The Georgia Senate race 2026 has Jon Ossoff priced at 97¢ on Polymarket and 96.6¢ on Kalshi, while the Georgia Governor race 2026 is far tighter, with Keisha Lance Bottoms at 68¢ on both exchanges after Rick Jackson gained 2 points on each board.
- Jon Ossoff, Mike Collins, Keisha Lance Bottoms and Rick Jackson all have live Georgia Governor election and Senate contracts on both exchanges, and Polymarket and Kalshi each list a Governor-Senate combo market, with Polymarket adding Margin of Victory brackets for both races.
- The closing Ossoff vs Collins polls favor the incumbent by 7 points in InsiderAdvantage's final survey, which also has the Bottoms vs Jackson polls dead even at 49%.
Below you'll find a full breakdown of the current Georgia Senate race 2026 and Georgia Governor election odds across the exchanges, but if you want to jump straight in, check out the latest Polymarket promo code or the Kalshi promo code.
Here's exactly where the money sits on both platforms as Georgians vote on Election Day, Tuesday, November 3.
| 🗳️ Race | 🏢 Platform | 🏷️ Pick | Price | 🤑 Est. Return on $100 | 📈 Trade It |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Georgia Senate Race | Polymarket | Jon Ossoff | YES (97¢) | $103.09 | Trade it on Polymarket! |
| Georgia Senate Race | Polymarket | Mike Collins | YES (4¢) | $2,500.00 | Trade it on Polymarket! |
| Georgia Senate Margin of Victory | Polymarket | Democrats by 9-12% | YES (27¢) | $370.37 | Trade it on Polymarket! |
| Georgia Senate Race | Kalshi | Jon Ossoff | YES (96.6¢) | $103.52 | Trade it on Kalshi! |
| Georgia Senate Race | Kalshi | Mike Collins | YES (3.9¢) | $2,564.10 | Trade it on Kalshi! |
| Georgia Governor Race | Polymarket | Keisha Lance Bottoms | YES (68¢) | $147.06 | Trade it on Polymarket! |
| Georgia Governor Race | Polymarket | Rick Jackson | YES (33¢) | $303.03 | Trade it on Polymarket! |
| Georgia Governor Margin of Victory | Polymarket | Democrats by 3-6% | YES (38¢) | $263.16 | Trade it on Polymarket! |
| Georgia Governor Race | Kalshi | Keisha Lance Bottoms | YES (68¢) | $147.06 | Trade it on Kalshi! |
| Georgia Governor Race | Kalshi | Rick Jackson | YES (34¢) | $294.12 | Trade it on Kalshi! |
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Georgia Senate Race 2026 and Georgia Governor Election Polymarket Odds: Top Trading Contracts
Polymarket's Georgia contracts trade between 1¢ and 99¢, which maps directly to implied probability, and a "Yes" share on a candidate pays $1.00 if that candidate wins and $0 if they lose.
Both winner markets resolve on the winner of the November 3 general election, and Georgia's polls close at 7 p.m. ET, the same time Polymarket's boards list results as expected.
A methodology note: Polymarket's winner boards only quote each candidate's own Yes price, so the No prices below are derived by pairing each candidate against their head-to-head opponent's quoted Yes price. That is a close approximation here, since no Libertarian made the November ballot, though write-in votes can still make it imprecise.
Georgia Senate Race 2026
Polymarket's board labels the race Safe D, and Collins is the only candidate with a move on the board, up 1 point.
Jon Ossoff (YES 97¢ / NO 4¢)
Ossoff trades at 97¢, implying a 97% probability, and the closing Ossoff vs Collins polls give him a cushion. InsiderAdvantage's survey of 2,500 likely voters, fielded October 31 to November 2, had him ahead 53% to 46%, enough to clear the 50% mark Georgia requires to avoid a runoff.
Turnout frames the day. More than 2.8 million Georgians voted early, a record for a midterm, according to Secretary of State figures.
Mike Collins (YES 4¢ / NO 97¢, +1 pts)
Collins trades at 4¢, a 4% implied probability, after gaining 1 point, and Polymarket's board shows a 25.0x multiplier on a Yes share.
He campaigned in the Savannah area on Monday, said he is confident he will win and told supporters the only polls that matter are the ones at the voting booth. The latest Georgia senate race 2026 polls, led by InsiderAdvantage's final survey, still have him 7 points back.
Georgia Governor Race 2026
Polymarket tags the Georgia Governor race 2026 as Lean D, and Bottoms' 3-point drop is the biggest move on either winner board.
Keisha Lance Bottoms (YES 68¢ / NO 33¢, -3 pts)
Bottoms trades at 68¢, a 68% implied probability, after the slide, and Polymarket's board shows a 1.47x multiplier on a Yes share.
The closing Bottoms vs Jackson polls help explain why her price is not higher, since InsiderAdvantage has her at 49.03% to Jackson's 49.0% and earlier AJC polling also found a dead heat.
She spent Monday in Dalton, Crawfordville, Athens and Augusta before returning to Atlanta.
