My Bears vs. Seahawks prediction includes the best NFL prop bets today and MNF best bets to trade at Polymarket. Sign up now with the Polymarket promo code (ACTION) ahead of Monday Night Football, which kicks off at 8:15 p.m. ET on ESPN.
- Chicago Bears (5-2): Chicago has won both games since Caleb Williams returned from injury, and its ground game leads the league at 154 rushing yards per game. Running back Kyle Monangai is out, and defensive tackle Jeffery Simmons is expected to debut after being traded from the Titans.
- Seattle Seahawks (4-3): The reigning Super Bowl champions are coming off a 20-3 win over the Chiefs that snapped a two-game losing streak. Receiver Rashid Shaheed is out, but running back Zach Charbonnet makes his 2026 debut after tearing his ACL in the playoffs 10 months ago.
Here is every trade in my Bears vs. Seahawks prediction, priced on Polymarket, one of the best prediction markets for NFL props.
| 🏈 MNF Prediction | 🏷️ Position | Price | 🤑 Return on $100 | 📈 Trade It |
|---|---|---|---|
| Luther Burden III 4+ Receptions | Yes | 63.4% | $153.78 | Trade it on Polymarket! |
| D'Andre Swift 16+ Rushing Attempts | Yes | 61.8% | $157.53 | Trade it on Polymarket! |
| Caleb Williams 2+ Passing TD | No | 58.6% | $165.93 | Trade it on Polymarket! |
| Sam Darnold 250+ Passing Yards | No | 57% | $170.35 | Trade it on Polymarket! |
| CHI +3.5 (SEA -3.5 NO) | No | 54% | $179.44 | Trade it on Polymarket! |
| D'Andre Swift 1+ TD | Yes | 51% | $189.62 | Trade it on Polymarket! |
| Under 46.5 (Over NO) | No | 50.5% | $191.42 | Trade it on Polymarket! |
| Jaxon Smith-Njigba 1+ TD | Yes | 49% | $197.10 | Trade it on Polymarket! |
| Jaxon Smith-Njigba 8+ Receptions | Yes | 48% | $201.06 | Trade it on Polymarket! |
| CHI ML | Yes | 39% | $247.53 | Trade it on Polymarket! |
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Bears vs. Seahawks Prediction: Best NFL Prop Bets Today
These Bears vs. Seahawks prediction markets are real trades from Polymarket, each priced off a $100 ticket, and they make up my best NFL prop bets today and best NFL player props for Monday Night Football.
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Best Receiving Prop Today – Luther Burden III 4+ Receptions
| 🏈 MNF Prediction | 🏷️ Position | Price | 🤑 Return on $100 | 📈 Trade It Now |
|---|---|---|---|
| Luther Burden III 4+ Receptions | Yes | 63.4% | $153.78 | Trade it now on Polymarket! |
Luther Burden III has become a real weapon in Chicago's offense, with 35 receptions and two touchdowns on the season. That is a healthy volume base for a line that only asks for four catches.
Caleb Williams has thrown short most of the year, with an average depth of target of 7.0 yards. Seattle plays a lot of shell coverage and tackles well after the catch, so Chicago's receivers will have to earn yards in small chunks. That favors catch volume over big plays.
Polymarket's board shows Yes at 61%, but the $100 ticket fills at an average price of 63.41¢, so I use 63.4% in the table. At that price, the ticket shows a $153.78 return.
- If Burden catches four or more passes, the ticket returns $153.78 on the $100 stake.
- If he finishes with three or fewer, the full $100 is lost.
That is roughly a 1.54x return on the ticket.
Best Rushing Prop Today – D'Andre Swift 16+ Rushing Attempts
| 🏈 MNF Prediction | 🏷️ Position | Price | 🤑 Return on $100 | 📈 Trade It Now |
|---|---|---|---|
| D'Andre Swift 16+ Rushing Attempts | Yes | 61.8% | $157.53 | Trade it now on Polymarket! |
D'Andre Swift has 116 carries and seven touchdowns this season, and running back Kyle Monangai has been ruled out ahead of this game. Chicago also runs the ball on 48.7% of its plays, one of the highest rates in the league.
Seattle has not allowed a 100-yard rusher in 36 straight games, so yardage is the harder side of this matchup. Attempts are different, and a one-score spread should keep Chicago on the ground rather than chasing points.
Polymarket's board shows Yes at 61%, but the $100 ticket fills at an average price of 61.84¢, so I use 61.8% in the table. The ticket shows a $157.53 return at that price.
