Chiefs vs. Seahawks Player Props & Best NFL Picks Today | Kalshi Promo Code ACTION55: Trade $25, Get a $55 Bonus

Sunday Night Football brings a potential Super Bowl preview to Seattle, and this Chiefs vs. Seahawks prediction rounds up our best player props from the live Kalshi board.

• The undefeated Chiefs (5-0) visit the defending-champion Seahawks (3-3) at Lumen Field, with Seattle a 2.5-point home favorite and the total set at 42.5.
• Kenneth Walker III returns to Seattle in a Kansas City uniform, and kickoff is at 8:20 PM ET on NBC.

Here is our full picks table before we break down every pick, the game lines, and every player prop board tonight. You can also see all of the NFL prediction market promos available this week.

Best NFL Player Props for Chiefs vs. Seahawks

Every pick below is a real trade we'd make after redeeming the Kalshi promo code (ACTION55), part of our best NFL player props for this entire matchup, ranked from the safest number down to the long shots.

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Best Rushing Yards Prop Today – Kenneth Walker III 60+ Yards

Kenneth Walker III spent last season carrying Seattle's backfield and now returns to Lumen Field in a Chiefs uniform, where he's been a monster in Kansas City's offense, piling up 665 rushing yards and six touchdowns through five games.

Seattle's rushing attack has gone nowhere without him, and the Seahawks are down Zach Charbonnet and first-round pick Jadarian Price in the backfield, which shows how much they've missed that ground presence. The Chiefs are also thin at receiver, which should keep Walker's workload heavy.

Kalshi has Walker clearing 16+ carries at 72%, and that volume is exactly why the 60-yard number is the safest ticket on the board.

At a $100 buy at 73 cents, this works out to roughly 134 contracts, each paying $1 if the market resolves Yes (profit shown is estimated after Kalshi fees).

• If this hits: estimated profit of $34.33.
• If it doesn't: the $100 stake is a total loss.

Safest number on the slate, but the price is steep, so the profit is the smallest of the group.

Best Passing Yards Prop Today – Patrick Mahomes 200+ Yards

Patrick Mahomes is priced at 62% to reach 200 passing yards, a mark he clears in most weeks, even when the Chiefs lean on the run game.

Kansas City is banged up at wide receiver, with Rashee Rice dealing with a hamstring and knee issue and Tyquan Thornton on injured reserve, but Mahomes still has Travis Kelce, Xavier Worthy and Noah Gray to work with.

Seattle's defense is the best Kansas City has seen, so the 200-yard line is a sensible floor, not a ceiling.

At a $100 buy at 62 cents, this works out to roughly 157 contracts, each paying $1 if the market resolves Yes (profit shown is estimated after Kalshi fees).

• If this hits: estimated profit of $57.07.
• If it doesn't: the $100 stake is a total loss.

A better-than-coin-flip price on a quarterback who rarely stays under this number.

Best Receptions Prop Today – AJ Barner 3+ Catches

AJ Barner is one of Sam Darnold's most trusted targets, and the market has him at 58% to catch at least three passes.

With tight end Elijah Arroyo ruled out, Barner should see even more of the underneath volume that keeps Seattle's offense on schedule.

Kalshi also has him at 25% to score and 51% to reach 25 receiving yards, which fits the kind of player Darnold looks for in structure and the red zone.

At a $100 buy at 58 cents, this works out to roughly 167 contracts, each paying $1 if the market resolves Yes (profit shown is estimated after Kalshi fees).

• If this hits: estimated profit of $67.29.
• If it doesn't: the $100 stake is a total loss.

A volume play with a floor that doesn't need a big gain.

Best Receptions Prop Today – Jaxon Smith-Njigba 7+ Catches

Jaxon Smith-Njigba is the engine of Seattle's passing game, and 7+ catches come in at 55%.

Darnold's turnover problems have dragged down the offense, which has fallen from third in scoring to 13th, and JSN remains the team's most dependable outlet.

L'Jarius Sneed's knee has kept him on the Chiefs' injury report, so Kansas City's secondary may not be at full strength against the most targeted receiver on the field.

At a $100 buy at 55 cents, this works out to roughly 176 contracts, each paying $1 if the market resolves Yes (profit shown is estimated after Kalshi fees).

• If this hits: estimated profit of $76.15.
• If it doesn't: the $100 stake is a total loss.

