Each week, I will pick out a new variety six pack for Saturday morning in addition to my six favorite situational sides on the college football card. Short and simple.

beer


Baylor +10

I expect a very flat Texas team in a classic sandwich spot after back to back tough losses againt Oklahoma (by 5) and Oklahoma State (by 3 in overtime), with a trip to TCU on deck. Texas will also be without their starting quarterback Sam Ehlinger and starting center Zach Shackelford, who both didn’t travel to Waco due to concussions. Conversely, I expect a very motivated Baylor team, as they are still searching for that elusive first win of the season. I think their offense, which scored 23 points in the fourth quarter against West Virginia last weekend, can carry a lot of that momentum into this game. Baylor is also seeking revenge for a 35-34 heartbreaking last minute loss, their first of the 2016 season, at the hands of Texas last season. This series tends to be close, as Texas has not defeated Baylor by more than 6 points since 2009.


Austin Peay +45.5

Finally, the return of an FCS special. I think this is the game that UCF finally doesn’t cover a game (or half for that matter). Sleepy spot for UCF after getting that huge road win at Navy, one of the few true hurdles on their schedule. Austin Peay, a fringe top 25 FCS team, shouldn’t be afraid of the moment, especially considering that they have already played two road games this year against FBS teams, and are 2-0 on the road in FBS play. I also think that Scott Frost will pull his star quarterback McKenzie Milton, who is listed as probable, as soon as he possibly can tonight. The Governors can keep this within the number.


Ohio State -7

Ohio State has had this game circled since Penn State stole one in Happy Valley last year on a blocked field goal. Penn State should have trouble running the ball all day long. Don’t overthink this one. Take Urban Meyer, who is 21-1 after a bye week, with revenge against the public dog. Fun fact: Ben Roethlisberger in 2001 was the last quarterback to beat Urban Meyer after a bye.


Mississippi St -2.5

We have officially reached that time of the year when Kevin Sumlin’s teams start to fade away. Sumlin has also been horrendous after a bye week. In this same exact spot three years ago (after a bye/before Auburn), they barely beat UL Monroe at home by a score of 21-16. More importantly, the Aggies horrible run defense won’t be able to stop Nick Fitzgerald from doing whatever he wants on the ground.


Northwestern +1.5

I was waiting on +3, but it looks like I won’t get it. Northwestern has finally started to develop into the team I expected earlier in the season. I expect a flat Michigan State team in Evanston today, as they might be caught looking ahead to their next two games against Penn State and Ohio State. Sparty has won four straight, but they have been living on the edge, as they have won those four games by a combined 22 points. Pat’s Cats get it done today.


Missouri/UConn OVER 75

I actually like a total more than any potential sixth situational spot on Saturday. Take a look at Collin’s CW9 article for his take on this game. He actually likes the Huskies to stay within two touchdowns, but he touches on a number of reasons why I think this game will feature endless explosive plays. We also touched on this game throughout the week on our podcast.


Week 9 Six-Pack Recap:

  • Baylor +10
  • Austin Peay +45.5
  • Ohio State -7
  • Mississippi St -2.5
  • Northwestern +1.5
  • Missouri/UConn OVER 75

Week 1: 0-0 +0.00 units
Week 2: 0-0 +0.00 units
Week 3: 5-1 +4.07 units
Week 4: 4-2 +1.84 units
Week 5: 5-1 +3.87 units
Week 6: 1-4-1 -3.27 units
Week 7: 2-3-1 -1.22 units
Week 8: 3-3 -0.26 units
Total: 20-14-2 (58.8%) +5.03 units


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