2021 College Football Bowl Projections: Brett McMurphy’s Predictions With Projected Spreads After Week 3

2021 College Football Bowl Projections: Brett McMurphy’s Predictions With Projected Spreads After Week 3 article feature image
Credit:

Jeff Speer/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images. Pictured: The BYU Cougars.

College Football Bowl Projections Entering Week 4

This has probably been a confusing stretch for BYU. Two weeks ago, the Cougars received and accepted an invitation to join the Big 12. Then last week, BYU clinched the Pac-12’s South Division championship.

Well, not officially, anyway.

However, BYU opened the season 3-0 with wins over the Pac-12 South’s Arizona, Utah and Arizona State. Yes, BYU is an FBS Independent and is technically ineligible to win the Pac-12, but the Cougars could crash a New Year’s Six bowl.

Look at the remainder of the Cougars’ schedule, and there’s a possibility of an 11-0 BYU visiting USC in the regular-season finale. If so, win or lose vs. USC, I’m projecting the Cougars earn a New Year’s Six bowl bid. (Before you ask, BYU fans, I don’t think the College Football Playoff selection committee would put 12-0 BYU in the playoff … and don’t shoot the messenger).

As far as the rest of my Week 3 bowl projections — like BYU, you likely will be confused if you’re expecting them to resemble last week’s projections.

My College Football Playoff field remains the same (Alabama, Georgia, Oregon and Oklahoma), but there are a few changes: BYU vs. Cincinnati in the Fiesta Bowl, Clemson vs. Penn State in the Peach Bowl, and Florida vs. Ohio State in the Citrus Bowl.

I don’t want to reveal any more spoilers, so check out the rest of this week’s bowl projections.

And, as always, each projection includes the projected point spread for each game based on Action Network senior writer Collin Wilson’s updated college football betting power ratings.

College Football Betting Power Ratings

2021 College Football Bowl Projections

college football playoff-cfp-national championship

College Football Playoff National Championship

Monday, Jan. 10 ⋅ Indianapolis, IN

Projection: Alabama vs. Georgia

Action Spread: Alabama -4.5


College Football Playoff Semifinals

college football-orange bowl

Capital One Orange Bowl

Friday, Dec. 31 ⋅ Miami Gardens, FL

Projection: No. 1 Alabama vs. No. 4 Oklahoma

Action Spread: Alabama -9.5


college football-cotton bowl

Goodyear Cotton Bowl

Friday, Dec. 31 ⋅ Arlington, TX

Projection: No. 2 Oregon vs. No. 3 Georgia

Action Spread: Georgia -11.5


New Year’s Six Bowls

college football-sugar bowl

Allstate Sugar Bowl

Saturday, Jan. 1 ⋅ New Orleans, LA

Projection: Iowa State vs. Texas A&M

Action Spread: Texas A&M -3


college football-rose bowl-game

Rose Bowl

Saturday, Jan. 1 ⋅ Pasadena, CA

Projection: UCLA vs. Iowa

Action Spread: Iowa -1.5


college football-fiesta bowl

PlayStation Fiesta Bowl

Saturday, Jan. 1 ⋅ Glendale, AZ

Projection: BYU vs. Cincinnati*

Action Spread: Cincinnati -10.5


college football-chick fil a-peach bowl

Chick-fil-A Peach Bowl

Thursday, Dec. 30 ⋅ Atlanta, GA

Projection: Clemson vs. Penn State

Action Spread: Penn State -3.5


Other Bowls

college football-texas bowl

Texas Bowl

Tuesday, Jan. 4 ⋅ Houston, TX

Projection: TCU vs. Arkansas

Action Spread: TCU -1


college football-citrus bowl

Vrbo Citrus Bowl

Saturday, Jan. 1 ⋅ Orlando, FL

Projection: Ohio State vs. Florida

Action Spread: Ohio State -4


college football-outback bowl

Outback Bowl

Saturday, Jan. 1 ⋅ Tampa, FL

Projection: Wisconsin vs. LSU

Action Spread: Wisconsin -5


college football-arizona bowl

Barstool Sports Arizona Bowl

Friday, Dec. 31 ⋅ Tucson, AZ

Projection: Western Michigan vs. San Diego State

Action Spread: Pick’em


college football-gator bowl

TaxSlayer Gator Bowl

Friday, Dec. 31 ⋅ Jacksonville, FL

Projection: North Carolina vs. Auburn

Action Spread: Auburn -1.5


college football-sun bowl

Tony the Tiger Sun Bowl

Friday, Dec. 31 ⋅ El Paso, TX

Projection: Boston College vs. Utah

Action Spread: Utah -9


college football-music city bowl

TransPerfect Music City Bowl

Thursday, Dec. 30 ⋅ Nashville, TN

Projection: Michigan State vs. Missouri

Action Spread: Michigan State -3.5


college football-dukes mayo bowl

Duke’s Mayo Bowl

Thursday, Dec. 30 ⋅ Charlotte, NC

Projection: Pitt vs. Ole Miss

Action Spread: Ole Miss -6.5


college football-las vegas bowl

Las Vegas Bowl

Thursday, Dec. 30 ⋅ Las Vegas, NV

Projection: Michigan vs. Stanford

Action Spread: Michigan -10.5


Get Your First Deposit Matched Up to $100!

