Brewers vs Rays Prediction | Best MLB Player Props & HR Picks for World Series Game 5

The Kalshi promo code (ACTION55) is perfect to use on World Series Game 5, and this Brewers vs Rays prediction rounds up our best MLB player props today from the live Kalshi board.

• The Brewers lead the series 3-1 and are one win from the first championship in franchise history, with Cy Young favorite Jacob Misiorowski (1.80 ERA, 252 strikeouts) on the mound after Milwaukee used eight pitchers in a Game 4 loss.
• The Rays stayed alive with a 4-3 walk-off win in 12 innings, but they have no fully rested starter for this win-or-go-home game at Tropicana Field, and Junior Caminero is playing through an ailing left foot.

Here are the best home run bets today and the best hits props from one of the best prediction markets, grouped by market before we break down every ticket and every full Kalshi board.

Read our dedicated Kalshi review to learn more, or check out more prediction market promo codes for other platforms.

Best Brewers vs Rays Prediction: MLB Player Props Today for World Series Game 5

Every pick below is a real trade we would make on Kalshi, one of the best prediction market apps, as part of our MLB coverage for Game 5, grouped by market: home runs, then 2+ home runs, then hits, then combined hits, runs and RBIs.

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Brewers vs Rays Prediction Odds: Moneyline, Spread and Total

Before the prop markets, here is where the Brewers vs Rays prediction stands on the base game lines, with both sides of every market.

Milwaukee is priced as the clear favorite to finish the series, while the Rays carry the longer price if you believe a bullpen game can push this to a Game 6.

The total of 6.5 runs is a near coin flip, which fits a game where Misiorowski faces a short bullpen game on the other side.

Best Home Run Bets Today: Brewers vs. Rays Prediction

Our best home run bets today start with the 1+ home run market, where we like one Rays slugger and four Brewers bats, ordered from the shortest price to the longest.

Home Run Bets Today – Junior Caminero 1+

Junior Caminero is the Rays' biggest power threat, and he hobbled off the field with an ailing left foot in Game 4. Manager Kevin Cash said he will play on Wednesday, and Caminero said the same.

It is a must-win spot, because a Rays loss ends their season and hands Milwaukee the title. Pressure can lead to chasing pitches, but one swing from Caminero against a tired Brewers bullpen is exactly how Tampa Bay extends this series.

A $100 buy at 18¢ works out to roughly 555 contracts, each worth $1 if the market resolves Yes, and Kalshi lists the max payout at $540.05.

• If Caminero hits a home run: this ticket returns $540.05.
• If not: the full $100 stake is lost, since Kalshi contracts settle all-or-nothing.

A return of better than 5.4x your stake, and the highest implied probability on our home run slate.

Home Run Bets Today – Jackson Chourio 1+

Chourio hit 25 home runs this season and projects to lead off for Milwaukee, which gives him the most plate appearances of any Brewers hitter.

His price has ticked up two points on the board, and the Rays are about to lean on relievers rather than a rested starter, so the matchups should lean his way.

A $100 buy at 17¢ works out to roughly 588 contracts, each worth $1 if the market resolves Yes, and Kalshi lists the max payout at $571.58.

• If Chourio goes deep: this ticket returns $571.58.
• If not: the full $100 stake is lost, since Kalshi contracts settle all-or-nothing.

A return of nearly 5.7x your stake on one of the most likely power plays on the board.

Home Run Predictions Today – William Contreras 1+

Contreras has gone deep twice in his last 10 games, and he is the most dangerous bat in the Brewers lineup right now.

He also bats fourth in the projected Brewers lineup, so he should come to the plate in plenty of run-producing spots against a taxed Rays bullpen.

A $100 buy at 15¢ works out to roughly 666 contracts, each worth $1 if the market resolves Yes, and Kalshi lists the max payout at $647.40.

• If Contreras homers: this ticket returns $647.40.
• If not: the full $100 stake is lost, since Kalshi contracts settle all-or-nothing.

A return of roughly 6.5x your stake for a hitter who is in a groove.

Home Run Prop Today – Jake Bauers 1+

Jake Bauers bats left-handed and projects to hit second in the Brewers order, so he should get a few looks at the Rays bullpen.

The risk is that Cash leans on his lefties, with Steven Matz and Garrett Cleavinger both expected to see high-leverage work, which is why this is one of the riskier tickets on our home run list.

A $100 buy at 15¢ works out to roughly 666 contracts, each worth $1 if the market resolves Yes, and Kalshi lists the max payout at $647.40.

