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Illinois vs. Indiana College Football Odds, Predictions: Data Since 2005 Shows This Spread Pick Has 12% ROI

Illinois vs. Indiana College Football Odds, Predictions: Data Since 2005 Shows This Spread Pick Has 12% ROI article feature image
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David Berding/Getty Images. Pictured: Chase Brown.

Illinois vs. Indiana Odds

Illinois Odds +1.5
Indiana Odds -1.5
Over/Under 45.5 
Date Friday, September 2
Time 8 p.m. ET
Channel FOX Sports

*Odds via FanDuel as of Friday morning

The Action Network has developed a betting system with data dating back to 2005 that fits a spread pick on tonight’s game between Illinois and Indiana.

This pick has a 12% return on investment since the Bush administration for a record of 281-208-9. The specific parameters of this algorithm only apply to roughly 25 games per year — including tonight’s contest.

If you had bet $100 on each game that has fit that betting trend since 2005, you’d be up about $6,000. That’s roughly $350 per year.

And this is over a substantial sample size: 500 or so games over the past 17 seasons.

The proprietary betting system incorporates public tracking data also proprietary to the Action Network. The philosophy behind the algorithm is simple: Fade retail bettors.

We don’t recommend using this betting algorithm as an alternative to investing — variance is a much sturdier constraint in sports gambling compared to the financial markets — but similar principles apply in regard to gains over a long time horizon.

For instance, this system has a 12% annual return on investment. The S&P 500 — the approximate value of the American stock market — has risen an average of 8% over that same timeframe.

Illinois vs. Indiana Betting System Pick