- If Swift gets 16 or more rushing attempts, the ticket returns $157.53 on the $100 stake.
- If he finishes with 15 or fewer, the full $100 is lost.
That is roughly a 1.58x return on the ticket.
Best Passing Prop Today – Caleb Williams Under 2 Passing Touchdowns
| 🏈 MNF Prediction | 🏷️ Position | Price | 🤑 Return on $100 | 📈 Trade It Now |
|---|---|---|---|
| Caleb Williams 2+ Passing TD | No | 58.6% | $165.93 | Trade it now on Polymarket! |
Williams has thrown five touchdowns against one interception this season, and he has added two rushing touchdowns of his own. Chicago's offense leans on the ground game and short throws, which keeps his passing touchdown ceiling in check.
Seattle's defense has held opponents to 17.9 points per game, the fourth-best mark in the league. Fewer than two passing touchdowns is the likely outcome when drives stall or finish on a Swift or Williams rushing score.
Polymarket's board shows No at 58%, but the $100 ticket fills at an average price of 58.58¢, so I use 58.6% in the table. The ticket shows a $165.93 return.
- If Williams throws zero or one touchdown pass, the ticket returns $165.93 on the $100 stake.
- If he throws two or more, the full $100 is lost.
That is roughly a 1.66x return on the ticket.
Best Passing Prop Today – Sam Darnold Under 250 Passing Yards
| 🏈 MNF Prediction | 🏷️ Position | Price | 🤑 Return on $100 | 📈 Trade It Now |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Darnold 250+ Passing Yards | No | 57% | $170.35 | Trade it now on Polymarket! |
Sam Darnold leads the NFL with eight interceptions despite missing time, and he has struggled under pressure, completing 26 of 66 passes for 331 yards, two touchdowns and four interceptions.
Defensive tackle Jeffery Simmons is expected to debut for Chicago after last week's trade from the Titans, and Seattle gets running backs Zach Charbonnet and Jadarian Price back.
A more balanced Seattle offense that funnels its passing through Jaxon Smith-Njigba keeps the Under on 250 yards very live.
I buy No at an average price of 57¢ on a $100 ticket, and the ticket shows a $170.35 return.
- If Darnold finishes with 249 passing yards or fewer, the ticket returns $170.35 on the $100 stake.
- If he reaches 250 or more, the full $100 is lost.
That is roughly a 1.70x return on the ticket.
Best Spread Pick Today – Bears +3.5
| 🏈 MNF Prediction | 🏷️ Position | Price | 🤑 Return on $100 | 📈 Trade It Now |
|---|---|---|---|
| CHI +3.5 (SEA -3.5 NO) | No | 54% | $179.44 | Trade it now on Polymarket! |
Seattle is a 3-point favorite at most sportsbooks, so Polymarket's 3.5-point line gives the Bears extra cushion. This No contract cashes if Chicago wins outright or loses by three points or fewer.
Seattle has won four of the last six meetings, but this game is a clash of strengths: Chicago's league-leading ground game against Seattle's stingy defense. The Bears rank eighth in the league at 25.7 points per game, which should be enough to keep this close.
I buy No on Seattle winning by more than 3.5 points at an average price of 54¢ on a $100 ticket. The ticket shows a $179.44 return.
- If the Bears win or lose by three points or fewer, the ticket returns $179.44 on the $100 stake.
- If Seattle wins by four or more, the full $100 is lost.
That is roughly a 1.79x return on the ticket.
Best Anytime TD Scorer Predictions Today – D'Andre Swift 1+ Touchdown
| 🏈 MNF Prediction | 🏷️ Position | Price | 🤑 Return on $100 | 📈 Trade It Now |
|---|---|---|---|
| D'Andre Swift 1+ TD | Yes | 51% | $189.62 | Trade it now on Polymarket! |
Swift headlines my Anytime TD Scorer Predictions on the Chicago side, with seven touchdowns this season. With Monangai out, Swift should face even less competition for backfield work.
Seattle's run defense is elite, but touchdowns come from red-zone chances, not yardage totals. Chicago scored 59, 31 and 30 points in Williams' three starts outside the Minnesota rainstorm, so scoring opportunities should be there.
I buy Yes at an average price of 51¢ on a $100 ticket, and the ticket shows a $189.62 return.
- If Swift scores at least one touchdown, the ticket returns $189.62 on the $100 stake.
- If he does not score, the full $100 is lost.