• If Bauers goes deep: this ticket returns $647.40.
• If not: the full $100 stake is lost, since Kalshi contracts settle all-or-nothing.

A return of better than 6.4x your stake, but this one carries real matchup risk.

Home Run Prop Today – Brice Turang 1+

Turang is more of a contact hitter than a slugger, which explains why the market has him at just 9¢.

That price is the point. If the Rays are forced to throw relievers deep into the lineup, even a contact bat can run into one, and the payout is far larger than any other Brewers ticket here.

A $100 buy at 9¢ works out to roughly 1,111 contracts, each worth $1 if the market resolves Yes, and Kalshi lists the max payout at $1,076.77.

• If Turang homers: this ticket returns $1,076.77.
• If not: the full $100 stake is lost, since Kalshi contracts settle all-or-nothing.

A return of better than 10.7x your stake, which makes this a true longshot swing.

Home Run Bets Today – Junior Caminero 2+

This is the lottery ticket on our card. Caminero needs two home runs in a game, and he is doing it on a sore left foot against the best pitcher in the National League.

The must-win pressure of a World Series elimination game can go either way, but a two-homer night from Caminero is the kind of outcome that would keep Tampa Bay alive.

A $100 buy at 2¢ works out to roughly 5,000 contracts, each worth $1 if the market resolves Yes, and Kalshi lists the max payout at $4,834.

• If Caminero hits two or more home runs: this ticket returns $4,834.
• If not: the full $100 stake is lost, since Kalshi contracts settle all-or-nothing.

A return of more than 48x your stake, so keep any position here small.

Brewers vs. Rays Prediction – Full Home Run Board

Our home run predictions today cover every player Kalshi has priced for this game, so you can compare every price before you trade.

• Junior Caminero (TB) (Home Runs 1+: Yes 18¢): the Rays' top power bat, playing on a sore left foot.
• Jackson Chourio (MIL) (Home Runs 1+: Yes 17¢): Milwaukee's projected leadoff hitter and the biggest Brewers power threat on the board.
• William Contreras (MIL) (Home Runs 1+: Yes 15¢): red hot, with two home runs in his last 10 games.
• Jake Bauers (MIL) (Home Runs 1+: Yes 15¢): a left-handed bat who could see a lefty from Cash's bullpen.
• Jonathan Aranda (TB) (Home Runs 1+: Yes 10¢): projects to bat second for the Rays, and his price has ticked up a point.
• Yandy Díaz (TB) (Home Runs 1+: Yes 10¢): more of a gap hitter, but he has two home runs in his last 10 games.
• Brice Turang (MIL) (Home Runs 1+: Yes 9¢): a contact-first second baseman with a longshot price.
• Jonny DeLuca (TB) (Home Runs 1+: Yes 8¢): drove in a run with a single in the 12th inning rally in Game 4.
• Garrett Mitchell (MIL) (Home Runs 1+: Yes 7¢): a lower-lineup Brewers bat who was moved down the order for Game 4.
• Cooper Pratt (MIL) (Home Runs 1+: Yes 7¢): doubled in a run in Game 4 and has seen his price tick up a point.
• Taylor Walls (TB) (Home Runs 1+: Yes 5¢): a bottom-of-the-order Rays shortstop at a longshot price.
• Junior Caminero (TB) (Home Runs 2+: Yes 2¢): a two-homer game is a true lottery ticket on a sore foot.

Two home runs in one game is a rare outcome, but Kalshi prices it, and one Rays slugger gives us a lottery ticket.

Hits Props: Brewers vs. Rays Prediction

The hits market is where the safer tickets live, and these best MLB player props today include one pick from each lineup.

Hits Prop Today – Yandy Díaz 2+

Yandy Díaz is 12 for 44 with five doubles and two home runs over his last 10 games, and he projects to set the table for the Rays at the top of the order.

This is a win-or-go-home game for Tampa Bay, because a loss ends the World Series and sends the Brewers home with their first title. That kind of pressure can tighten up even a veteran hitter, and Díaz has to get two hits against Misiorowski and the Brewers bullpen to cash.

A $100 buy at 32¢ works out to roughly 312 contracts, each worth $1 if the market resolves Yes, and Kalshi lists the max payout at $296.45.

• If Díaz collects two or more hits: this ticket returns $296.45.
• If not: the full $100 stake is lost, since Kalshi contracts settle all-or-nothing.

A return of almost 3x your stake, for a hitter who rarely goes quietly.

Hits Prop Today – Jackson Chourio 2+

Jackson Chourio is a one-hit favorite on the board at 70¢, and he already collected two hits in the Game 4 loss.

