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Auburn-Purdue Betting Guide: Will Tigers Show Up For 2018 Music City Bowl?

Dec 28, 2018 12:10 PM EST
Credit:

USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Jarrett Stidham and Rondale Moore

2018 Music City Bowl Betting Odds: Auburn-Purdue

  • Odds: Auburn -3
  • Over/Under: 55.5
  • Date: Friday, Dec. 28
  • Location: Nashville, Tenn.
  • Time: 1:30 p.m. ET
  • TV: ESPN

>> All odds as of Thursday afternoon. Download The Action Network App to get real-time bowl odds and win probabilities on your bets.


Yes, Auburn’s players and coaches will be there physically for the 2018 Music City Bowl. But do the Tigers really want to be there after a disappointing season?

Purdue had an up-and-down year that featured a blowout win over Ohio State and a home loss to Eastern Michigan. It’s capable of dominant offensive performances and complete lapses.

The Boilermakers did retain coach Jeff Brohm after he turned down Louisville and should be motivated for this game.

Odds Moves for Auburn-Purdue

By Danny Donahue

Although neither team has been able to establish itself as the public consensus pick (Auburn has a slight 51% advantage), this line has not stayed put since its release. Auburn opened as a 5-point favorite over Purdue, but has since fallen to the key number of -3 as 70% of actual money wagered has landed on the Boilermakers (see live data here).

The public has taken a liking to the over, which has drawn 80% of bets. That’s been enough to inch the total up from 54.5 to 55.5 despite those bets accounting for just 60% of the money.

Trends to Know for Auburn-Purdue

By John Ewing

Purdue has averaged 480.5 yards and 33.9 points per game. Auburn has limited opponents to 358.6 yards and 19.3 points per game.

When a good defense (400 or fewer yards, less than 25 points) plays a good offensive team (450 or more yards, 30 or more points) in a bowl game, the defensive team has gone 79-53-1 (60%) ATS since 2005.

Purdue Defense Gains One, Loses One to Injury

By Stuckey

Purdue will welcome back safety Jacob Thieneman, which is huge against a pass-happy Auburn team.

However, it will be without star defensive lineman Lorenzo Neal, who was injured in the finale against Indiana. While Auburn’s strong suit isn’t offensive line play, this is a real concern for a Purdue defensive front that doesn’t have a ton of depth.

Big-Play Mismatch

By Stuckey

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