The Georgia Senate race 2026 has Jon Ossoff priced as a 95% favorite on Polymarket and a 96% favorite on Kalshi, while the Georgia Governor race 2026 is far tighter, with Keisha Lance Bottoms at 62¢ on both exchanges even though the latest polls show a near tie.
- Jon Ossoff, Mike Collins, Keisha Lance Bottoms and Rick Jackson all have live Georgia Governor election and Senate contracts on both exchanges, and both Polymarket and Kalshi list a Governor-Senate combo market.
- The latest Georgia senate race 2026 polls have Ossoff ahead by 7 to 15 points, while Bottoms vs Jackson polls range from a 2-point Jackson edge to a 1-point Bottoms lead.
Below you'll find a full breakdown of the current Georgia Senate race 2026 and Georgia Governor election odds across the exchanges, but if you want to jump straight in, check out the latest Polymarket promo code or the Kalshi promo code.
Here's exactly where the money sits on both platforms with early voting set to close on Friday, October 30.
| 🗳️ Race | 🏢 Platform | 🏷️ Pick | Price | 🤑 Est. Return on $100 | 📈 Trade It |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Georgia Senate Race | Polymarket | Jon Ossoff | YES (95¢) | $105.26 | Trade it on Polymarket! |
| Georgia Senate Race | Polymarket | Mike Collins | YES (5¢) | $2,000.00 | Trade it on Polymarket! |
| Georgia Senate Race | Kalshi | Jon Ossoff | YES (96¢) | $104.17 | Trade it on Kalshi! |
| Georgia Senate Race | Kalshi | Mike Collins | YES (4¢) | $2,500.00 | Trade it on Kalshi! |
| Georgia Governor Race | Polymarket | Keisha Lance Bottoms | YES (62¢) | $161.29 | Trade it on Polymarket! |
| Georgia Governor Race | Polymarket | Rick Jackson | YES (39¢) | $256.41 | Trade it on Polymarket! |
| Georgia Governor Race | Kalshi | Keisha Lance Bottoms | YES (62¢) | $161.29 | Trade it on Kalshi! |
| Georgia Governor Race | Kalshi | Rick Jackson | YES (39¢) | $256.41 | Trade it on Kalshi! |
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Georgia Senate Race 2026 and Georgia Governor Election Polymarket Odds: Top Trading Contracts
Polymarket's Georgia contracts are priced 1¢ to 99¢, mapping directly to implied probability, and a "Yes" share on a candidate settles at $1.00 if that candidate wins and $0 if they lose.
Both the Georgia Senate race 2026 market and the Georgia Governor election market resolve on the winner of the November 3 general election, and Georgia requires a majority, with a December 1 runoff if no candidate clears 50%.
A methodology note: Polymarket's board only quotes each candidate's own Yes price, so the No prices below are derived by pairing each candidate against their head-to-head opponent's quoted Yes price. That is a close approximation here, since no Libertarian qualified for the Georgia ballot, though write-in votes can still make it imprecise.
Georgia Senate Race 2026
Polymarket's board tags the Senate race Safe D, and a 95¢ price on Ossoff leaves very little room for a surprise.
Jon Ossoff (YES 95¢ / NO 5¢)
Ossoff trades at 95¢, a 95% implied probability, and the Ossoff vs Collins polls give traders little reason to push back. The AJC and University of Georgia survey had him up 48% to 40%, Quantus Insights found 51.8% to 44.9%, and an Echelon Insights poll conducted for NetChoice from October 16 to 23 had him ahead 55% to 40%.
Turnout is the other pillar. Georgia had passed 2.08 million early votes as of October 28, about 53% of the projected final total, according to VoteHub, which rates the race Solid D while noting that the remaining votes will lean more Republican.
Mike Collins (YES 5¢ / NO 95¢, -<1 pts)
Collins, a congressman from Georgia's 10th District, trades at 5¢, a 5% implied probability, after a drop of less than a point on the board.
Trump's October 24 rally in Perry was his second Georgia stop in under two weeks, but the polling has not followed. Quantus found independents backing Ossoff 56% to 35%, the kind of split that makes a Collins comeback hard to model.
Georgia Governor Race 2026
Polymarket tags the Georgia Governor race 2026 as Lean D, a firmer label than a polling average that sits almost exactly even.
Keisha Lance Bottoms (YES 62¢ / NO 39¢)
Bottoms trades at 62¢, a 62% implied probability, even though the Bottoms vs Jackson polls are split. The AJC and UGA survey had Jackson up 46% to 45% and InsiderAdvantage had him ahead 49% to 47%, while the Echelon poll for NetChoice put Bottoms up 49% to 48%.