That is roughly a 1.90x return on the ticket.
Best Total Pick Today – Under 46.5
| 🏈 MNF Prediction | 🏷️ Position | Price | 🤑 Return on $100 | 📈 Trade It Now |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 46.5 (Over NO) | No | 50.5% | $191.42 | Trade it now on Polymarket! |
The 46.5-point total is tied for Seattle's highest of the season. The Seahawks just held Kansas City to three points and kept the Chiefs out of the red zone entirely.
Chicago's run-first approach should also burn clock, and its 154 rushing yards per game leads the league. The risk is Chicago's recent scoring, as Polymarket projects 48 combined points, so this is close to a coin flip.
Polymarket's board shows No at 50%, but the $100 ticket fills at an average price of 50.5¢, so I use 50.5% in the table. The ticket shows a $191.42 return.
- If the game finishes with 46 total points or fewer, the ticket returns $191.42 on the $100 stake.
- If it reaches 47 or more, the full $100 is lost.
That is roughly a 1.91x return on the ticket.
Best Anytime TD Scorer Predictions Today – Jaxon Smith-Njigba 1+ Touchdown
| 🏈 MNF Prediction | 🏷️ Position | Price | 🤑 Return on $100 | 📈 Trade It Now |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jaxon Smith-Njigba 1+ TD | Yes | 49% | $197.10 | Trade it now on Polymarket! |
Jaxon Smith-Njigba leads the NFL with eight receiving touchdowns this season, along with 867 receiving yards and 43 receiving first downs. He also owns the league's top target share at 36.3% of Seattle's pass attempts.
Rashid Shaheed is out, which leaves Seattle's secondary options thinner, I don't believe Chicago has anybody who can cover Smith-Njigba one-on-one. Seattle has played seven games, so eight touchdowns makes 49% look light.
I buy Yes at an average price of 49¢ on a $100 ticket, and the ticket shows a $197.10 return.
- If Smith-Njigba scores at least one touchdown, the ticket returns $197.10 on the $100 stake.
- If he does not score, the full $100 is lost.
That is roughly a 1.97x return on the ticket.
Best Receiving Prop Today – Jaxon Smith-Njigba 8+ Receptions
| 🏈 MNF Prediction | 🏷️ Position | Price | 🤑 Return on $100 | 📈 Trade It Now |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jaxon Smith-Njigba 8+ Receptions | Yes | 48% | $201.06 | Trade it now on Polymarket! |
Smith-Njigba has more receptions than Seattle's next three pass catchers, and AJ Barner, Cooper Kupp and Shaheed combined for 53 catches. With Shaheed out Monday, even more volume should come his way.
He also posted a 150-yard game against the Chiefs last week. The risk is game script, since a run-heavy Seattle with Charbonnet and Price back could trim targets, but his role does not depend on the scoreboard.
I buy Yes at an average price of 48¢ on a $100 ticket, and the ticket shows a $201.06 return.
- If Smith-Njigba catches eight or more passes, the ticket returns $201.06 on the $100 stake.
- If he finishes with seven or fewer, the full $100 is lost.
That is roughly a 2.01x return on the ticket.
Best Moneyline Pick Today – Bears
| 🏈 MNF Prediction | 🏷️ Position | Price | 🤑 Return on $100 | 📈 Trade It Now |
|---|---|---|---|
| CHI ML | Yes | 39% | $247.53 | Trade it now on Polymarket! |
Chicago is 5-2 and has won both games since Williams returned from injury, with the offense piling up 552, 368 and 405 yards in his three starts outside the Minnesota game.
Sportsbooks have the Bears at roughly +140 to +150, which lines up with Polymarket's 39%. This is the longest shot on my board, but a Simmons-led pass rush against Darnold under pressure makes the upset path easy to see.
I buy Bears Yes at an average price of 38.75¢ on a $100 ticket, and the ticket shows a $247.53 return.
- If Chicago wins outright, the ticket returns $247.53 on the $100 stake.
- If Seattle wins, the full $100 is lost.
That is roughly a 2.48x return on the ticket.
