Sunday Morning Coffee: Week 12 college football projections

Sunday Morning Coffee: Week 12 college football projections article feature image

Sunday Morning Coffee

Welcome to Sunday Morning Coffee, a short look at college football projected lines before release in Las Vegas or offshore. This weekly column examines where the point spread should open or trend. Hangover, overlook and general box score notes from the week’s previous action will be captured to help any college football investor get action on a number.

If you plan to hit openers, take a look at the projected point spreads for Week 12:

Date Away Home CW Line
Nov 14 Ohio Akron AKR +9
Nov 14 Central Michigan Kent St. KNT +15
Nov 15 Toledo Bowling Green BGSU +19
Nov 15 Eastern Michigan Miami Ohio M-OH +3.5
Nov 15 Western Michigan N. Illinois NIU -8.5
Nov 16 Tulsa South Florida USF -23
Nov 16 Buffalo Ball St. BALL +11.5
Nov 18 Mississippi State Arkansas ARK +11
Nov 18 Texas State Arkansas St. ARST -21.5
Nov 18 ULM Auburn AUB -37.5
Nov 18 Iowa State Baylor BAY +7.5
Nov 18 Air Force Boise St. BSU -15
Nov 18 UConn Boston College BC -21.5
Nov 18 UMass BYU BYU -5.5
Nov 18 San Jose State Colorado St. CSUP -26
Nov 18 Georgia Tech Duke DUKE +7
Nov 18 Cincinnati East Carolina ECU +3.5
Nov 18 UAB Florida FLA -14.5
Nov 18 FIU Florida Atlantic FAU -12
Nov 18 Kentucky Georgia UGA -24.5
Nov 18 South Alabama Georgia Southern GASO +3
Nov 18 Coastal Carolina Idaho IDHO -7
Nov 18 Rutgers Indiana IND -12.5
Nov 18 Purdue Iowa IUPA -7
Nov 18 Oklahoma Kansas KU +36
Nov 18 Syracuse Louisville LOU -11
Nov 18 SMU Memphis MEM -13.5
Nov 18 Virginia Miami MIAMI -18
Nov 18 Maryland Michigan St. MSU -15.5
Nov 18 UNLV New Mexico UNM 0
Nov 18 Army North Texas UNT -2.5
Nov 18 Minnesota Northwestern NW -6.5
Nov 18 Navy Notre Dame ND -25
Nov 18 Illinois Ohio St. OSU -37
Nov 18 Kansas State Oklahoma St. OKST -17.5
Nov 18 Rice Old Dominion ODU -7.5
Nov 18 Texas A&M Ole Miss MISS +1
Nov 18 Arizona Oregon ORE 0
Nov 18 Arizona State Oregon St. ORST +11
Nov 18 Nebraska Penn St. PSU -22.5
Nov 18 Nevada San Diego St. SDSU -15
Nov 18 Charlotte Southern Miss USM -19
Nov 18 California Stanford STAN -17
Nov 18 UCF Temple TEM +14.5
Nov 18 LSU Tennessee TENN +17.5
Nov 18 TCU Texas Tech TTU +9.5
Nov 18 Houston Tulane TUL +6
Nov 18 New Mexico State ULL ULL +5
Nov 18 UCLA USC USC -12.5
Nov 18 Hawaii USU USU -8
Nov 18 Louisiana Tech UTEP UTEP +15
Nov 18 Marshall UTSA UTSA 0
Nov 18 Missouri Vanderbilt VAN +3
Nov 18 Pittsburgh Virginia Tech VT -18
Nov 18 North Carolina State Wake Forest WF -1
Nov 18 Utah Washington WASH -13
Nov 18 Texas West Virginia WVU -2
Nov 18 Middle Tennessee W. Kentucky WKU +0.5
Nov 18 Michigan Wisconsin WISC -6
Nov 18 Fresno State Wyoming WYO +1
Legend: Coming off bye / Overlook-Hangover watch / Back to Back road travel / Neutral site


  • FCS games will not be lined with openers, but look later in the week for The Citadel at Clemson (before Gamecock rivalry), Mercer at Alabama (before Iron Bowl), Western Carolina at North Carolina, Wofford at South Carolina (Clemson rivalry lookahead) and Delaware State at Florida State.
  • The biggest game of the week is Michigan at Wisconsin (-6 expected). The Badgers have the invite to the Big Ten Championship game, while this is a must-win for Michigan to be relevant in the East Division.
  • Teams out of bowl contention versus teams in the hunt for a bowl is always important in November. This week, Miami OH (4-6) vs. Eastern Michigan, Buffalo (4-6) at Ball State, UNLV (4-6) at New Mexico, Old Dominion (4-6) vs. Rice, South Alabama (4-6) at Georgia Southern, Arizona State (5-5) at Oregon State, Louisiana Tech (4-6) at UTEP, Idaho (3-6) vs. Coastal Carolina, and Boston College (5-5) at Connecticut all fit the bill.
  • UAB continues to have the feel-good story of the year. Anything over two scores against a very uninspired Florida team is worth consideration.
  • Mississippi State should be double-digit favorites against the Razorbacks. The Bulldogs may have an Alabama hangover and Egg Bowl lookahead in this 11 a.m. local kick spot.
  • ULM comes off a bye week to face an Auburn team that just beat No. 1 Georgia with overlook to the probable new No. 1 Alabama.
  • SMU has taken themselves out of the AAC West race, leaving Memphis (off a bye week) not much to play for as they hold the tiebreaker over Houston.

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