Maryland vs. Indiana Odds, Picks: Don’t Count Out Hoosiers in This Big Ten Affair

Maryland vs. Indiana Odds

Saturday, Oct. 15

3:30 p.m. ET

ESPN2

Maryland Odds
Spread	Total	Moneyline
-11.5 -104	62.5 -110o / -110u	-400

Indiana Odds
Spread	Total	Moneyline
+11.5 -118	62.5 -110o / -110u	+310

Odds via FanDuel. Get up-to-the-minute college football odds here.

We have a Big Ten East battle on Saturday afternoon in Bloomington. Both of these teams could really use a win, as Maryland has lost two of its last three and Indiana has dropped three in a row after starting 3-0.

Maryland had gotten off to a really nice start to begin the year, but the Terps gave back a lot of momentum last week when they came up two points short to Purdue at home.

Indiana was fortunate to start 3-0, and the law of averages has caught up with the Hoosiers in recent weeks.

Last week however, the Hoosiers put up a respectable effort at home against Michigan, a game that was all tied up in the third quarter before the Wolverines pulled away.

Maryland currently sits right around an 11.5-point road favorite in this contest, so let's get into whether or not the Terps are equipped to cover that number.

Maryland Terrapins

Terrapins Offense

Maryland has had nice balance on offense thus far in 2022.

Taulia Tagovailoa is playing the best football of his career, shown by the fact that the junior is completing nearly 75% of his passes. He's also taking better care of the football, which is something that has plagued him in the past.

The Terps have been getting a solid push up front from their offensive line, which has also helped buoy the offense. Maryland enters this game ranking 25th in Line Yards, and that comes with the Terps playing some legitimate defensive fronts in Michigan and Purdue.

Maryland has been pretty good in the red zone offensively as well, checking in at 21st in Finishing Drives. Continuing that trend will be important against an Indiana defense that has actually been pretty good at keeping opponents from scoring touchdowns.

Terrapins Defense

Last week was not this unit's best performance, as the defense surrendered 31 points at home to Purdue. The Terps had been really strong in Defensive Finishing Drives, but the Boilermakers kind of had their way when they got around the goal line.

Maryland has been stout in stopping the run all season, and it will have an opportunity to really take advantage of that against an Indiana rushing attack that has been abysmal all season.

Lastly, another factor that is holding this defense back is its inability to generate turnovers and negative plays. Maryland is outside the top 85 in Havoc and has only had a positive turnover margin in two games all year.

If Maryland wants to pull away on Saturday afternoon, it will need more pressure in the backfield and probably a couple of takeaways.

Indiana Hoosiers

Hoosiers Offense

Indiana has been one-dimensional on offense all season, which is a large factor in why the Hoosiers struggle to put up points.

As noted earlier, Indiana simply can't run the football right now.

Tom Allen just made a change with his offensive line coach, but that is likely too little too late for this season. Indiana needs to continue to attempt to run it to keep defenses honest, but it's hard to see a massive increase in production.

Connor Bazelak has done some nice things through the air at times, but he has also been loose with the football on many occasions.

One thing to monitor will be the status of one of Bazelak's best weapons in wide receiver D.J. Matthews Jr., who is currently listed as questionable.

If Matthews can go, it would be a significant boost to an IU passing attack that has shown flashes and could have some opportunity against a mediocre Maryland secondary.

Hoosiers Defense

Indiana plays really hard on the defensive end. The Hoosiers have been pretty strong when it comes to stopping the run and shouldn't need to jam the box to slow down the Maryland rushing attack.

Tagovailoa and the Terps' offense will sling it plenty either way, and an Indiana secondary that was hyped up to begin the year will need to step up to the challenge. The Hoosiers have allowed far too many explosive plays down the field to this point in the season.

Creating a turnover or two will also be paramount for Indiana to have a shot of winning this game. The Maryland offense has turned it over at least once in five of six games.

If IU can get pressure from its front four, then maybe some Havoc can be generated.

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Maryland vs. Indiana Matchup Analysis

Toggle the dropdowns below to hide or show how Maryland and Indiana match up statistically:

Maryland Offense vs. Indiana Defense

	Offense	Defense	Edge
Rush Success	73	33
Line Yards	25	50
Pass Success	39	123
Pass Blocking**	56	119
Havoc	52	86
Finishing Drives	21	37
** Pass Blocking (Off.) vs. Pass Rush (Def.)

Indiana Offense vs. Maryland Defense

	Offense	Defense	Edge
Rush Success	96	45
Line Yards	129	47
Pass Success	97	64
Pass Blocking**	129	113
Havoc	80	90
Finishing Drives	112	19
** Pass Blocking (Off.) vs. Pass Rush (Def.)

Pace of Play / Other

PFF Tackling	26	94
PFF Coverage	60	106
SP+ Special Teams	6	32
Seconds per Play	26.8 (71)	18.6 (1)
Rush Rate	47.0% (106)	38.3% (129)

Data via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD), FootballOutsiders, SP+, Pro Football Focus and SportSource Analytics.

Maryland vs. Indiana Betting Pick

There is not much optimism around the football program in Bloomington right now. Basketball season is around the corner, and most of the Hoosier faithful have likely turned their focus to the hardwood.

That said, if there's one thing that Allen has shown throughout his tenure, it's that his teams will play hard and fight to the end.

This is too many points for lndiana to be getting at home against a Maryland team with plenty of flaws of its own. I believe the Hoosiers can find some chunk plays through the air, and Maryland has struggled to put away opponents all season.

Maryland is rightly favored in this football game, but back the Hoosiers to hang tough and cover the 11.5-point number.

Pick: Indiana +11.5 (Play to 11)