Bears vs. Seahawks Prediction: Moneyline, Spread and Total Prices
Here is the full Moneyline, Spread and Total board from the Polymarket game page, with both sides of every line.
| 🏈 MNF Prediction | 🏷️ Position | Price | 🤑 Est. Return on $100 | 📈 Trade It |
|---|---|---|---|
| CHI ML | Yes | 39% | $247.53 | Trade it on Polymarket! |
| SEA ML | Yes | 62% | $161.29 | Trade it on Polymarket! |
| SEA -3.5 | Yes | 46% | $217.39 | Trade it on Polymarket! |
| CHI +3.5 (SEA -3.5 NO) | No | 54% | $179.44 | Trade it on Polymarket! |
| Over 46.5 | Yes | 50% | $200.00 | Trade it on Polymarket! |
| Under 46.5 (Over NO) | No | 50.5% | $191.42 | Trade it on Polymarket! |
Polymarket builds its spread market around Seattle winning by more than 3.5 points, so the Bears side is the No contract on that line. The total works the same way, with Under 46.5 as the No side of the Over contract.
What's Moving the Market on the Best NFL Player Props
Prediction markets have Seattle at 62% to win and Chicago at 39%, in line with sportsbook pricing of roughly -165 to -179 on the Seahawks.
Polymarket's 3.5-point spread also sits half a point above the 3-point number at most sportsbooks, which is why the Bears cover ticket carries a hook. The total sits at 50% on both sides, even though sportsbooks price the Under slightly heavier.
That split shows up across the best NFL player props, where Chicago run volume and Smith-Njigba's target share anchor the board, and it shapes the rest of my Bears vs. Seahawks prediction.
Lineup news is the thing to watch. Shaheed and Monangai are out, and Simmons is expected to make his Bears debut, so touchdown prices like my Anytime TD Scorer Predictions tend to move fastest when snap counts become clear.
My MNF best bets could look different if that changes before kickoff.
How to Trade These MNF Best Bets on Polymarket
Ready to get in on this board? Here's exactly how to claim the bonus and start trading Bears vs. Seahawks prediction markets:
- Read a comprehensive Polymarket review to understand how this exchange operates.
- Follow this guide to trading on Polymarket to learn how to buy your first "Yes" or "No" contract.
- Monitor the relevant tab on Polymarket to stay ahead of the live order book movements.
- When you're ready, sign up with Polymarket promo code ACTION to get started!
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Final Thoughts on My Bears vs. Seahawks Prediction
This Bears vs. Seahawks prediction comes down to a clash of strengths, with the league's top rushing attack facing one of its stingiest defenses.
That is why my best NFL prop bets today lean toward the Under, the Bears at +3.5 and volume props that hold up whatever the scoreboard says.
My MNF best bets are not all about Chicago, though. Smith-Njigba is the engine of Seattle's offense, and his touchdown and reception props are the best Seattle-side value on the board. Prices move as news comes, so check the Polymarket board before you trade.
FAQs
What is the best Bears vs. Seahawks prediction on Polymarket?
My Bears vs. Seahawks prediction leans on a low-scoring, one-score game, with the Under on 46.5 total points and the Bears at +3.5. On the Seattle side, Jaxon Smith-Njigba is the player I trust most.
What are the best NFL prop bets today for Bears vs. Seahawks?
My best NFL prop bets today for Monday Night Football are Luther Burden III 4+ receptions, D'Andre Swift 16+ rushing attempts, Caleb Williams under 2 passing touchdowns and Sam Darnold under 250 passing yards.
What are the best NFL player props for Bears vs. Seahawks?
The best NFL player props on my board lean on volume, including Burden's receptions, Swift's rushing attempts and Smith-Njigba's targets, because those hold up regardless of game script.
Who are the best Anytime TD Scorer Predictions for Bears vs. Seahawks?
My Anytime TD Scorer Predictions are Jaxon Smith-Njigba at 49% and D'Andre Swift at 51%. Smith-Njigba leads the NFL with eight receiving touchdowns this season, and Swift has seven touchdowns.
What are the MNF best bets for Bears vs. Seahawks?
My MNF best bets on the game lines are Under 46.5 total points and the Bears at +3.5. I also have a Bears Moneyline ticket as the longest shot on the board.
How do I claim the Polymarket promo code for Bears vs. Seahawks?
Use the Polymarket promo code link in this article, create your account and enter the code during sign-up. Then complete a qualifying deposit to unlock the offer.
When is Bears vs. Seahawks and what channel is it on?
Bears vs. Seahawks on Monday Night Football closes out the Week 8 schedule today, Nov. 2 at Lumen Field in Seattle. It airs on ESPN.
What are the Bears vs. Seahawks odds on Polymarket?
Polymarket has the Seahawks at 62% to win and the Bears at 39%. Seattle is priced at 46% to win by more than 3.5 points, and the Over 46.5 total sits at 50%.
