The Wake Forest Demon Deacons take on the Clemson Tigers in the 2026 ACC Tournament in Charlotte, N.C., on Wednesday, March 11. Tip-off is set for 9:30 p.m. ET on ESPN2.
Clemson is favored by 6.5 points on the spread with a moneyline of -270. Wake Forest, meanwhile, enters as a +6.5 underdog and is +220 on the moneyline to pull off the upset. The over/under sits at 239.5 total points.
Here’s my Wake Forest vs. Clemson prediction and college basketball picks for Wednesday, March 11.
Wake Forest vs Clemson Prediction, Picks
My Pick: Under 139.5 (Play to 138)
My Wake Forest vs Clemson best bet is on the under. For all of your college basketball bets, be sure to find the best lines by using our live NCAAB odds page.
Wake Forest vs Clemson Odds, Line, Spread
| Wake Forest Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+6.5 -112 | 139.5 -115o / -105u | +220 |
| Clemson Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-6.5 -108 | 139.5 -115o / -105u | -270 |
- Wake Forest vs Clemson Spread: Clemson -6.5, Wake Forest +6.5
- Wake Forest vs Clemson Over/Under: 139.5 Points
- Wake Forest vs Clemson Moneyline: Wake Forest ML +220, Clemson ML -270
Wake Forest vs Clemson ACC Tournament Pick, Preview
The late-night ACC contest features one team that needed overtime late last night (Wake Forest) and an elite defense that forces long, drawn-out possessions (Clemson). That immediately pushes me towards the under.
The rested Tigers are among the best teams in the country at forcing opponents to play their pace.
No one gets out and runs against Brad Brownell’s disciplined system. Per Synergy, opponents get 11.8% of their possessions in transition, a 9th percentile frequency nationally. Opponents must execute in the half-court.
The first meeting was not encouraging for this angle: it had 162 points in an 85-77 Wake Forest win at home.
Both teams shot 60% of better from inside the arc. The pace (67 possessions) was solid, though, and that game turned into a bit of a foul fest (each side took 24+ free throws).
That was also during Clemson’s disappointing late-season swoon, when opponents caught fire from 3: Wake shot 45.5% in that game.
With more familiarity and in a postseason setting, I expect more tame efficiency — especially inside the arc — in the rematch. Clemson excels at forcing efficiency (92nd percentile in frequency) while being elite at defending it (98th percentile in efficiency).
That should frustrate the Deacons, who, even with point guard Nate Calmese back from injury, vastly prefer to play a free-flowing style out of handoffs and ball screens.
Clemson’s scheme is the biggest reason for this bet. If Wake’s legs are a little shaky after an overtime game last night, even better. I would bet this one down to 138.
My Pick: Under 139.5 (Play to 138)
