Pitt vs Miami Odds & Picks: Can Panthers Come Through? (November 26)
Photo by Justin Berl/Getty Images. Pictured: M.J. Devonshire & Brandon Hill (Pittsburgh)
- The Pitt Panthers and Miami Hurricanes meet in a Saturday night ACC clash.
- Pitt enters as favorites of just under a touchdown in this Week 13 college football matchup.
- Read on for Doug Ziefel's full betting guide and pick for Pitt vs Miami.
Pitt vs Miami Odds
| Pitt Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-6.5 -110 | 43 -110o / -110u | -255 |
| Miami Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+6.5 -110 | 43 -110o / -110u | +205 |
The ACC has been quite a tough conference to get a handle on, seeing as there's been a myriad of injuries and upsets that have caused tons of variance.
In this matchup, we get the Pittsburgh Panthers going on the road to face the Miami Hurricanes.
The Panthers have put together a great season after the departure of Kenny Pickett. While their offense has a very different dynamic, the defense has stayed stout and could lead them to their eighth victory of the year.
As for the Hurricanes, unfortunately, the same cannot be said. They opened the season in the AP Top 25 poll but quickly fell out after an early season loss. However, despite past results, Miami has an opportunity to salvage its season and become bowl eligible if they can win this matchup.
Can the Hurricanes pull off the upset with their extra motivation? Or will the Panthers continue to roll? Let's dig in to find out.
Pittsburgh Panthers
Entering the season, many thought the addition of Kedon Slovis would help the Panthers maintain some of the vertical passing attacks they had with Kenny Pickett. However, they have gone in the opposite direction.
Slovis has been a game manager who has more interceptions than touchdowns. His primary job has been to hand the ball off to Israel Abanikanda.
The junior running back has burst onto the national scene and he's been one of the best running backs in the nation. Thus far, he's racked up 1,320 yards on the ground and had scored 18 rushing touchdowns, which is good for second in the country.
Abanikanda has carried the offense this year, but he will have a tough task in this Miami front. The Hurricanes are 34th in yards per rush allowed and may have the edge in the trenches, as their defensive line has been the strength of the defense.
It will be up to Slovis to keep drives alive because the Hurricanes have been burned with explosive plays. While that is not Slovis' forte, the Hurricanes are 77th in completion percentage allowed, so he should keep the chains moving.
Miami Hurricanes
Miami's chances in this matchup depend entirely on the status of quarterback Tyler Van Dyke. The sophomore has missed each of the last two weeks with a shoulder injury and is questionable for this game.
While Van Dyke has not taken the leap many thought he would make this season; he remains a far better option than backups Jake Garcia and Jacurri Brown. If Van Dyke is unable to go, the Hurricanes' offensive outlook is bleak.
Miami has not gotten anything going on the ground this season, as they'll enter 110th in yards per rush. It's not like they would've had any success against Pitt's defense as it is. The Panthers rank ninth in yards per rush allowed and seventh in Defensive Line Yards.
The Panthers have also been tremendous against the pass, seeing as they're eighth in opponent completion percentage allowed and 17th in yards pass allowed.
Pitt vs Miami Matchup Analysis
Toggle the dropdowns below to hide or show how Pitt and Miami match up statistically:
Pitt Offense vs. Miami Defense
 | Offense | Defense |  Edge |
| Rush Success | 51 | 44 | |
| Line Yards | 57 | 60 |  |
| Pass Success | 80 | 44 | |
| Pass Blocking** | 50 | 13 | |
| Havoc | 62 | 8 | |
| Finishing Drives | 85 | 50 | |
| ** Pass Blocking (Off.) vs. Pass Rush (Def.) | |||
Miami Offense vs. Pitt Defense
| Offense | Defense | Edge |
| Rush Success | 14 | 10 | |
| Line Yards | 43 | 7 | |
| Pass Success | 57 | 23 | |
| Pass Blocking** | 53 | 34 | |
| Havoc | 58 | 7 | |
| Finishing Drives | 100 | 48 | |
| ** Pass Blocking (Off.) vs. Pass Rush (Def.) | |||
Pace of Play / Other
| | |
| PFF Tackling | 4 | 111 |
| PFF Coverage | 6 | 10 |
| SP+ Special Teams | 48 | 3 |
| Seconds per Play | 28.6 (109) | 26.9 (80) |
| Rush Rate | 57.9% (33) | 50.7% (87) |
Data via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD), FootballOutsiders, SP+, Pro Football Focus, and SportSource Analytics.
Pitt vs Miami Betting Pick
The market has held steady on the spread in this matchup as we await Van Dyke's status. However, the value is on Pitt at the current number. It's plausible that Van Dyke will be held out if he's not 100%.
This game could be a slugfest if Van Dyke does not go, but the Panthers could completely shut down the Miami offense. While the Panther rushing attack may be hindered, they have a much better chance of putting up points.
Back the Panthers to end the Hurricanes' year.
Pick: Pitt -6.5 |
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