providence Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 -110 | 162.5 -110o / -110u | -115 |
| Butler Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -110 | 162.5 -110o / -110u | -105 |
- Providence vs Butler spread: Providence -1.5 (-110), Butler +1.5 (-110)
- Providence vs Butler over/under: 162.5 (-110o / -110u)
- Providence vs Butler moneyline: Providence -122, Butler +105
Providence vs Butler College Basketball Betting Preview
Madison Square Garden has been one of the best venues in college basketball for Under bettors.
I’ll admit that a game between Butler and Providence carries some risk when it comes to taking an Under, but I think there is some value.
This is a win-or-go-home game, which tends to slow the tempo a bit.
Both regular-season games went into double overtime. You almost never see that, and we certainly can’t plan for something like that once again.
This is the first game of the tournament, so the two teams have had no time to adjust to the unique shooting backdrop of MSG. This has bothered many far better offensive teams in the past.
What are the numbers like here? ActionLabs shows that a first-half total higher than 72 has gone 34-14 to the Under in the last 48 games at Madison Square Garden.
What about a total of 75 or higher in the first half? Those have gone 16-5 to the Under.
My Pick: 1H Under 77
