Sunday Night Football lands at Soldier Field, and this Bucs vs. Bears prediction rounds up our best NFL prop bets today straight from the live Kalshi board.
- The Bears (6-2, per Goal) have won three straight, including a Monday night win over Seattle, while the Bucs (3-5, per SI) head to Chicago for a primetime road game.
- Chicago is a 6.5-point favorite on Kalshi's spread market, the total sits at 47.5, and new users can use Kalshi promo codeACTION55 to trade $25 and get a $55 bonus.
Here is our full picks table before we break down every pick, the game lines, and every player prop board tonight.
| 🏈 SNF Prediction | 🏷️ Position | Price | 🤑 Est. Profit on $100 | 📈 Trade It Now |
|---|---|---|---|
| D'Andre Swift 1+ Anytime Touchdowns | Yes | 62¢ | $61.29 | Trade it on Kalshi! |
| Baker Mayfield 200+ Passing Yards | Yes | 55¢ | $81.82 | Trade it on Kalshi! |
| Bucs +6.5 (Bears -6.5 NO) | No | 53¢ | $88.68 | Trade it on Kalshi! |
| Kenny Gainwell 10+ Receiving Yards | Yes | 51¢ | $96.08 | Trade it on Kalshi! |
| Bucky Irving 1+ Anytime Touchdowns | Yes | 47¢ | $112.77 | Trade it on Kalshi! |
| Colston Loveland 1+ Anytime Touchdowns | Yes | 38¢ | $163.16 | Trade it on Kalshi! |
| Rome Odunze 1+ Anytime Touchdowns | Yes | 34¢ | $194.12 | Trade it on Kalshi! |
| Kalif Raymond 1+ Anytime Touchdowns | Yes | 17¢ | $488.24 | Trade it on Kalshi! |
| Zavion Thomas 1+ Anytime Touchdowns | Yes | 6¢ | $1,566.67 | Trade it on Kalshi! |
Best NFL Player Props for Bucs vs. Bears
Every pick below is a real trade we'd make after redeeming the Kalshi promo code (ACTION55), part of our best NFL player props for this entire matchup, ranked from the safest number down to the long shots. Our profit figures are estimates based on the listed price and don't include fees, and the final fill can differ.
Use Kalshi promo code ACTION55 and Trade $25, Get $55!
Best Anytime Touchdown Prop Today – D'Andre Swift 1+ Touchdown
| 🏈 SNF Prediction | 🏷️ Position | Price | 🤑 Est. Profit on $100 | 📈 Trade It Now |
|---|---|---|---|
| D'Andre Swift 1+ Anytime Touchdowns | Yes | 62¢ | $61.29 | Trade it now on Kalshi! |
D'Andre Swift is the shortest-priced touchdown on the whole board at 62%, and the reason is easy to see when you look at Chicago's backfield.
Heavy.com reported that Kyle Monangai is likely out for Sunday night, which leaves Swift as the clear lead option. With the Bears favored by 6.5 on Kalshi's board, a lead back should see plenty of red-zone work.
At 62 cents, a $100 trade buys roughly 161 shares, each worth $1 on a Yes result.
- If Swift scores a touchdown: estimated profit of $61.29.
- If he doesn't: the $100 stake is a total loss.
It's the safest ticket on our card, and it still pays back more than half your stake in profit.
Best Passing Yards Prop Today – Baker Mayfield 200+ Yards
| 🏈 SNF Prediction | 🏷️ Position | Price | 🤑 Est. Profit on $100 | 📈 Trade It Now |
|---|---|---|---|
| Baker Mayfield 200+ Passing Yards | Yes | 55¢ | $81.82 | Trade it now on Kalshi! |
Tampa Bay arrives as a road underdog, and that usually means the quarterback throws more than the Bucs would like.
Kalshi has Mayfield at 55% to clear 200 yards, a full 50 yards below the 250-yard bar set for Caleb Williams. If Chicago builds an early lead, the Bucs have to move the ball through the air.
At 55 cents, $100 buys about 182 shares, each paying $1 if Mayfield gets there.
- If Mayfield throws for 200 or more yards: estimated profit of $81.82.
- If he doesn't: the $100 stake is a total loss.
A modest yardage bar at a near coin-flip price, which is the kind of number we like on a primetime road underdog.
Best Spread Pick Today – Bucs +6.5
| 🏈 SNF Prediction | 🏷️ Position | Price | 🤑 Est. Profit on $100 | 📈 Trade It Now |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bucs +6.5 (Bears -6.5 NO) | No | 53¢ | $88.68 | Trade it now on Kalshi! |
Our Bucs vs. Bears prediction leans on the points. Kalshi's spread market asks whether Chicago wins by more than 6.5, and the No side at 53 cents is how to back Tampa Bay with a cushion.
Pro Football Talk's Mike Florio is calling for a three-point Bears win, per the Buccaneers' own expert picks roundup. SI's On SI also notes the Bears are on a short week, and that teams with an edge in preparation time are 29-9 this season.
