Wilson: My Projected Odds for Every Week 5 College Football Game

Wilson: My Projected Odds for Every Week 5 College Football Game article feature image
Credit:

Gary A. Vasquez-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Brian Asamoah and Ronnie Perkins

  • Collin Wilson uses his power ratings to project odds for every Week 5 college football game.
  • Use these numbers to find early betting value before lines move.

Week 4 could best be described as moving day for the College Football Playoff. Notre Dame earned plenty of respect in a loss to Georgia, while Michigan was trucked by Jonathan Taylor and Wisconsin.

The Action Network power ratings held up in a Pitt outright underdog victory over Central Florida. Auburn also stated its case to be included in the upper echelon of the SEC with a road victory at Texas A&M.

Circa Sports in Las Vegas will continue to be first to market with Week 5 opening lines, and we’re projecting every point spread ahead of that release with true box score results in mind.

Miami needed a defensive stop to survive Central Michigan, Kent State put up 750 yards of offense and Southern Illinois out gained yet another FBS team.

Every Sunday morning the Action Network will shed light on point spread projections for every game of the following week to find early betting value.

Look here in preparation for opening lines and follow me in The Action Network App when I bet those lines on Sunday afternoon.

Projected College Football Odds, Week 5

A negative number indicates the home team is favored by that many points; positive number means the home team is an underdog.

Week 5 Scheduling Notes

  • Kansas State, Oregon State, Georgia Tech, Northern Illinois, Western Kentucky and UNLV are all off a bye week.
  • Houston, Utah, USC, Louisiana Tech and Air Force have extra rest.
  • Coastal Carolina, Kentucky, UConn, South Alabama and Central Michigan will be on back-to-back travel.
  • Navy-Memphis, Penn State-Maryland, Duke-Virginia Tech, Middle Tennessee-Iowa, Cincinnati-Marshall, Texas Tech-Oklahoma and Minnesota-Purdue face each other off a bye week.
  • Teams on back-to-back travel visiting teams off a bye week include UCLA at Arizona, Louisiana at Georgia Southern and SMU at South Florida.

Week 5 Injury Notes

  • Colorado wide receiver Laviska Shenault did not return to the game with an undisclosed injury.
  • Ole Miss quarterback Matt Corral left the previous game with a rib injury. His status for Alabama is unknown.
  • Texas cornerback Jalen Green was lifted from the previous game due to a shoulder injury.
  • BYU leading rusher Ty’son Williams left with a knee injury. His status for Toledo is unknown.
  • Florida State quarterback James Blackman left with a left knee injury. His status for NC State is unknown.
  • Kentucky quarterback Sawyer Smith was lifted from the previous game following a right shoulder injury.
  • Utah running back Zack Moss exited with a separated shoulder. He is doubtful on Sept. 28 to face Washington State.
  • USC quarterback Kedon Slovis left with a head injury. His status is unknown for Washington.

Week 5 Situation Spots to Play

  • San Jose State is fresh off an upset of Arkansas as a 20-point underdog. The Spartans hit the road again on a short week at Air Force. Colorado Springs has an elevation over 6,000 feet.
  • Appalachian State comes off an in-state underdog victory over North Carolina to host a hot Coastal Carolina.
  • Old Dominion led and nearly upset Virginia, similar to an outright victory over Virginia Tech in 2018. Last season the Monarchs followed that up that win with a loss against East Carolina. The Pirates visit Old Dominion in a similar letdown spot.
  • In four of the past five games between Kansas and TCU, the Jayhawks kept the score within six points.
  • Temple players should put in their best effort against former coach Geoff Collins and Georgia Tech.
  • Central Florida will look to erase a Week 4 loss in the ‘Civil Conflict’ rivalry hosting UConn.