The Rays are heading into a bullpen game, and a projected leadoff hitter who hit 27 doubles and 25 home runs this season should see plenty of at-bats against relievers who are working on short rest.

A $100 buy at 32¢ works out to roughly 312 contracts, each worth $1 if the market resolves Yes, and Kalshi lists the max payout at $305.21.

• If Chourio collects two or more hits: this ticket returns $305.21.
• If not: the full $100 stake is lost, since Kalshi contracts settle all-or-nothing.

A return of just over 3x your stake for a leadoff bat in a favorable spot.

Brewers vs. Rays Prediction – Full Hits Board

Every player Kalshi has priced for hits in this game, including every one-hit line plus the two-hit lines we like most.

• Jackson Chourio (MIL) (Hits 1+: Yes 70¢): the highest price on the board, for a projected leadoff hitter who had two hits in Game 4.
• Yandy Díaz (TB) (Hits 1+: Yes 68¢): the projected Rays leadoff man, down two points on the board.
• William Contreras (MIL) (Hits 1+: Yes 66¢): 17 for 40 over his last 10 games.
• Brice Turang (MIL) (Hits 1+: Yes 62¢): a contact hitter who should see the Rays bullpen early.
• Cooper Pratt (MIL) (Hits 1+: Yes 62¢): doubled in a run in Game 4 and is a steady source of contact.
• Junior Caminero (TB) (Hits 1+: Yes 62¢): down two points on the board, and he is playing through a sore left foot.
• Jonny DeLuca (TB) (Hits 1+: Yes 60¢): came through with a clutch single in the 12th inning in Game 4.
• Jake Bauers (MIL) (Hits 1+: Yes 57¢): a left-handed bat who may see lefty relievers.
• Jonathan Aranda (TB) (Hits 1+: Yes 56¢): up a point as the Rays look to string together rallies.
• Garrett Mitchell (MIL) (Hits 1+: Yes 54¢): a lower-lineup bat who was moved down the order for Game 4.
• Taylor Walls (TB) (Hits 1+: Yes 41¢): the lowest price on the board for a bottom-of-the-order bat.
• Yandy Díaz (TB) (Hits 2+: Yes 32¢): our Rays hit prop, with must-win pressure the main concern.
• Jackson Chourio (MIL) (Hits 2+: Yes 32¢): our Brewers hit prop, with a Rays bullpen game ahead.

Hits + Runs + RBIs Props: Brewers vs. Rays Prediction

The combined market gives hitters three ways to cash, and our two picks both come from the Milwaukee lineup.

Hits + Runs + RBIs Prop Today – William Contreras 2+

William Contreras is the hottest bat in this series, going 17 for 40 with a double and two home runs over his last 10 games.

Tampa Bay is expected to piece together a bullpen game after using seven pitchers in Game 4, and a middle-of-the-order bat like Contreras has three ways to cash this ticket through hits, runs and RBIs.

A $100 buy at 51¢ works out to roughly 196 contracts, each worth $1 if the market resolves Yes, and Kalshi lists the max payout at $192.76.

• If Contreras records two or more combined hits, runs and RBIs: this ticket returns $192.76.
• If not: the full $100 stake is lost, since Kalshi contracts settle all-or-nothing.

A return of just under 1.93x your stake makes this the shortest price on our card and the safest ticket we are taking.

Hits + Runs + RBIs Prop Today – Brice Turang 2+

Brice Turang projects to hit behind Contreras in the Brewers lineup, which gives him real run-producing and run-scoring chances if the top of the order gets on base.

Misiorowski has not gone past five innings in any playoff start, so Milwaukee hitters should see plenty of a Rays bullpen that has been stretched to its limit this week.

A $100 buy at 45¢ works out to roughly 222 contracts, each worth $1 if the market resolves Yes, and Kalshi lists the max payout at $218.02.

• If Turang records two or more combined hits, runs and RBIs: this ticket returns $218.02.
• If not: the full $100 stake is lost, since Kalshi contracts settle all-or-nothing.

A return of better than 2.1x your stake on a number that sits close to a coin flip.

Brewers vs. Rays Prediction – Full Hits + Runs + RBIs Markets

Every player Kalshi has priced for hits, runs and RBIs in this game, where the thresholds vary from player to player.