Her case rests on turnout and organization. Obama rallied with Bottoms and Ossoff in Clayton County on October 28, Kamala Harris is scheduled to visit Thursday, and the Democratic Governors Association made a late $5 million contribution that brings its total to about $16 million, CNN reported.
Rick Jackson (YES 39¢ / NO 62¢)
Jackson trades at 39¢, a 39% implied probability, and his own read on the race is close to the market's. He told supporters in Cedartown that the race is "tied at best," adding that rural Georgia has to show up for him to win.
Money is his edge. Jackson and allied groups have spent $107.2 million since June 17, compared with $28.1 million from pro-Bottoms forces, according to CNN, and Gov. Brian Kemp has campaigned alongside him while warning Republicans that they trailed in early voting.
Georgia Senate Race 2026 and Georgia Governor Election: Kalshi Odds
Kalshi lists the same two races as regulated event contracts that resolve by winning party, with Yes and No both tradable on every line, so the board shows the full spread rather than a single implied number.
Both standalone boards are active, with about $3.5 million traded on the Senate market and $3.1 million on the Governor market.
Georgia Senate Race 2026
Kalshi has Ossoff a cent firmer than Polymarket, and its own margin forecast puts the Democrat ahead by 11.8 points in the Georgia Senate race 2026.
Jon Ossoff (YES 96¢ / NO 4.1¢, +1 pts)
Ossoff gained 1 point to 96¢, a 96% implied probability. The 11.8-point forecast is wider than the AJC and UGA poll's 8-point lead and above the roughly 9.5-point margin in PollCheck's average of 51.6% to 42.1%, updated October 28.
Early voting is the tailwind. Georgia set a midterm first-day record on October 13 with more than 188,000 ballots, about 40% above the opening day in 2022, and total turnout has stayed ahead of that pace since.
Mike Collins (YES 4¢ / NO 96.1¢, -1 pts)
Collins slipped 1 point to 4¢, a cent below his Polymarket price. His campaign has waved off the polls, saying the only one that counts is the early vote.
That early vote has not helped him so far, since even VoteHub's model, which expects the late ballots to be more Republican, still rates the race Solid D.
Georgia Governor Race 2026
Kalshi's Governor board matches Polymarket to the cent on both candidates, and its margin forecast has the Democrat ahead by 1.7 points in the Georgia Governor election.
Keisha Lance Bottoms (YES 62¢ / NO 39¢)
Bottoms trades at 62¢, a 62% implied probability, and a 1.7-point forecast reads like a lean rather than a lock, which fits an Echelon poll at 49% to 48% and AJC and UGA numbers on the other side.
At her Wednesday rally with Obama, she repeatedly tied Jackson to Trump, calling him "Slick Rick" and saying he is running to be the president's favorite governor.
Rick Jackson (YES 39¢ / NO 62¢)
Jackson trades at 39¢, a 39% implied probability. His campaign dismissed the Obama rally as a life raft for Bottoms, and he has stayed on message about her record as Atlanta's mayor.
He has appeared at two of Trump's rallies this month but has largely kept the president out of his debate answers, a play for independents and undecided voters.
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Georgia Governor-Senate Combo Bets
Both exchanges let traders bet on how the two races land together, pairing a Governor outcome with a Senate outcome in a single contract.
A Democratic sweep is the clear favorite at 63¢ on both boards, up 2 points on Polymarket and 1 point on Kalshi, while a Jackson win paired with an Ossoff win sits at 36¢ on both and slipped 2 points on each. The outcomes involving a Collins win are long shots, with a GOP sweep at 5¢ and a Bottoms and Collins split at 1¢.
Neither board shows a NO price for the Bottoms and Collins pairing, so the table lists it as N/A.
| 🏢 Platform | 🗳️ Outcome | ✅ YES | ❌ NO | 📈 Trade It |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket | Keisha Lance Bottoms and Jon Ossoff win (Dem sweep) | YES 63¢ | NO 38¢ | Trade it on Polymarket! |
| Polymarket | Rick Jackson and Jon Ossoff win (split ticket) | YES 36¢ | NO 65¢ | Trade it on Polymarket! |
| Polymarket | Rick Jackson and Mike Collins win (GOP sweep) | YES 5¢ | NO 96¢ | Trade it on Polymarket! |
| Polymarket | Keisha Lance Bottoms and Mike Collins win (split ticket) | YES 1¢ | N/A | Trade it on Polymarket! |
| Kalshi | Keisha Lance Bottoms and Jon Ossoff win (Dem sweep) | YES 63¢ | NO 38¢ | Trade it on Kalshi! |
| Kalshi | Rick Jackson and Jon Ossoff win (split ticket) | YES 36¢ | NO 66¢ | Trade it on Kalshi! |
| Kalshi | Rick Jackson and Mike Collins win (GOP sweep) | YES 5¢ | NO 97¢ | Trade it on Kalshi! |
| Kalshi | Keisha Lance Bottoms and Mike Collins win (split ticket) | YES 1¢ | N/A | Trade it on Kalshi! |
How Polymarket and Kalshi Compare on the Georgia Senate Race 2026 and Georgia Governor Election
The two boards agree on every favorite. Ossoff sits at YES 95¢ on Polymarket and YES 96¢ on Kalshi, while Bottoms is at YES 62¢ on both.
