Texas A&M vs LSU Odds & Pick: Why to Bet This Underdog
Jonathan Bachman/Getty Images. Pictured: LSU’s Jayden Daniels.
Texas A&M Aggies vs LSU Tigers Odds
| Texas A&M Aggies Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Point Spread | Over/Under | Moneyline |
+12.5 -105 | 66.5 -115o / -105u | +350 |
| LSU Tigers Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Point Spread | Over/Under | Moneyline |
-12.5 -115 | 66.5 -115o / -105u | -450 |
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The LSU Tigers host the Texas A&M Aggies in the SEC season finale. The Aggies are two weeks removed after dismissing Jimbo Fisher, while the LSU Tigers continue to make the case for Jayden Daniels to win the Heisman trophy.
Let’s take a look at the Texas A&M vs. LSU odds and make a prediction.
The Aggies look to finish the regular season on a positive note after an easy win last week over Abilene Christian.
Interim coach Elijah Robinson should have his guys focused as rivalry week always brings out everyone’s best. The Aggies are looking to finish 8-4 and help boost their record in hopes of landing in a better bowl.
Sophomore quarterback Jaylen Henderson, who replaced the injured Max Johnson a few weeks ago, leads the offense. A&M is down to its third-string quarterback, but Henderson has added some quarterback-run elements to the offense.
The Aggies' offense ranks 52nd in Success Rate but has underperformed expectations given the talent on the roster. The run game hasn't been explosive (106th) and is just 47th in Success Rate.
A&M benefits greatly from its No. 1 ranking in average field position and will need some short fields to help keep up with LSU's high-octane offense.
The defense has been fantastic, allowing only 19.5 points per game. The Aggies have played many tough offenses and still rank seventh in the country defensively. They should be able to limit LSU's offense better than most teams the Tigers have faced this season.
Brian Kelly proved last week that he is trying to keep Daniels in the Heisman conversation as he kept the quarterback in to score eight touchdowns during a blowout victory.
LSU’s offense has been the best in the country and is extremely explosive. The Tigers rank first overall in Offensive Success Rate and are 21st in explosiveness.
Daniels has been awesome as a dual-threat quarterback, and Malik Nabers has been impressive making plays after the catch. LSU should be able to air it out and make some plays to get points against A&M’s defense.
The key, as always for LSU this season, will be to stop the opposing offense.
The Tigers defense ranks 101st against the run this year, something A&M will look to exploit to keep the ball away from the Tigers' offense. The Tigers allow 27.5 points per game, and I expect a similar number here.
LSU needs to slow down A&M's run game and keep the Aggies from turning this into a time-of-possession game. LSU’s pass defense isn't any better, so the Aggies should be able to do whatever they want on offense.
Toggle the dropdowns below to hide or show how Texas A&M and LSU match up statistically:
Texas A&M Offense vs. LSU Defense
 | Offense | Defense | Edge |
| Rush Success | 46 | 100 | |
| Line Yards | 72 | 113 | |
| Pass Success | 61 | 109 | |
| Havoc | 52 | 70 | |
| Finishing Drives | 47 | 125 | |
| Quality Drives | 12 | 94 |
LSU Offense vs. Texas A&M Defense
| Offense | Defense | Edge |
| Rush Success | 1 | 5 | |
| Line Yards | 1 | 4 | |
| Pass Success | 3 | 51 | |
| Havoc | 4 | 2 | |
| Finishing Drives | 1 | 8 | |
| Quality Drives | 1 | 18 |
Pace of Play / Other
| ||
| PFF Tackling | 79 | 30 |
| PFF Coverage | 25 | 89 |
| Special Teams SP+ | 82 | 86 |
| Middle 8 | 2 | 1 |
| Seconds per Play | 27.5 (76) | 26.9 (68) |
| Rush Rate | 52.3% (80) | 52.4% (72) |
Texas A&M vs LSU
Betting Pick & Prediction
I love what Daniels and LSU's offense are capable of, but I think the Aggies can keep this one close on the road. The Aggies' defense should be able to slow Daniels down enough to keep this lower scoring than a typical LSU game. I also think A&M will have some success controlling the time of possession. Give me the Aggies and the points.
Pick: Texas A&M +11.5
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