• Garrett Mitchell (MIL) (Hits + Runs + RBIs 1+: Yes 62¢): a one-event line for a lower-lineup bat.
• Jackson Chourio (MIL) (Hits + Runs + RBIs 2+: Yes 56¢): up a point on the board for the projected Brewers leadoff man.
• William Contreras (MIL) (Hits + Runs + RBIs 2+: Yes 51¢): our top Brewers combined prop.
• Yandy Díaz (TB) (Hits + Runs + RBIs 2+: Yes 49¢): the projected Rays leadoff man, with a lot riding on his at-bats.
• Taylor Walls (TB) (Hits + Runs + RBIs 1+: Yes 49¢): a one-event line for the bottom of the Rays order.
• Brice Turang (MIL) (Hits + Runs + RBIs 2+: Yes 45¢): our second Brewers combined prop.
• Cooper Pratt (MIL) (Hits + Runs + RBIs 2+: Yes 44¢): doubled in a run in Game 4, and the Brewers need him to keep the pressure on.
• Junior Caminero (TB) (Hits + Runs + RBIs 2+: Yes 44¢): a banged-up slugger who can still do damage.
• Jake Bauers (MIL) (Hits + Runs + RBIs 2+: Yes 43¢): a left-handed bat near the top of the order.
• Jonny DeLuca (TB) (Hits + Runs + RBIs 2+: Yes 41¢): a Rays hitter who delivered in Game 4.
• Jonathan Aranda (TB) (Hits + Runs + RBIs 2+: Yes 38¢): the longest price on the combined board, even after a one-point drop.

What's Moving the Brewers vs. Rays Prediction Markets

Prediction markets and prices can move for several reasons. The Brewers moneyline has climbed four points to 58%, while the Rays have dropped four points to 42%, and Milwaukee covering the 1.5-run spread has also gained four points.

Much of that likely reflects Tampa Bay's unsettled pitching plan, since the Rays used Nick Martinez in relief in Game 4 and have no fully rested starter, while Misiorowski takes the ball for Milwaukee.

The home run predictions today have also shifted. Chourio, Pratt, Aranda and Contreras are all up a point or two, while Díaz and Caminero are each down two points on the hits board.

A Rays loss ends their season and the World Series, and that must-win pressure is the one factor no price can fully capture, for better or worse.

How to Trade These World Series Picks on Kalshi

Ready to get in on this board? Here's exactly how to claim the bonus and start trading:

• Read a comprehensive Kalshi review to understand how this exchange operates.
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• Monitor the relevant tab on Kalshi to stay ahead of the live order book movements.
• When you're ready, sign up with Kalshi promo code ACTION55 to get started!

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Final Thoughts: Brewers vs Rays Prediction for Game 5

Milwaukee has the better pitcher, the series lead and a chance to win the first title in franchise history, and the market prices that accordingly. Our best MLB player props today lean on a Rays bullpen game that has few fresh arms left, and our home run predictions today follow the same logic.

The Rays are the story on the other side. A loss ends their World Series, and the weight of that win-or-go-home spot can show up in at-bats, which is part of why our Rays tickets sit at longer prices.

That wraps our Brewers vs Rays prediction and the best home run bets today on the Kalshi board. For more on how these markets work, the prediction markets hub covers every other sport in season.

Brewers vs Rays Predictions – FAQs

Who wins the Brewers vs Rays prediction for Game 5? The Kalshi board favors Milwaukee at 58% to win outright, with the Brewers leading the World Series 3-1 and one win from their first title.

What is the Kalshi promo code for World Series Game 5? The current Kalshi promo code is ACTION55. New users can create an account, make a qualifying deposit and enter the code to unlock the trading bonus before first pitch.

What are the best MLB player props today for Game 5? Our top plays lean on William Contreras and Brice Turang in the combined hits, runs and RBIs market, Yandy Díaz and Jackson Chourio to collect two hits, and Junior Caminero to go deep.

What are the best home run bets today? Junior Caminero is the shortest price on the board for a home run at 18¢, followed by Jackson Chourio at 17¢ and William Contreras and Jake Bauers at 15¢ each.

What are the best home run predictions today for the Rays? Caminero is the Rays' top home run prediction, though he is playing through an ailing left foot, while Jonathan Aranda and Yandy Díaz both sit at 10¢.

Who is starting for the Rays in Game 5? Tampa Bay had not named a starter, and manager Kevin Cash is expected to rely on a bullpen game after the Rays used their rotation over the past four nights.

What happens if the Rays lose Game 5? A Rays loss ends the World Series and hands Milwaukee its first championship, while a win sends the series back to Milwaukee for Game 6.

How do Kalshi home run contracts work? Each contract resolves Yes if the named player hits at least the listed number of home runs in this game, and No if he does not. A winning contract pays out in full, and a losing one pays nothing.