At 53 cents, $100 buys roughly 189 shares on the No side.
- If the Bucs win or lose by six or fewer, the estimated profit is $88.68.
- If Chicago wins by seven or more: the $100 stake is a total loss.
That's nearly 1.9x your money with a full-touchdown cushion.
Best Receiving Yards Prop Today – Kenny Gainwell 10+ Yards
| 🏈 SNF Prediction | 🏷️ Position | Price | 🤑 Est. Profit on $100 | 📈 Trade It Now |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kenny Gainwell 10+ Receiving Yards | Yes | 51¢ | $96.08 | Trade it now on Kalshi! |
Ten yards is a low bar for a back who catches passes, and Kalshi has this one sitting right at a coin flip at 52%.
If Tampa Bay trails and leans on short throws, checkdowns to the backfield are the easiest way to move the chains.
At 51 cents, a $100 trade comes to about 196 shares.
- If Gainwell reaches 10 receiving yards, the estimated profit is $96.08.
- If he doesn't: the $100 stake is a total loss.
Almost a 2x return on a small number that doesn't need a big game.
Best Anytime Touchdown Prop Today – Bucky Irving 1+ Touchdown
| 🏈 SNF Prediction | 🏷️ Position | Price | 🤑 Est. Profit on $100 | 📈 Trade It Now |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bucky Irving 1+ Anytime Touchdowns | Yes | 47¢ | $112.77 | Trade it now on Kalshi! |
Irving is the second-shortest touchdown price on the board at 46%, behind only Swift.
He's also priced at 80% to rush for 40 or more yards, so Kalshi clearly expects him to get his touches. If the Bucs stay within a score or two, the ground game stays in the plan.
At 47 cents, $100 buys roughly 213 shares.
- If Irving scores a touchdown: estimated profit of $112.77.
- If he doesn't: the $100 stake is a total loss.
A better-than-2x return on the Bucs' best touchdown number.
Best Anytime Touchdown Prop Today – Colston Loveland 1+ Touchdown
| 🏈 SNF Prediction | 🏷️ Position | Price | 🤑 Est. Profit on $100 | 📈 Trade It Now |
|---|---|---|---|
| Colston Loveland 1+ Anytime Touchdowns | Yes | 38¢ | $163.16 | Trade it now on Kalshi! |
Colston Loveland is the highest-priced Bears pass catcher on the touchdown board at 38%, and Kalshi shows his price up two points.
He's priced at 85% to catch for 20 or more yards, a sign the market sees him as a major part of Chicago's passing game and a real red-zone option.
At 38 cents, $100 buys about 263 shares.
- If Loveland scores a touchdown, the estimated profit is $163.16.
- If he doesn't: the $100 stake is a total loss.
A plus-money price with a payout of more than 1.6x your stake.
Best Anytime Touchdown Prop Today – Rome Odunze 1+ Touchdown
| 🏈 SNF Prediction | 🏷️ Position | Price | 🤑 Est. Profit on $100 | 📈 Trade It Now |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rome Odunze 1+ Anytime Touchdowns | Yes | 34¢ | $194.12 | Trade it now on Kalshi! |
Odunze checks in at 34%, just behind Luther Burden III at 37% on the Bears' touchdown ladder.
He's priced at 80% to reach 20 receiving yards, which tells you the market expects him to be targeted often. A receiver who sees volume gets his share of looks inside the 20.
At 34 cents, a $100 trade buys roughly 294 shares.
- If Odunze scores a touchdown, the estimated profit is $194.12.
- If he doesn't: the $100 stake is a total loss.
Nearly 2x your risk on a Chicago receiver who should see volume.
Best Anytime Touchdown Prop Today – Kalif Raymond 1+ Touchdown
| 🏈 SNF Prediction | 🏷️ Position | Price | 🤑 Est. Profit on $100 | 📈 Trade It Now |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kalif Raymond 1+ Anytime Touchdowns | Yes | 17¢ | $488.24 | Trade it now on Kalshi! |
Raymond is priced at 17%, and he's priced at 63% to catch for 10 or more yards, so Kalshi sees him as a regular part of Chicago's offense.
With the Bears favored, a depth receiver can steal a score when the defense focuses on Loveland, Burden, and Odunze.
At 17 cents, $100 buys about 588 shares.
- If Raymond scores a touchdown, the estimated profit is $488.24.
- If he doesn't: the $100 stake is a total loss.
A long shot, but the payout runs to nearly 5x your stake.
Best Anytime Touchdown Prop Today – Zavion Thomas 1+ Touchdown
| 🏈 SNF Prediction | 🏷️ Position | Price | 🤑 Est. Profit on $100 | 📈 Trade It Now |
|---|---|---|---|
| Zavion Thomas 1+ Anytime Touchdowns | Yes | 6¢ | $1,566.67 | Trade it now on Kalshi! |
This is the lottery ticket of the slate. Thomas sits at 6%, the lowest touchdown price on the Bears' side of the board.
