Kansas vs. Oklahoma State Betting Odds Pick: Chuba Hubbard, Cowboys Running Game Should Shine (Saturday, Oct. 3)
Brian Bahr/Getty Images. Pictured: Chuba Hubbard, Teven Jenkin, Bryce Bray, and Logan Carter.
- Oklahoma State travels to Lawrence on Saturday to take on Kansas in a Big 12 battle.
- The Cowboys' have a stellar run game featuring Heisman candidate Chuba Hubbard, and that could play a key role in helping the under hit.
- Dillon Essma breaks the game down and shares two picks with updated odds below.
Kansas vs. Oklahoma State Betting Odds
|Kansas Odds||+23.5 [BET NOW]|
|Oklahoma State Odds||-23.5 [BET NOW]|
|Moneyline||+980/-2200 [BET NOW]|
|Over/Under||53.5 [BET NOW]|
|Time||Saturday, 3:30 p.m. ET|
Oklahoma State travels to Lawrence, Kansas, to face Kansas Saturday afternoon. The Cowboys look to add their third win in a row, while the Jayhawks hope to secure their first win of the season.
Oklahoma State Cowboys
Oklahoma State has started the year off on the right foot, winning both of its first two games.
The Tulsa game was definitely disappointing, but I thought the Cowboys played better against West Virginia. After taking a closer look at the box score, the teams looked fairly even. Oklahoma State’s passing game was pretty average, but the ground game was successful, racking up 214 yards at 5.2 yards per carry. Chuba Hubbard is by far the Cowboys’ best player, so that shouldn’t be much of a surprise.
With a 1.21 mark in rushing explosiveness, the Pokes rank third in the Big 12 in that category this season. The Cowboys should have a chance to take advantage of what is a pretty poor Kansas run defense that sits last in rushing success rate allowed.
On the defensive side of the ball, Oklahoma State has looked good. It has the best rushing success rate and explosiveness allowed (0.27, 0.36) in the Big 12.
It has been a tough start to the season for the Jayhawks. They lost by double digits to Coastal Carolina in their opener and then got blown out by Baylor in their second game.
After looking deeper, the stats don’t say many flattering things about Kansas. While it’s middle-of-the-pack in rushing success rate in the Big 12, it has shown some explosiveness on the ground.
However, Oklahoma State’s run defense has looked solid, and I would expect Kansas will need to throw the ball to hang with Oklahoma State. Kansas has failed to find consistent success in both passing success rate and explosiveness (0.38, 1.22). The Jayhawks have struggled to stop the run, and that will be a problem against Hubbard and company. Kansas has underwhelmed so far this campaign, and it wouldn’t surprise me if that continued.
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Betting Analysis & Pick
This is one of those bets that doesn’t feel good to make but should be the right side. I like the under in this Big 12 matchup. Neither team has a fast pace of play and both like to run the ball.
The run game should control the clock for Oklahoma State, and I’m just not sure Kansas can put up very many points here. Last year, this game ended 31-13, and Oklahoma State has had a bit of a slow start to the year.
If you’re worried about an Oklahoma State blowout, I don’t mind the Kansas team total under 14.5 (-110) as well. Under 54 (-110) is a play. I would prefer under 54.5 if you can find it, so shop around for the best line by using our NCAAF odds page.
Pick: Under 54.5, Kansas Team Total Under 14.5