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Week 12 College Football Bowl Predictions: Brett McMurphy’s Projections With Projected Spreads

Week 12 College Football Bowl Predictions: Brett McMurphy’s Projections With Projected Spreads article feature image
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Williams Paul/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images. Pictured: A UConn Huskies helmet.

Week 12 College Football Bowl Predictions

For the first time since 2015, UConn is bowl eligible. It’s an incredible achievement for first-year Huskies coach Jim Mora.

There’s just one little problem: Even though UConn is bowl-eligible, the Huskies are not technically guaranteed a bowl bid. Because UConn is an independent — it was a member of the AAC when it made its last bowl trip — the Huskies can only go bowling if there are not enough bowl-eligible teams to fill all 82 spots.

Not being part of the conference tie-ins with the bowls is the bad news.

The good news, however, is it appears there will not be more than 81 teams that are bowl eligible, so there will be room for the Huskies. No teams with less than six wins may be selected until all bowl-eligible teams are taken, meaning the Huskies should end the nation’s seventh-longest bowl drought.

Even if more than 82 teams reach six wins, sources told Action Network that ESPN would create an additional bowl, allowing all bowl-eligible teams to play in the postseason. ESPN did the same thing last year, creating the Frisco Football Classic.

As far as the Huskies’ postseason destination, they could be sent anywhere — well, the College Football Playoff semifinals is probably a longshot — so keep reading to see where I have the Huskies projected this week.

Entering the season’s final three weeks, I’m projecting there will be 80 bowl-eligible teams for 82 spots, meaning only two 5-7 teams would be needed to fill the final spots.

After last weekend, 63 teams are now bowl-eligible, while 29 have been mathematically eliminated (14 teams had their hopes crushed just last week — insert your favorite Texas A&M joke here). That means 39 teams are alive to reach bowl eligibility with 19 spots to fill.

This week’s projections include only two 5-7 teams — Rice and Iowa State, based on the Owls and Cyclones having the highest APR rankings among my projected 5-7 teams.

Here are this week’s projections with Action Network senior writer Collin Wilson’s current college football betting power ratings.