A one-play score from a depth piece happens in a blowout or a trick-play spot, and you only need it once.
At 6 cents, $100 buys roughly 1,667 shares.
- If Thomas scores a touchdown, the estimated profit is $1,566.67.
- If he doesn't: the $100 stake is a total loss.
An extreme longshot, but the payout is more than 15x your stake.
Bucs vs. Bears Moneyline
Before the board dives into player props, here's where this Bucs vs. Bears prediction stands on tonight's base game lines.
Chicago Bears Moneyline
Chicago is the clear home favorite, priced at 71% to win outright on the moneyline at Soldier Field.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers Moneyline
Tampa Bay is the road underdog at 29% to win outright, which means a Yes trade at 29 cents pays out more than 3x your stake if the Bucs pull the upset.
Spread and Total for SNF Best Bets
Chicago is laying 6.5 points tonight, and the total sits at 47.5. Both markets moved up a point on Kalshi's board.
Bucs vs. Bears Spread
Chicago to win by more than 6.5 points is priced at 48¢ Yes against 53¢ No, so the market leans slightly toward the Bucs keeping it within a touchdown.
Bucs vs. Bears Total
The total sits at 47.5 points, priced at 52¢ Yes on the over against 50¢ No on the under, essentially a pick'em.
What's Moving the Market?
Prediction markets and prices can move for several reasons, and we can't say what drove any single move on Kalshi's board. Here's what changed.
Colston Loveland's touchdown price is up two points to 38%, while Tez Johnson's is down seven to 11%. Roschon Johnson's 10-yard receiving price fell nine points to 27%, and D'Andre Swift's 40-yard rushing price rose three points to 79%.
Tampa Bay's injury picture matters here too. Check the latest NFL injuries report before kickoff, because Kyle Monangai's reported status for Chicago and any late Bucs changes can shift these touchdown prices. Our Bucs vs. Bears prediction also compares well against the current NFL odds if you want to shop a number.
Not sure whether to trade or bet? Our breakdown of NFL prediction markets vs. sportsbooks walks through the differences.
How to Trade SNF Best Bets on Kalshi
Ready to get in on these SNF best bets yourself? Here's exactly how to claim the bonus and start trading tonight's board:
- Read a comprehensive Kalshi review to understand how this exchange operates.
- Follow this guide to trading on Kalshi to learn how to buy your first "Yes" or "No" contract.
- Browse the best NFL prediction market promos to compare offers from other platforms.
- When you're ready, sign up with Kalshi promo code ACTION55, trade $25, and claim your $55 bonus to get started!
📝 KALSHI TERMS & CONDITIONS
Certain limitations apply. The offer is available to new users only, subject to the terms and conditions at kalshi.com/tc/55. 18+ only. Restrictions and eligibility requirements apply. Event contract trading involves significant risk and is not appropriate for everyone. Please carefully consider if it is appropriate for you in light of your personal financial circumstances. Kalshi products are not available in all jurisdictions. See kalshi.com/regulatory for more information. Not available in AZ, IL, MA, MD, MI, MT, NV, OH, and WA.
Final Thoughts: Best NFL Prop Bets Today
Chicago looks like the better team on paper, but the Bears haven't won on Sunday Night Football since 2018, per Goal, and they're on a short week. That's why our Bucs vs. Bears prediction takes the 6.5 points with Tampa Bay and builds the rest of the card around touchdowns and yardage.
For more on how these markets work, our prediction markets hub covers every sport in season, and the best prediction market apps page compares your other options.
That wraps our full Bucs vs. Bears prediction and every best NFL prop bets today pick we'd make on the Kalshi board.
Bucs vs. Bears Prediction FAQs
Who wins the Bucs vs. Bears prediction tonight?
The Kalshi board favors Chicago at 71% to win outright, with the Bears also laying 6.5 points on the spread. We're taking the Bucs +6.5 at 53 cents on the No side.
What are the best NFL player props for this game?
Our top plays lean on D'Andre Swift's anytime touchdown, Baker Mayfield's 200-yard passing number, and Bucky Irving's anytime touchdown.
What are the best anytime TD scorer predictions for Bucs vs. Bears?
D'Andre Swift (62%) and Bucky Irving (46%) sit atop the full anytime touchdown board, with Colston Loveland the top Chicago pass catcher at 38%.
How do I use Kalshi promo code ACTION55?
Create an account, trade $25, and enter code ACTION55 to unlock a $55 bonus, subject to the terms and conditions.
What time does Bucs vs. Bears kick off?
Kickoff is set for 8:20 p.m. ET on Sunday, Nov. 8, at Soldier Field. The game airs on NBC and streams on Peacock.
How do Kalshi NFL contracts work?
Each contract resolves Yes if the stated condition is met in the game and No if it isn't. Shares bought at a given price pay out $1 each if your side wins, and nothing if it doesn't.
