College Football Odds, Picks for Georgia Tech vs Ole Miss: Bet the SEC Side

College Football Odds, Picks for Georgia Tech vs Ole Miss: Bet the SEC Side article feature image

Photo by Justin Ford/Getty Images. Pictured: Lane Kiffin (Ole Miss)

Georgia Tech vs Ole Miss Odds

Saturday, Sept. 16
7:30 p.m. ET
SEC Network
Georgia Tech Odds
-110o / -110u
Ole Miss Odds
-110o / -110u
Odds via BetMGM. Get up-to-the-minute NCAAF odds here.

It’s measuring-stick time for Georgia Tech.

A year removed from a 42-point home, shutout loss at the hands of Ole Miss, the Yellow Jackets have a chance to see how much they’ve improved under head coach Brent Key.

It won’t be easy against a ranked Ole Miss team that has one of the best running backs in the country and is off to an undefeated start with a game in Tuscaloosa waiting in the wings.

Will the Yellow Jackets be the latest ACC team to show superiority over the SEC, or will the Rebels buck that 2023 trend?

Check out our NCAAF Betting Hub for more college football previews, predictions, news and analysis.

Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets

The Rebels' win over a Tulane team sans Michael Pratt was not as easy as most projected, but it was a 17-point win and cover nonetheless.

One of the biggest reasons for the Rebels’ first-half struggles and potential cause for concern in the immediate future was the injury to former All-Conference USA receiver Tre Harris.

The transfer wideout caught his fifth touchdown of the season on the first drive of the game before departing after the second possession. Ole Miss didn’t score a touchdown again until the third quarter.

Lane Kiffin described Harris’ injury as not being long term, but with a game at Alabama on deck, there’s a slim chance Jaxson Dart will have his best receiver to throw to against Georgia Tech.

Dayton Wade and Jordan Watkins are capable replacements, but more important than them will be the performance of the Ole Miss offensive line. The Rebels allowed four sacks against Tulane and rank 103rd in the country with 14 tackles for loss allowed.

Worse, Quinshon Judkins – the Preseason All-SEC first teamer – has hit a bit of a sophomore slump, averaging just 3.5 yards per carry with a long run of 13 yards against two non-Power Five foes.

But if there were ever a week for that to turn around, it’d be here against the Yellow Jackets, who rank 120th in run defense and allowed 316 rushing yards to the Rebels last year.

Defensively has been a bit of a mixed bag for Ole Miss. The Rebels have struggled with explosive plays, allowing a 75-yard rushing touchdown against Mercer — which drew the ire of Kiffin towards new defensive coordinator Pete Golding — and a pair of receptions longer than 40 yards against Tulane and backup quarterback Kai Horton.

Haynes King will be the best passer the Ole Miss defense has seen to date, so continuing to generate pressure is a must. Only eight teams have more sacks than the Rebels this season, while Georgia Tech is tied for eighth in sacks allowed.

Phone With the Action App Open
The must-have app for college football bettors
The best NCAAF betting scoreboard
Free picks from proven pros
Live win probabilities for your bets

Ole Miss Rebels

Just how far has Georgia Tech come in a year?

The 42-0 demolition at home by Ole Miss in 2022 helped lead to Geoff Collins’ firing two weeks later. Key was named as the replacement and has coached the Yellow Jackets to a 5-5 record since (1-1 in 2023).

The biggest offseason addition has been former Texas A&M quarterback King. King had a splashy start to the season against Louisville — throwing for 313 yards and three touchdowns — but his interception and lost fumble directly led to 10 Louisville points in a five-point win by the Cardinals.

King had help in the running department from a collective effort of backs. Georgia Tech ran for 268 yards against South Carolina State and 175 against Louisville.

The biggest X-factor in this game will be Georgia Tech’s run defense. The Yellow Jackets are 120th in run defense, allowing 211.5 yards per game. That includes 196 yards to an FCS team last week.

Georgia Tech wasn’t much better last season (189 yards per game) and lost two of its most productive tacklers in Ayinde Eley and Charlie Thomas. Reinforcements were brought in via the transfer portal, but they’ve yet to pay off.

Georgia Tech vs Ole Miss

Matchup Analysis

Toggle the dropdowns below to hide or show how Georgia Tech and Ole Miss match up statistically:

Georgia Tech Offense vs. Ole Miss Defense
Rush Success1845
Line Yards1429
Pass Success2525
Finishing Drives469
Quality Drives1321
Ole Miss Offense vs. Georgia Tech Defense
Rush Success6060
Line Yards7665
Pass Success1778
Finishing Drives2965
Quality Drives1593
Pace of Play / Other
PFF Tackling1174
PFF Coverage6628
Special Teams SP+8150
Middle 81311
Seconds per Play25.6 (51)21.9 (10)
Rush Rate51.8% (94)49.6% (93)

Georgia Tech vs Ole Miss

Betting Pick & Prediction

Against an SEC opponent, the absence of Harris would be a big deal. Against a porous Georgia Tech front seven, that won’t be the case.

Judkins has failed to meet the expectations associated with being named to pretty much every preseason watch list, but this is the perfect get-right game for the sophomore running back. Judkins had 98 yards and two touchdowns splitting carries with Zach Evans a year ago against the Yellow Jackets, and he should be in for something of similar quality this time around.

King is still working into a new offense with first-year coordinator Buster Faulkner, and he’s had a propensity to turn the ball over dating back to his career with the Aggies.

The Rebels have a game against Alabama next week, but Georgia Tech's run defense has been so bad that even the Ole Miss backups should be effective when the team tries to slow things down.

Also, don't forget that the backup to Dart is Spencer Sanders, who's more than capable of putting up points.

Georgia Tech has improved from a season ago, but the distance between these two programs is still at least three scores, even in a sandwich spot for the Rebels.

Pick: Ole Miss -18 (Play to 19.5)
What is QuickSlip?

QuickSlip is an Action Network feature that allows users to automatically pre-load their bet slip at FanDuel Sportsbook.

How would you rate this article?

This site contains commercial content. We may be compensated for the links provided on this page. The content on this page is for informational purposes only. Action Network makes no representation or warranty as to the accuracy of the information given or the outcome of any game or event.