A high-volume number for the game's best receiver.

Best Passing Yards Prop Today – Sam Darnold 225+ Yards

Darnold is priced at 52% to reach 225 passing yards, essentially a coin flip.

Seattle's run game ranks near the bottom of the league in EPA per rush without Walker, which pushes more of the offense through the air.

The Seahawks are slight home favorites, but Kansas City's offense can force Seattle to throw, and Darnold has the weapons in JSN, Cooper Kupp, Rashid Shaheed, and Barner to get there.

At a $100 buy at 52 cents, this works out to roughly 186 contracts, each paying $1 if the market resolves Yes (profit shown is estimated after Kalshi fees).

• If this hits: estimated profit of $86.03.
• If it doesn't: the $100 stake is a total loss.

A near coin-flip price with a game script that leans toward the over.

Best Receiving Yards Prop Today – Jaxon Smith-Njigba 90+ Yards

The 90-yard bar for JSN is 52% on Kalshi, a high number, but he is the focal point of Seattle's offense.

A defending champion coming off back-to-back losses will lean on its best player, and with Seattle's backfield depleted, the passing game has to carry more weight.

If Sneed is limited, JSN becomes an even tougher cover for a secondary that hasn't faced a receiver like him yet.

At a $100 buy at 52 cents, this works out to roughly 186 contracts, each paying $1 if the market resolves Yes (profit shown is estimated after Kalshi fees).

• If this hits: estimated profit of $86.03.
• If it doesn't: the $100 stake is a total loss.

A ceiling play on the best pass catcher in this matchup.

Best Receiving Yards Prop Today – Travis Kelce 50+ Yards

Travis Kelce is priced at 46% for 50 receiving yards, and with Rice banged up, he is Mahomes' most trusted option in a tough road environment.

Kelce was limited at practice earlier in the week with an ankle issue, so check the injury report before kickoff, but the market clearly expects him to play a full role.

Mahomes has leaned on his tight end in big games for a decade.

At a $100 buy at 46 cents, this works out to roughly 209 contracts, each paying $1 if the market resolves Yes (profit shown is estimated after Kalshi fees).

• If this hits: estimated profit of $109.22.
• If it doesn't: the $100 stake is a total loss.

A slightly longer-than-even price on Mahomes' security blanket.

Best Anytime Touchdown Prop Today – Travis Kelce

Kelce is the second-likeliest player on the board to score at 29%, behind only JSN.

Kansas City's offense has dealt with receiver injuries, which funnels more red-zone looks to Kelce.

Seattle's defense held Denver to just 3 yards per play in Week 6, so touchdowns may be hard to come by, and Kelce is the red-zone target Kansas City will rely on.

At a $100 buy at 29 cents, this works out to roughly 328 contracts, each paying $1 if the market resolves Yes (profit shown is estimated after Kalshi fees).

• If this hits: estimated profit of $228.15.
• If it doesn't: the $100 stake is a total loss.

Nearly 3.5-to-1 on the veteran tight end.

Best Anytime Touchdown Prop Today – AJ Barner

Barner sits at 25% to score, the third-highest price on the board and well ahead of the rest of Seattle's pass catchers outside of JSN.

With Arroyo out, Barner should get the lion's share of Seattle's tight-end snaps in the red zone.

At 25 cents, it's a fair price for a player who is both a favorite target of Darnold's and a regular near the goal line.

At a $100 buy at 25 cents, this works out to roughly 380 contracts, each paying $1 if the market resolves Yes (profit shown is estimated after Kalshi fees).

• If this hits: estimated profit of $280.01.
• If it doesn't: the $100 stake is a total loss.

Around 4-to-1 on a tight end with a legitimate role.

Best Anytime Touchdown Prop Today – Patrick Mahomes

Anytime touchdowns on Kalshi exclude passing scores, so this ticket only cashes if Mahomes runs one himself.

He is a threat on scrambles and designed runs near the goal line, and the market prices in 94% for 1+ rushing attempts and 70% for 10+ rushing yards.

A defense as strong as Seattle's could force Kansas City to settle for field goals unless Mahomes takes it himself.

At a $100 buy at 14 cents, this works out to roughly 673 contracts, each paying $1 if the market resolves Yes (profit shown is estimated after Kalshi fees).

• If this hits: estimated profit of $573.10.
• If it doesn't: the $100 stake is a total loss.

