The ULM Warhawks take on the Texas State Bobcats in San Marcos, Texas. Kickoff is set for 5 p.m. ET on ESPN+.
Texas State is favored by 17.5 points on the spread with a moneyline of -950. The total is set at 57.5 points.
Here’s my ULM vs. Texas State prediction and college football picks for Saturday, November 22.
ULM vs Texas State Prediction
- ULM vs. Texas State Pick: Texas State -17.5 (-110, bet365)
My Texas State vs. ULM best bet is on the Bobcats to cover. Find the best line available on our live NCAAF odds page.
ULM vs Texas State Odds
| LA-Monroe Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+17.5 -110 | 57.5 -110o / -110u | +625 |
| Texas St Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-17.5 -110 | 57.5 -110o / -110u | -950 |
- ULM vs Texas State point spread: Texas State -17.5 (-110), ULM +17.5 (-110)
- ULM vs Texas State over/under: 57.5 (-110o / -110u)
- ULM vs Texas State moneyline: ULM +625, Texas State -950
ULM vs Texas State Pick
This game activated one of our Action PRO betting systems, powered by Evan Abrams.
The Right Favorite is a college football system built on recognizing when the betting market underestimates a favorite.
In the regular season, when an opponent is coming off a loss by seven to 23 points, perception often inflates their chances of rebounding. Yet, those weaknesses typically carry into the next game.
By focusing on contests where the total is set over 55, the system narrows in on games expected to be higher-scoring, making it more difficult for struggling teams to keep pace.
Limiting the sample to the first eleven games ensures the analysis applies before postseason adjustments in motivation and preparation occur.
Finally, the spread filter targets situations where the line is set with the other side catching points, but not in extreme ranges, allowing favorites to deliver consistent covers.
Together, these conditions create a profile where the favorite is positioned as the stronger play despite public bias suggesting otherwise.
Teams that fit this system in 2025 are 18-14 ATS (56% win, 7% ROI).
Pick: Texas State -17.5 (-110, bet365)