The underdogs tell the same story in reverse. Collins trades at YES 5¢ on Polymarket and YES 4¢ on Kalshi, and Jackson is at YES 39¢ on both.
The only real gap is Ossoff and Collins, a single cent each way, which is small enough to read as noise rather than a signal.
The bigger divergence is between the exchanges and the surveys. Bottoms vs Jackson polls from AJC and UGA, InsiderAdvantage and Echelon span a 2-point Jackson lead to a 1-point Bottoms lead, yet neither board has Bottoms below YES 62¢.
Ossoff vs Collins polls are far less ambiguous, with recent leads of 7 to 15 points, and a price of YES 95¢ or YES 96¢ suggests traders expect that cushion to hold.
Both exchanges carry a combo board, so the difference is presentation rather than contract design. Kalshi quotes both sides of every line plus a margin forecast of D +11.8 in the Senate and D +1.7 in the Governor race, while Polymarket's board shows a rating label and each candidate's own Yes price.
Georgia Senate Race 2026 and Georgia Governor Election Price Analysis: Market Price Influencers
The Governor boards did not move on either exchange, with Bottoms steady at 62¢ and Jackson at 39¢, while the Senate boards ticked further toward Ossoff. That split makes sense, since one race has a clear polling answer and the other does not.
Bottoms vs Jackson polls remain a coin flip. The AJC and UGA survey has Jackson up 46% to 45%, InsiderAdvantage has him up 49% to 47%, Echelon's poll for NetChoice has Bottoms up 49% to 48%, and On Point's average had Bottoms ahead by 0.3 as of October 23.
A 62% price on a tied race is a bet on turnout. Georgia's early vote is running ahead of the 2022 pace, Kemp has publicly warned Republicans that they trail, and Democrats are bringing in Obama and Harris in the final days.
Jackson's counterweight is money and rural turnout. His side has outspent Bottoms' by nearly four to one since June, and Bloomberg's $2.5 million donation toward Democratic get-out-the-vote efforts only partly closes that gap.
The Georgia Senate race 2026 board has far less to price. Every recent entry among the Ossoff vs Collins polls, from AJC and UGA, Quantus, Trafalgar and Echelon, has Ossoff ahead, and the other Georgia senate race 2026 polls point the same way, leaving Collins needing a sizable miss.
The combo boards add one more read. The two pairings that include a Jackson win add up to 41¢ on both exchanges, above his 39¢ Governor price, and the pairings that include an Ossoff win add up to 99¢, well above his Senate price, a gap worth discounting since the four YES prices on each board sum to 105¢.
The next round of Georgia senate race 2026 polls and Bottoms vs Jackson polls is the likeliest trigger for a repricing, along with the final early-vote totals when in-person voting closes on October 30. If no candidate clears 50% on November 3, the top two advance to a December 1 runoff, though with no Libertarian on the ballot that looks unlikely.
| 🗳️ Race | 🏢 Platform | 🏷️ Pick | Price | 🤑 Est. Return on $100 | 📈 Trade It |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Georgia Senate Race | Polymarket | Jon Ossoff | YES (95¢) | $105.26 | Trade it on Polymarket! |
| Georgia Senate Race | Polymarket | Mike Collins | YES (5¢) | $2,000.00 | Trade it on Polymarket! |
| Georgia Senate Race | Kalshi | Jon Ossoff | YES (96¢) | $104.17 | Trade it on Kalshi! |
| Georgia Senate Race | Kalshi | Mike Collins | YES (4¢) | $2,500.00 | Trade it on Kalshi! |
| Georgia Governor Race | Polymarket | Keisha Lance Bottoms | YES (62¢) | $161.29 | Trade it on Polymarket! |
| Georgia Governor Race | Polymarket | Rick Jackson | YES (39¢) | $256.41 | Trade it on Polymarket! |
| Georgia Governor Race | Kalshi | Keisha Lance Bottoms | YES (62¢) | $161.29 | Trade it on Kalshi! |
| Georgia Governor Race | Kalshi | Rick Jackson | YES (39¢) | $256.41 | Trade it on Kalshi! |
How to Trade the Georgia Senate Race 2026 and Georgia Governor Race 2026 on Prediction Markets
Ready to take a position? Check out the best political trading apps and start trading event contracts in minutes on either exchange.