A true longshot, but the payout is more than 6-to-1.

Chiefs vs. Seahawks Moneyline

Before we dive into player props, here's where this Chiefs vs. Seahawks prediction stands on the base game lines tonight.

Seattle Seahawks Moneyline

Seattle is the home favorite, with sportsbooks pricing the Seahawks around -140 to -148 against an unbeaten Chiefs team. You can see the live number on the Chiefs vs. Seahawks Kalshi market.

Kansas City Chiefs Moneyline

Kansas City is the road underdog, at roughly +115 to +130 at sportsbooks. This is the first game between a 5-0 team and the defending Super Bowl champion since 2009, and Mahomes and Andy Reid have historically thrived on the road. Compare it all in our NFL prediction market vs. sportsbook guide.

Spread and Total for Chiefs vs. Seahawks Best Bets

Seattle is laying 2.5 points at home, and the total sits at 42.5 across the market, one of the lower numbers on the Week 7 slate.

Chiefs vs. Seahawks Spread

Seattle -2.5 is the consensus number, up from an opening line of 1.5 at some books. That movement signals confidence in a Seahawks defense that held Denver to just 3 yards per play in Week 6, though Kansas City has covered 3 of 5 this season.

Chiefs vs. Seahawks Total

The total sits at 42.5 points. The over is 4-1 in the last five meetings, though the under is 3-2 in the Chiefs' last five games. Track both sides on the live Kalshi game market.

What's Moving the Market

Prediction markets and prices can move for several reasons. This week, our best NFL player props lean on two things: the injuries on Kansas City's offense and Seattle's turnover-prone offense without Walker.

Rashee Rice (hamstring/knee) has been limited in practice, and Josh Simmons has been dealing with a back issue, which puts more weight on Kelce and Mahomes. On the Seahawks side, Elijah Arroyo is out, and Zach Charbonnet is sidelined, which funnels more volume to JSN and Barner.

Board movement has been modest so far. Check the live Kalshi market before kickoff, and our NFL injuries page for the latest on inactives.

How to Trade These Chiefs vs. Seahawks Props on Kalshi

Ready to get in on these Chiefs vs. Seahawks player props yourself? Here's exactly how to claim the bonus and start trading tonight's board:

• Read a comprehensive Kalshi review to understand how this exchange operates.
• Follow this guide to trading on Kalshi to learn how to buy your first "Yes" or "No" contract.
• Monitor the Chiefs vs. Seahawks market on Kalshi to stay ahead of live order-book movements.
• When you're ready, sign up with Kalshi promo code ACTION55 to trade $25 and get a $55 bonus!

📝 KALSHI TERMS & CONDITIONS

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Final Thoughts: Best NFL Player Props for Chiefs vs. Seahawks

Seattle's defense and Kansas City's perfect record make this one of the season's most compelling games, and the Kalshi board reflects two clear storylines: Walker's return against his old team and a Seahawks passing game built around JSN.

That wraps our full Chiefs vs. Seahawks prediction and every player prop pick we'd make on the Kalshi board. For more markets across the league, see the prediction markets hub and our rundown of the best prediction market promos.

Chiefs vs. Seahawks Prediction FAQs

What is the Kalshi promo code for Chiefs vs. Seahawks?

The current Kalshi promo code is ACTION55. New users who sign up with it can trade $25 and get a $55 bonus to use on tonight's Chiefs vs. Seahawks markets.

What are the best Chiefs vs. Seahawks player props?

Our top plays lean on Kenneth Walker III's rushing yards, Patrick Mahomes' passing yards, and Jaxon Smith-Njigba's receptions and receiving yards.

Who is favored in Chiefs vs. Seahawks?

Seattle is a 2.5-point home favorite, with the total at 42.5. Kansas City enters 5-0, and Seattle enters 3-3.

What are the best anytime TD scorer predictions for Chiefs vs. Seahawks?

Jaxon Smith-Njigba tops the Kalshi anytime touchdown board at 44%, followed by Travis Kelce at 29% and AJ Barner at 25%.

What time does Chiefs vs. Seahawks kick off?

Kickoff is at 8:20 PM ET on NBC from Lumen Field in Seattle as part of Week 7 Sunday Night Football.

How do Kalshi player prop markets work?

Each market resolves to Yes if the player reaches the stated threshold and No if not. Contracts bought at a given price pay $1 each if you're right and nothing if you're wrong.