Sign up and deposit up to $100

Your deposit will be fully matched

New users only

college football-alamo bowl

Valero Alamo Bowl

Wednesday, Dec. 29 ⋅ San Antonio, TX

Projection: Kansas State vs. USC

Action Spread: USC -8.5


college football-cheez it bowl

Cheez-It Bowl

Wednesday, Dec. 29 ⋅ Orlando, FL

Projection: Notre Dame vs. Texas

Action Spread: Texas -2


college football-pinstripe bowl-new york

New Era Pinstripe Bowl

Wednesday, Dec. 29 ⋅ Bronx, NY

Projection: Virginia Tech vs. Rutgers

Action Spread: Virginia Tech -10


college football-fenway bowl-boston

Fenway Bowl

Wednesday, Dec. 29 ⋅ Boston, MA

Projection: Virginia vs. UCF

Action Spread: UCF -3.5


college football-holiday bowl

SDCCU Holiday Bowl

Tuesday, Dec. 28 ⋅ San Diego, CA

Projection: Wake Forest vs. Arizona State

Action Spread: Arizona State -3.5


college football-guaranteed rate bowl

Guaranteed Rate Bowl

Tuesday, Dec. 28 ⋅ Phoenix, AZ

Projection: Minnesota vs. Baylor

Action Spread: Minnesota -0.5


college football-liberty bowl

AutoZone Liberty Bowl

Tuesday, Dec. 28 ⋅ Memphis, TN

Projection: Oklahoma State vs. Kentucky

Action Spread: Oklahoma State -4.5


college football-first responder bowl

SERVPRO First Responder Bowl

Tuesday, Dec. 28 ⋅ Dallas, TX

Projection: Nevada vs. Central Michigan

Action Spread: Nevada -11.5


college football-birmingham bowl-alabama

TicketSmarter Birmingham Bowl

Tuesday, Dec. 28 ⋅ Birmingham, AL

Projection: Mississippi State vs. Miami

Action Spread: Miami -2.5


college football-military bowl

Military Bowl

Monday, Dec. 27 ⋅ Annapolis, MD

Projection: NC State vs. Memphis

Action Spread: NC State -9


college football-quick lane bowl-detroit

Quick Lane Bowl

Monday, Dec. 27 ⋅ Detroit, MI

Projection: Indiana vs. Toledo

Action Spread: Indiana -6


college football-camellia bowl

Camellia Bowl

Saturday, Dec. 25 ⋅ Montgomery, AL

Projection: Wyoming vs. Florida Atlantic

Action Spread: Wyoming -4


college football-hawaii bowl

EasyPost Hawaii Bowl

Friday, Dec. 24 ⋅ Honolulu, HI

Projection: Boise State vs. SMU

Action Spread: Boise State -3.5


The must-have app for college football bettors

The best NCAAF betting scoreboard

Free picks from proven pros

Live win probabilities for your bets

college football-gasparilla bowl

Union Home Mortgage Gasparilla Bowl

Thursday, Dec. 23 ⋅ Tampa, FL

Projection: Maryland vs. Texas Tech

Action Spread: Maryland -2.5


college football-armed forces bowl

Lockheed Martin Armed Forces Bowl

Wednesday, Dec. 22 ⋅ Fort Worth, TX

Projection: West Virginia vs. Louisville

Action Spread: West Virginia -5


college football-frisco bowl

Tropical Smoothie Cafe Frisco Bowl

Tuesday, Dec. 21 ⋅ Frisco, TX

Projection: Purdue vs. Houston

Action Spread: Purdue -3


college football-famous idaho-potato bowl-boise

Famous Idaho Potato Bowl

Tuesday, Dec. 21 ⋅ Boise, ID

Projection: Buffalo vs. Utah State

Action Spread: Buffalo -0.5


college football-myrtle beach bowl

Myrtle Beach Bowl

Monday, Dec. 20 ⋅ Myrtle Beach, SC

Projection: Coastal Carolina vs. Western Kentucky

Action Spread: Coastal Carolina -8


college football-new orleans bowl

R&L Carriers New Orleans Bowl

Saturday, Dec. 18 ⋅ New Orleans, LA

Projection: UAB vs. Louisiana

Action Spread: Louisiana -5


college football-la bowl-jimmy kimmel

Jimmy Kimmel LA Bowl

Saturday, Dec. 18 ⋅ Inglewood, CA

Projection: Oregon State vs. Fresno State

Action Spread: Oregon State -1.5


college football-independence bowl

Radiance Technologies Independence Bowl

Saturday, Dec. 18 ⋅ Shreveport, LA

Projection: Army vs. San Jose State

Action Spread: Pick’em


college football-lendingtree bowl

LendingTree Bowl

Saturday, Dec. 18 ⋅ Mobile, AL

Projection: Liberty vs. Troy

Action Spread: Liberty -5


college football-new mexico bowl

New Mexico Bowl

Saturday, Dec. 18 ⋅ Albuquerque, NM

Projection: New Mexico vs. Kent State

Action Spread: Kent State -5


college football-boca raton bowl

RoofClaim.com Boca Raton Bowl

Saturday, Dec. 18 ⋅ Boca Raton, FL

Projection: Marshall vs. Appalachian State

Action Spread: Appalachian State -5.5


college football-cure bowl-orlando

Cure Bowl

Friday, Dec. 17 ⋅ Orlando, FL

Projection: East Carolina vs. South Alabama

Action Spread: East Carolina -4.5


college football-bahamas bowl

Bahamas Bowl

Friday, Dec. 17 ⋅ Nassau, Bahamas

Projection: Louisiana Tech vs. Ball State

Action Spread: Ball State -5


* The highest-rated champion from the Group of Five conferences (American, Conference USA, Mid-American, Mountain West and Sun Belt) will be selected to play in the Fiesta Bowl.


The ultimate CFB betting cheat code

Best bets for every game

Collin Wilson’s biggest weekly edges

Profitable data-driven system picks

How would you rate this article?