Polymarket
- Read a comprehensive Polymarket review to understand how this exchange operates.
- Follow this guide to trading on Polymarket to learn how to buy your first "Yes" or "No" contract.
- Monitor the relevant tab on Polymarket to stay ahead of the live order book movements.
📝 POLYMARKET TERMS & CONDITIONS
18+ Only. Restrictions and eligibility requirements apply. Not available in all jurisdictions. Trading is risky. 100% loss can occur. See polymarket.com/tos for more information. The Polymarket US App serves as an independent software provider and affiliate of Polymarket US and Polymarket Clearing, the CFTC-regulated exchange and clearing organization.
Kalshi
- Read a comprehensive Kalshi review to understand how this exchange operates.
- Follow this guide to trading on Kalshi to learn how to buy your first "Yes" or "No" contract.
- Monitor the relevant tab on Kalshi to stay ahead of the live order book movements.
📝 KALSHI TERMS & CONDITIONS
Certain limitations apply. The offer is available to new users only, subject to the terms and conditions at kalshi.com/tc/55. 18+ only. Restrictions and eligibility requirements apply. Event contract trading involves significant risk and is not appropriate for everyone. Please carefully consider if it is appropriate for you in light of your personal financial circumstances. Kalshi products are not available in all jurisdictions. See kalshi.com/regulatory for more information. Not available in AZ, IL, MA, MD, MI, MT, NV, OH, and WA.
Georgia Senate Race 2026 and Georgia Governor Race 2026: Final Thoughts
This is two Democratic-favored races priced with very different levels of confidence: a Georgia Senate race 2026 where Ossoff is a 95% to 96% favorite across both exchanges, and a Georgia Governor race 2026 where Bottoms is a 62% favorite in what the polls call a dead heat.
Watch the final early-vote totals and the last round of polling for the likeliest repricing before November 3, and keep an eye on the Jackson and Ossoff split on the combo boards, which is the clearest read on how traders see the two races landing together.
Georgia Senate Race 2026 and Georgia Governor Election FAQs
What are the current Georgia Governor race 2026 and Senate odds?
Keisha Lance Bottoms trades at 62¢ on both Polymarket and Kalshi in the Georgia Governor race 2026, with Rick Jackson at 39¢ on both. In the Senate race, Jon Ossoff is at 95¢ on Polymarket and 96¢ on Kalshi, while Mike Collins sits at 5¢ and 4¢.
What do the latest Georgia senate race 2026 polls show?
Ossoff leads in every recent survey. The AJC and UGA poll had him up 48% to 40%, Quantus Insights found 51.8% to 44.9%, and an Echelon Insights poll for NetChoice had him ahead 55% to 40%.
How do Georgia senate race 2026 polls compare to Polymarket and Kalshi pricing?
The markets are more confident than a typical 8-point lead would suggest, with Ossoff at 95¢ on Polymarket and 96¢ on Kalshi, and Kalshi's own margin forecast at D +11.8 points.
What do the latest Ossoff vs Collins polls show?
Beyond the newest releases, YouGov found Ossoff ahead 51% to 41% in September, and Trafalgar Group had him up 51% to 43% in early October.
Are Ossoff vs Collins polls tightening before Election Day?
Not in the data. Surveys from Trafalgar, Quantus, AJC and UGA, and Echelon since early October put Ossoff's margin between 7 and 15 points, with no clear trend toward Collins.
What do the latest Bottoms vs Jackson polls show?
They show a race inside the margin of error. AJC and UGA has Jackson up 46% to 45%, InsiderAdvantage has him ahead 49% to 47%, and Echelon's poll for NetChoice has Bottoms up 49% to 48%.
How do Bottoms vs Jackson polls compare to Polymarket and Kalshi pricing?
The markets are more bullish on Bottoms than the polls. Both exchanges price her at 62¢, while On Point's polling average had the race at Bottoms +0.3 as of October 23.
Why do Polymarket and Kalshi price the Georgia Governor election slightly differently?
They barely do. Bottoms is 62¢ and Jackson is 39¢ on both boards, and the Senate gap is a single cent on Ossoff and Collins, which usually reflects order-book depth rather than a different view of the race.
What do the Georgia Governor-Senate combo bets show?
Both exchanges price a Democratic sweep at 63¢, a Jackson and Ossoff split at 36¢, a Republican sweep at 5¢ and a Bottoms and Collins split at 1¢.
How do I trade the Georgia Senate race 2026 and Georgia Governor election odds?
Sign up on Polymarket or Kalshi, fund your account, and buy a "Yes" or "No" share on the contract you want, then hold it to resolution or sell it back to the market at any point before Election Day.
