College Football Bowl Projections for Week 4: Brett McMurphy’s Predictions With Projected Spreads
Scott Taetsch/Getty Images. Pictured: Penn State’s Malik McClain.
My College Football Playoff and New Year’s Six bowl projections didn’t change from last week, but don’t worry — they should be jostled around next week with six matchups between AP Top 25 teams on Saturday.
The projections for the remaining 29 bowls saw a lot of movement from last week. Four new teams joined my projections this week: Army, FIU, Georgia State and West Virginia. They replace the four teams that dropped out: Cincinnati, Louisiana Tech, Purdue and UTSA.
Below are my Week 4 projections, and each projection includes the projected point spread for each bowl based on Action Network senior writer Collin Wilson’s updated college football betting power ratings.
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CFP National Championship Prediction
College Football Playoff Semifinals Projections
Rose Bowl Jan. 1 • Pasadena, CA Michigan -0.5 Florida State | Allstate Sugar Bowl Jan. 1 • New Orleans, LA Georgia -2.5 Texas |
New Year's Six Bowl Games
Vrbo Fiesta Bowl Jan. 1 • Glendale, AZ Oregon -23.5 Fresno State | Chick-fil-A Peach Bowl Dec. 30 • Atlanta, GA Washington Ohio State -1 |
Capital One Orange Bowl Dec. 30 • Miami, FL UNC Penn State -8.5 | Goodyear Cotton Bowl Dec. 29 • Arlington, TX Oklahoma USC -1 |
Projections for All Other Bowl Games
Cheez-It Citrus Bowl Jan. 1 • Orlando, FL LSU -13.5 Maryland | ReliaQuest Bowl Jan. 1 • Tampa, FL Notre Dame -1.5 Texas A&M | Arizona Bowl Dec. 30 • Tucson, AZ San Diego St. -2.5 NIU | Music City Bowl Dec. 30 • Nashville, TN Florida -6 Minnesota | AutoZone Liberty Bowl Dec. 29 • Memphis, TN Tennessee -12 BYU | Tony the Tiger Sun Bowl Dec. 29 • El Paso, TX Syracuse -6.5 Colorado | TaxSlayer Gator Bowl Dec. 29 • Jacksonville, FL Alabama -1 Clemson | Valero Alamo Bowl Dec. 28 • San Antonio, TX Kansas State Utah -4 | Pop-Tarts Bowl Dec. 28 • Orlando, FL Louisville UCF -5 | Pinstripe Bowl Dec. 28 • Bronx, NY NC State Wisconsin -7.5 | Wasabi Fenway Bowl Dec. 28 • Boston, MA Wake Forest Tulane -9.5 | TaxAct Texas Bowl Dec. 27 • Houston, TX Kentucky -4 Kansas | Holiday Bowl Dec. 27 • San Diego, CA Miami Oregon State -2.5 | Duke's Mayo Bowl Dec. 27 • Charlotte, NC Ole Miss -9.5 Duke | Military Bowl Dec. 27 • Annapolis, MD Pittsburgh Memphis -1.5 | Guaranteed Rate Bowl Dec. 26 • Phoenix, AZ Rutgers Texas Tech -10.5 | First Responder Bowl Dec. 26 • Dallas, TX Mississippi St. -6.5 Air Force | Quick Lane Bowl Dec. 26 • Detroit, MI Michigan St. -2 Toledo | EasyPost Hawai'i Bowl Dec. 23 • Honolulu, HI UNLV SMU -10.5 | Las Vegas Bowl Dec. 23 • Las Vegas, NV UCLA -2.5 Iowa | 68 Ventures Bowl Dec. 23 • Mobile, AL S. Alabama -2.5 Ohio | Famous Idaho Potato Bowl Dec. 23 • Boise, ID Boise State -10.5 Miami OH | Armed Forces Bowl Dec. 23 • Fort Worth, TX TCU PK Arkansas | Camellia Bowl Dec. 23 • Montgomery, AL Georgia Southern -1.5 Navy | Birmingham Bowl Dec. 23 • Birmingham, AL Missouri -5.5 Illinois | Gasparilla Bowl Dec. 22 • Tampa, FL Auburn -14 West Virginia | Boca Raton Bowl Dec. 21 • Boca Raton, FL S. Carolina -12.5 Army | Frisco Bowl Dec. 19 • Frisco, TX App State -4 Rice | Myrtle Beach Bowl Dec. 18 • Conway, SC Coastal Carolina -3 Liberty | Independence Bowl Dec. 16 • Shreveport, LA Oklahoma St. Arizona -5.5 | LA Bowl Dec. 16 • Inglewood, CA Washington St. -9.5 Wyoming | New Mexico Bowl Dec. 16 • Albuquerque, NM San Jose St. Troy -4.5 | Cure Bowl Dec. 16 • Orlando, FL Marshall -10 E. Michigan | New Orleans Bowl Dec. 16 • New Orleans, LA Georgia St. WKU -1.5 | Bahamas Bowl Dec. 16 • Nassau, Bahamas C. Michigan -0.5 FIU |
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