Caleb Williams player props headline our best NFL player props for tonight's Monday Night Football matchup between the Bears and Seahawks, while the Kalshi promo code ACTION55 gives new NFL traders a way to get started before kickoff for Bears vs. Seahawks.
- Chicago enters as a road underdog tonight, leaning on Williams' arm to keep pace with a Seattle team favored across the board.
- Williams has three separate passing yardage thresholds live on Kalshi tonight, giving traders a real ladder of prices to choose from.
Here's our full NFL picks table for tonight's game.
| 🏈 Pick | 🏷️ Price | 🤑 Est. Return on $100 | 📈 Trade It |
|---|---|---|---|
| Caleb Williams Over 200+ Passing Yards | Yes | 68¢ | $147.06 | Trade it on Kalshi! |
| Caleb Williams Over 225+ Passing Yards | Yes | 53¢ | $188.68 | Trade it on Kalshi! |
| Caleb Williams Over 250+ Passing Yards | Yes | 38¢ | $263.16 | Trade it on Kalshi! |
Read more from the Kalshi review to learn more, or check out more prediction market promo codes for other platforms.
Best NFL Player Props Today for Caleb Williams
Every pick below is built using our best prediction market apps picks for NFL markets, part of our best NFL player props today for this entire matchup.
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Best Passing Yards Pick Today – Caleb Williams Over 200+ Yards
| 🏈 Pick | 🏷️ Price | 🤑 Est. Return on $100 | 📈 Trade It Now |
|---|---|---|---|
| Caleb Williams Over 200+ Passing Yards | Yes | 68¢ | $147.06 | Trade it now on Kalshi! |
With Chicago an underdog on the road, Williams figures to throw often tonight just to keep pace, and a 200-yard floor is the safest of his three thresholds live on the board.
Seattle's defense is solid, but a Bears offense that's leaned on Williams' arm all season gives this number real cushion even in a tougher matchup.
A $100 buy at a 68¢ average price works out to roughly 147 shares, each worth $1 if the contract resolves Yes.
- If Williams throws for 200 or more yards: this ticket returns $147.06 on a $100 stake.
- If he doesn't: the full $100 stake is lost, since Kalshi contracts settle all-or-nothing.
A real favorite price on the safest of Williams' three passing yardage lines tonight.
Best Passing Yards Pick Today – Caleb Williams Over 225+ Yards
| 🏈 Pick | 🏷️ Price | 🤑 Est. Return on $100 | 📈 Trade It Now |
|---|---|---|---|
| Caleb Williams Over 225+ Passing Yards | Yes | 53¢ | $188.68 | Trade it now on Kalshi! |
This middle threshold sits right at a coin flip, the fairest price of the three lines for traders who want balanced risk on Williams' night through the air.
A road underdog spot against a favored opponent often means more game-script passing volume in the second half, which supports this number holding up.
A $100 buy at a 53¢ average price is roughly 189 shares on this ticket.
- If Williams throws for 225 or more yards: this ticket returns $188.68 on a $100 stake.
- If he doesn't: the $100 stake is gone entirely.
A true coin flip price right in the middle of tonight's passing yardage ladder.
Best Passing Yards Pick Today – Caleb Williams Over 250+ Yards
| 🏈 Pick | 🏷️ Price | 🤑 Est. Return on $100 | 📈 Trade It Now |
|---|---|---|---|
| Caleb Williams Over 250+ Passing Yards | Yes | 38¢ | $263.16 | Trade it now on Kalshi! |
The top threshold of tonight's ladder is priced as a real long shot, reflecting how much volume it would take for Williams to clear 250 yards against a complete Seattle defense.
If Chicago falls behind early, a true pass-heavy game script could still get Williams there, which keeps this number from being an afterthought.
A $100 buy at a 38¢ average price is roughly 263 shares on this ticket, each worth $1 on a Yes resolution.
- If Williams throws for 250 or more yards: this ticket returns $263.16 on a $100 stake.
- If he doesn't: the full $100 stake is lost entirely, since Kalshi contracts settle all-or-nothing.
The deepest long shot of the three thresholds, built for a trader chasing the biggest multiple tonight.
Bears vs Seahawks Moneyline, Spread and Total
Before the board dives deeper into Williams' passing props, here's where tonight's game lines stand on Kalshi.
| 🏈 Pick | 🏷️ Price | 🤑 Est. Return on $100 | 📈 Trade It |
|---|---|---|---|
| Seattle Seahawks Moneyline | Yes | 62¢ | $161.29 | Trade it on Kalshi! |
| Chicago Bears Moneyline | Yes | 39¢ | $256.41 | Trade it on Kalshi! |
| Seahawks to Win by 4+ | Yes | 48¢ | $208.33 | Trade it on Kalshi! |
| Bears to Keep It Within 3 (Seahawks NO) | No | 53¢ | $188.68 | Trade it on Kalshi! |
| Over 46.5 | Yes | 50¢ | $200.00 | Trade it on Kalshi! |
| Under 46.5 (Over NO) | No | 51¢ | $196.08 | Trade it on Kalshi! |
What's Moving the Market
Prediction markets move for many reasons, and our best NFL player props today lean on two things tonight.
Williams carrying three separate passing yardage thresholds is a sign of real liquidity and interest in his night through the air, with the middle number sitting right at a coin flip.
Chicago's underdog status is exactly why the lower threshold draws real confidence, since a team playing from behind for stretches tends to lean even more heavily on its passing game.
How to Trade This Board on Kalshi
Ready to get in on this board? Here's exactly how to claim the bonus and start trading:
- Read a comprehensive Kalshi review to understand how this exchange operates.
- Follow this guide to trading on Kalshi to learn how to buy your first "Yes" or "No" contract.
- Monitor the relevant tab on Kalshi to stay ahead of the live order book movements.
- When you're ready, sign up with Kalshi promo code ACTION55 to get started!
📝 KALSHI TERMS & CONDITIONS
Certain limitations apply. The offer is available to new users only, subject to the terms and conditions at kalshi.com/tc/55. 18+ only. Restrictions and eligibility requirements apply. Event contract trading involves significant risk and is not appropriate for everyone. Please carefully consider if it is appropriate for you in light of your personal financial circumstances. Kalshi products are not available in all jurisdictions. See kalshi.com/regulatory for more information. Not available in AZ, IL, MA, MD, MI, MT, NV, OH, and WA.
Caleb Williams Player Props: Final Thoughts
Williams' passing yardage ladder gives traders a real spread of prices tonight, from a safe floor at 200 yards to a genuine long shot at 250.
The middle threshold stands out as the fairest price on the board, a true coin flip given how much volume a road underdog spot should generate for Chicago's passing game.
That combination of a safe floor, a coin flip middle number, and a real long shot ceiling is what makes tonight one of our best NFL player props today for Monday Night Football.
Kalshi Promo Code FAQs
What is the best Caleb Williams player prop for tonight's game?
His 200-yard passing threshold stands out as the safest play, priced at 68% given how often Chicago has leaned on his arm this season.
How many passing yards does Caleb Williams need to clear his prop tonight?
Kalshi lists three thresholds: 200 yards at 68%, 225 yards at 53%, and 250 yards at 38%.
Who wins the Bears vs Seahawks prediction tonight?
The market favors Seattle at 62% to win outright, with the Seahawks also favored to win by 4 or more points.
What time does Bears vs Seahawks kick off?
This one plays out tonight at 8:15 PM ET on Monday Night Football.
How do I use the Kalshi promo code on tonight's game?
Create an account, make a qualifying deposit, and enter the Kalshi promo code before placing your first trade to unlock the sign up bonus.
