The Wisconsin Badgers take on the Oregon Ducks in Eugene, Oregon. Tip-off is set for 11 p.m. ET on BTN.
Wisconsin is favored by 4.5 points on the spread with a moneyline of -210. The total is set at 151.5 points.
Here’s my Wisconsin vs. Oregon prediction and college basketball picks for February 25, 2026.
Wisconsin vs Oregon Prediction
My Pick: Wisconsin -4.5 (Play to -6.5)
My Wisconsin vs Oregon best bet is on the Badgers to cover the spread. For all of your college basketball bets, be sure to find the best lines by using our live NCAAB odds page.
Wisconsin vs. Oregon Odds
| Wisconsin Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-4.5 -102 | 151.5 -110o / -110u | -210 |
| Oregon Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+4.5 -120 | 151.5 -110o / -110u | +172 |
- Wisconsin vs Oregon spread: Wisconsin -4.5
- Wisconsin vs Oregon over/under: 151.5 points
- Wisconsin vs Oregon moneyline: Wisconsin -210, Oregon +172
Wisconsin vs Oregon College Basketball Betting Preview
Wisconsin Basketball
The new polls came out on Monday, and Duke, Arizona, Michigan, Iowa State and Houston sit atop the rankings. While all of those teams have very strong resumes, not many teams across the country have three wins better than Wisconsin.
The Badgers are the only team to defeat Michigan at Crisler Arena this season. They also beat Illinois in Champaign and thumped Michigan State at home in consecutive games.
However, Wisconsin doesn't have a lofty ranking next to its name because it's lacked consistency outside of its marquee victories.
Last week, the Badgers fell 86-69 to Ohio State. When they've struggled this season, it's largely been on the defensive end. In five of their eight losses, they've allowed 78 points or more. The Badgers rank 57th in adjusted defensive efficiency for the season and 12th in Big Ten play.
However, the Badgers are still projected as a No. 7 seed, and they'll be a tough out in March. The Badgers average 83 points per game, led by three double-digit scorers in Nick Boyd, John Blackwell and Nolan Winter. Boyd leads the way at 20.5 points per game after he's gotten to 20 in seven of his last eight games.
Over half of Wisconsin's field goal attempts are 3-pointers, and it shoots 35% as a team. Winter and sophomore Austin Rapp are floor spacers at seven-feet and 6-foot-10, respectively, and have combined for 65 3-pointers.
In addition to their perimeter proficiency, the Badgers commit just nine turnovers per game. They rank ninth in turnover percentage offensively, as part of a unit that's 18th in adjusted offensive efficiency.
Oregon Basketball
Since arriving in Eugene in 2010, Dana Altman has won 380 games, notably taking the Ducks to the Final Four in 2017. He's won 20 games in every season as Oregon's head coach, but this won't be one of those years.
The Ducks enter this matchup at 10-17 overall and 3-13 in the Big Ten. However, two of those conference wins have come in their last three games, and they put a dent in USC's NCAA Tournament chances with a 71-70 upset victory on Saturday.
Back home, things will be a bit tougher against the Badgers, particularly on the perimeter. In Big Ten play, Oregon is 16th in 3-point percentage and 15th in 3-point percentage defense. It's 17th in turnover percentage on the offensive end and last in the conference in adjusted offensive efficiency.
The Ducks have been held under 70 points in nine of their 13 Big Ten losses.
Despite the offensive struggles, Oregon's scoring is very concentrated, with four players averaging 12 points per game or more.
Fifth-year senior Nate Bittle leads the way with 16.7 points to go along with seven rebounds per game. Bittle scored 23 points against Wisconsin in Madison, and Oregon will need another big game from him if it's going to spring another upset.
Oregon trailed by as many as 17 in the contest and was down by 14 with six minutes left. However, it rallied for a 77-73 victory over then-No. 11 Wisconsin.
The good news for Oregon this time around may be that Wisconsin slid out of the top 25 following last week's loss to Ohio State. Against ranked opponents this season, Oregon is 0-8, losing by 11.2 points per game.
Wisconsin vs. Oregon Betting Analysis
In recent years, this has been a common postseason tournament matchup, with the programs meeting four times in the last 10 years. Wisconsin won three of those meetings and leads the series 6-4 all-time.
Oregon took round one as Big Ten foes, but Wisconsin likely has revenge on its mind after letting last season's game slip away late.
Playing in the Big Ten this season hasn't done Oregon many favors. It's fallen outside the top 100 in adjusted offensive efficiency and adjusted defensive efficiency, ranking at or near the bottom of the Big Ten in both categories in conference play.
Given its own struggles to shoot and its inability to defend the 3, it's not out of the question that Wisconsin has an edge of 21 points or more on 3-pointers.
Boyd will be a factor there, as he's made three triples in three of his last five games. He's playing himself into All-Big Ten honors, as he's second in the conference with 17 games of 20 points or more. If Boyd gets going and the Badgers heat up from the perimeter, it'll be difficult for Oregon to keep up.
The Ducks are 9-18 against the spread this season, and seven of their past eight losses have been by double digits.
With that in mind, I'll be backing the Badgers as a road favorite.
My Pick: Wisconsin -4.5 (Play to -6.5)
