Temple vs. USF College Football Odds, Picks: Betting Value on This Over/Under (Saturday, Oct. 23)

Temple vs. USF College Football Odds, Picks: Betting Value on This Over/Under (Saturday, Oct. 23) article feature image
Credit:

Cody Glenn/Getty Images. Pictured: Gage Panno (37) of the Temple Owls.

  • The Temple Owls travel south to take on the South Florida Bulls on Saturday evening.
  • The Bulls look to pick up their second win of the season, while the Owls hope to move above .500.
  • Kyle Remillard breaks down the game and shares a betting pick and prediction below based on his analysis below.

Temple vs. USF Odds

Saturday, Oct. 23
7:00 p.m. ET
ESPN+
Temple Odds
Spread Total Moneyline
+2.5
-110
55
-110o / -110u
+115
USF Odds
Spread Total Moneyline
-2.5
-110
55
-110o / -110u
-135
Odds via DraftKings. Get up-to-the-minute college football odds here.

The South Florida Bulls hope to find their first FBS victory in over 720 days as they welcome the Temple Owls.

South Florida suffered a gut-wrenching defeat to Tulsa last time out after holding an 11-point second half lead. The Bulls are 1-4 on the season and this matchup will be head coach Jeff Scott’s best chance to find his program a victory against another FBS program this season.

Temple has surprised many sitting at 3-3 on the season and 1-1 in conference play. The Owls upset Memphis 34-31 and found victories against Akron and Wagner. But the Owls have been demoralized in their three losses to Rutgers, Boston College and Cincinnati, getting outscored 141-20.

A win in this spot could be crucial for Temple’s chances at becoming bowl eligible this season.

Both offenses have struggled to find the end zone this season and points could be few and far between in this AAC clash.


Temple Owls

Temple Offense

The Temple offense has averaged less than 20 points and 330 yards of total offense per game against FBS competition.

The Owls rank 93rd in Rushing and 103rd in Passing Success Rates. The offensive unit has struggled to put together scoring drives as they convert on 30% of their third-down attempts.

A Big Play ranking of 84th proves why this offense averages less than three touchdowns a game.

Redshirt freshman quarterback D’Wan Mathis has been inconsistent this season. He was able to beat up on Wagner and Memphis, but in his other two starts, he completed 47% of his passes, averaging 5.2 yards per attempt with two interceptions.

The Owls own a mixed bag at running back with six different ball carriers scoring a touchdown. Temple has no one who is averaging more than 32 rushing yards per game and as a team, average 3.7 yards per attempt.


Temple Defense

The Temple defense has allowed 34 points per game but hasn’t had the easiest schedule to date.

The Owls have matched up against two Power Five schools in Rutgers and Boston College, to go along with the cream of the crop in the AAC in Cincinnati and Memphis.

Even with playing some stiff competition, the unit still ranks 34th in Passing Success Rate and has been able to pressure the quarterback, ranking 40th in defensive pass rush.

They’ve allowed 6.4 yards per pass attempt, which ranks 24th in the country.

Temple has been able to limit big plays for the most part but has allowed teams to convert on 40% of third-down attempts.

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South Florida Bulls

USF Offense 

The USF offense has mustered up 19 points per game and just over 300 yards of total offense per outing this season.

The offense ranks 39th in the nation with a 59% Rush Rate, yet only averages 3.6 yards per carry.

Jaren Mangham is the red-zone running back who has punched in 10 touchdowns on the season on his 70 carries. Quarterback Timmy McClain owns the second-most carries on the team but averages only 2.7 yards per rush.

He isn’t much better as a passer as he has completed less than 55% of his passes, averaging 7.9 yards per attempt. He’s thrown the lone touchdown pass for the Bulls in their six games.


USF Defense

The USF defense hasn’t been great this season but has faced some of the stiffest competition at this juncture. The Bulls have had the 13th toughest Strength of Schedule through the first six weeks, according to PFF.

Against FBS competition, the Bulls have allowed 9.0 yards per pass and 6.2 yards per rush. They rank near the bottom of the country in Passing Success Rate and 95th in Rushing Success Rate. The USF defense ranks dead last in the country, totaling just only three sacks on the year.

The unit has struggled in creating Havoc and allowing explosive plays, but the Owls’ offense hasn’t been particularly keen in those areas either.


Temple vs. USF Matchup Analysis

Toggle the dropdowns below to hide or show how Temple and USF match up statistically:

Temple Offense vs. USF Defense
Offense
Defense
Edge
Rush Success 93 95
Line Yards 95 104
Pass Success 103 129
Pass Blocking** 70 124
Big Play 84 115
Havoc 81 124
Finishing Drives 116 98
** Pass Blocking (Off.) vs. Pass Rush (Def.)

USF Offense vs. Temple Defense
Offense
Defense
Edge
Rush Success 65 111
Line Yards 92 95
Pass Success 112 34
Pass Blocking** 90 40
Big Play 94 54
Havoc 96 82
Finishing Drives 110 125
** Pass Blocking (Off.) vs. Pass Rush (Def.)

Pace of Play / Other
PFF Tackling 91 130
Coverage 95 86
Middle 8 78 97
SP+ Special Teams 31 40
Plays per Minute 90 85
Rush Rate 51.% (89) 59.3% (39)

Data via College Football Data, FootballOutsiders, SP+, PFF and SportSource Analytics.


Temple vs. USF Betting Pick

This matchup includes two bad defenses that will be matching up against two worse offenses.

Temple has shown an ability to bounce back well off of a loss this season and gets a bye week to help prepare for the lackluster USF offense. The Bulls have only thrown for one touchdown pass all season and present minimal threat through the air.

Temple owns a rush rate of 51%, yet presents a nonexistent run game.

Add in the fact that USF ranks 85th and Temple ranks 90th in plays per minute, and this game has all the signals for a slow-paced, low-scoring affair.

Pick: Under 55 (Play to 53)

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