Updated 2022 College Football Betting Power Ratings

CFP National Championship Prediction

  • CFP National Championship

    Monday, Jan. 9
    Los Angeles, CA

    Georgia

    -1

    Ohio State


College Football Playoff Semifinals Projections

  • Chick-fil-A Peach Bowl

    Saturday, Dec. 31
    Atlanta, GA

    Georgia

    -9

    Tennessee

  • Vrbo Fiesta Bowl

    Saturday, Dec. 31
    Glendale, AZ

    Ohio State

    -13.5

    TCU


New Year’s Six Bowl Games

  • Rose Bowl

    Monday, Jan. 2
    Pasadena, CA

    Oregon

    Michigan

    -11
  • Goodyear Cotton Bowl

    Monday, Jan. 2
    Arlington, TX

    Penn State

    -5.5

    UCF

  • Allstate Sugar Bowl

    Saturday, Dec. 31
    New Orleans, LA

    Kansas State

    LSU

    -2.5
  • Capital One Orange Bowl

    Friday, Dec. 30
    Miami, FL

    North Carolina

    Alabama

    -12.5

Projections for All Other Bowls

  • Cheez-It Citrus Bowl

    Monday, Jan. 2
    Orlando, FL

    Illinois

    Ole Miss

    -6.5
  • ReliaQuest Bowl

    Monday, Jan. 2
    Tampa, FL

    Iowa

    Kentucky

    -1
  • Music City Bowl

    Saturday, Dec. 31
    Nashville, TN

    Wisconsin

    PK

    Arkansas

    PK
  • Arizona Bowl

    Friday, Dec. 30
    Tucson, AZ

    Buffalo

    Fresno State

    -13.5
  • TaxSlayer Gator Bowl

    Friday, Dec. 30
    Jacksonville, FL

    Clemson

    -8

    Mississippi State

  • Tony the Tiger Sun Bowl

    Friday, Dec. 30
    El Paso, TX

    Wake Forest

    Washington

    -3.5
  • Duke’s Mayo Bowl

    Friday, Dec. 30
    Charlotte, NC

    Pittsburgh

    PK

    Purdue

    PK
  • Valero Alamo Bowl

    Thursday, Dec. 29
    San Antonio, TX

    Oklahoma State

    UCLA

    -4
  • Cheez-It Bowl

    Thursday, Dec. 29
    Orlando, FL

    Notre Dame

    Texas

    -1.5
  • Pinstripe Bowl

    Thursday, Dec. 29
    Bronx, NY

    Duke

    Minnesota

    -11
  • TaxAct Texas Bowl

    Wednesday, Dec. 28
    Houston, TX

    Baylor

    -9.5

    South Carolina

  • Holiday Bowl

    Wednesday, Dec. 28
    San Diego, CA

    Florida State

    -1.5

    Utah

  • AutoZone Liberty Bowl

    Wednesday, Dec. 28
    Memphis, TN

    Oklahoma

    -16

    Arizona

  • Military Bowl

    Wednesday, Dec. 28
    Annapolis, MD

    NC State

    Cincinnati

    -3
  • Guaranteed Rate Bowl

    Tuesday, Dec. 27
    Phoenix, AZ

    Maryland

    PK

    Kansas

    PK
  • Camellia Bowl

    Tuesday, Dec. 27
    Montgomery, AL

    Eastern Michigan

    Southern Miss

    -8
  • Birmingham Bowl

    Tuesday, Dec. 27
    Birmingham, AL

    BYU

    Memphis

    -1.5
  • First Responder Bowl

    Tuesday, Dec. 27
    Dallas, TX

    Iowa State

    PK

    Oregon State

    PK
  • Quick Lane Bowl

    Monday, Dec. 26
    Detroit, MI

    UConn

    Central Michigan

    -5
  • EasyPost Hawai’i Bowl

    Saturday, Dec. 24
    Honolulu, HI

    San Jose State

    UTSA

    -7
  • Gasparilla Bowl

    Friday, Dec. 23
    Tampa, FL

    Syracuse

    -5.5

    Coastal Carolina

  • Independence Bowl

    Friday, Dec. 23
    Shreveport, LA

    Louisiana

    Tulane

    -6.5
  • Armed Forces Bowl

    Thursday, Dec. 22
    Fort Worth, TX

    SMU

    -3

    Michigan State

  • New Orleans Bowl

    Wednesday, Dec. 21
    New Orleans, LA

    Western Kentucky

    Troy

    -1.5
  • Boca Raton Bowl

    Tuesday, Dec. 20
    Boca Raton, FL

    San Diego State

    Liberty

    -6.5
  • Famous Idaho Potato Bowl

    Tuesday, Dec. 20
    Boise, ID

    Toledo

    -4.5

    UNLV

  • Myrtle Beach Bowl

    Monday, Dec. 19
    Conway, SC

    Middle Tennessee

    South Alabama

    -11
  • Frisco Bowl

    Saturday, Dec. 17
    Frisco, TX

    Houston

    PK

    Air Force

    PK
  • Las Vegas Bowl

    Saturday, Dec. 17
    Las Vegas, NV

    Florida

    USC

    -3
  • LendingTree Bowl

    Saturday, Dec. 17
    Mobile, AL

    Ball State

    Marshall

    -10.5
  • Jimmy Kimmel LA Bowl

    Saturday, Dec. 17
    Los Angeles, CA

    Washington State

    Boise State

    -2.5
  • New Mexico Bowl

    Saturday, Dec. 17
    Albuquerque, NM

    Wyoming

    -4

    Rice

  • Wasabi Fenway Bowl

    Saturday, Dec. 17
    Boston, MA

    Louisville

    -2.5

    East Carolina

    • Duluth Trading Cure Bowl

      Friday, Dec. 16
      Orlando, FL

      UAB

      Appalachian State

      -1.5
    • Bahamas Bowl

      Friday, Dec. 16
      Nassau, Bahamas

      North Texas

      PK

      Ohio

      PK

* The highest-rated champion from the Group of Five conferences (American, Conference USA, Mid-American, Mountain West and Sun Belt) will be selected to play in the Cotton Bowl if it does not qualify for College Football Playoff.

**If there are enough six-win teams to fill 42 bowls, ESPN will create another bowl not listed above. This week, Action Network does not project enough six-win teams for a 42nd bowl.

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