Rick Jackson (YES 33¢ / NO 68¢, +2 pts)
Jackson trades at 33¢, a 33% implied probability, after gaining 2 points, and a Yes share carries a 3.03x multiplier on the board.
He closed with Gov. Brian Kemp and House Speaker Jon Burns, and both Jackson and Kemp told voters Georgia is no longer a red state, a message aimed at rural Republicans who might sit out the election.
Kemp said Republicans are falling behind in early voting turnout, which puts the weight on Election Day, and Jackson has put more than $100 million of his own money into the race.
Georgia Margin of Victory Markets
Polymarket also splits each race into margin brackets, pricing how big a Democratic win could be rather than only who wins.
Each board lists several buckets, including 15-18%, 9-12% and 6-9% in the Senate race and 3-6% and 0-3% in the Governor race, and a Yes share pays if the Democrat wins by a margin in that range.
Senate: Democrats by 9-12% (YES 27¢ / NO 78¢, +1 pts)
A Democratic win by 9% to 12% trades at 27¢, a 27% implied probability, after gaining 1 point, which is just over a quarter of the 97¢ Polymarket puts on an Ossoff win.
Kalshi's margin forecast of D +12.1 sits at the top edge of this bracket, while InsiderAdvantage's 7-point final margin would land in the neighboring 6-9% bucket, so this contract is effectively a bet that the polls are underestimating Ossoff.
The No side is quoted at 78¢, so the Yes and No prices add up to 105¢, a wider spread than the winner boards carry.
Governor: Democrats by 3-6% (YES 38¢)
A Democratic win by 3% to 6% trades at 38¢, a 38% implied probability, with no movement shown on the board, which is more than half of the 68¢ Polymarket puts on a Bottoms win.
Kalshi's forecast of D +2.9 sits just below the floor of this bracket and InsiderAdvantage's tie sits well below it, so a 3-6% win asks for a modest polling miss in Bottoms' favor, which fits Kemp's warning that Republicans are behind in early turnout.
Georgia Senate Race 2026 and Georgia Governor Election: Kalshi Odds
🗳️ Where to Vote: Use the 'My Ballot' feature on Kalshi to find your local polling location and ballot info!
Kalshi lists the same two races as regulated event contracts that resolve by winning party, with Yes and No both tradable on every line, so the board shows the full spread rather than a single implied number.
Kalshi also publishes a margin forecast for each race, D +12.1 in the Senate and D +2.9 for Governor, which works as its own read on the Margin of Victory brackets Polymarket prices.
Georgia Senate Race 2026
Kalshi's Senate board is a hair softer on Ossoff than Polymarket's, with the Democrat at 96.6¢ against 97¢ and a margin forecast of D +12.1.
Jon Ossoff (YES 96.6¢ / NO 3.8¢, -0.4 pts)
Ossoff slipped 0.4 points to 96.6¢, a 96.6% implied probability. A D +12.1 forecast is wider than the 7-point InsiderAdvantage result, so Kalshi traders are pricing in more than the final Georgia senate race 2026 polls show.
He campaigned in DeKalb County on Monday and urged voters to turn out.
Mike Collins (YES 3.9¢ / NO 96.5¢, +0.4 pts)
Collins gained 0.4 points to 3.9¢, a 3.9% implied probability on the YES price, although Kalshi's headline Chance column reads 3.4%. A winning share pays more than 25 times its cost at that price.
His closing argument has centered on the economy and energy costs, with Collins attacking Ossoff over gasoline prices and the Green New Deal.
Georgia Governor Race 2026
Kalshi's Governor board matches Polymarket on Bottoms at 68¢, though its headline Chance column reads 66%, and its margin forecast has the Democrat ahead by 2.9 points in the Georgia Governor election.
Keisha Lance Bottoms (YES 68¢ / NO 34¢, -2 pts)
Bottoms lost 2 points on Kalshi's Chance column, which now reads 66% against a 68¢ YES contract price, and that 68¢ is a 68% implied probability on the contract itself.
A forecast of D +2.9 reads like a lean rather than a lock, and it would fall just short of the 3-6% bracket Polymarket prices at 38¢, so the two exchanges are circling the same outcome from different angles.
Rick Jackson (YES 34¢ / NO 68¢, +2 pts)
Jackson gained 2 points to 34¢, a 34% implied probability and a cent above his Polymarket price.
Georgia's polls are open from 7 a.m. to 7 p.m., and anyone in line at closing can still vote, which gives Jackson a full day of Election Day voting to close the gap.
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Georgia Governor-Senate Combo Bets
Both exchanges let traders bet on how the two races land together, pairing a Governor outcome with a Senate outcome in a single contract.
A Democratic sweep is the favorite at 69¢ on Polymarket and 67¢ on Kalshi, while a Jackson win paired with an Ossoff win sits at 30¢ and 33¢, and Kalshi's Chance column shows that split ticket up 4 points. A GOP sweep is a long shot at 4¢ and 3¢, and a Bottoms and Collins split is 1¢ on both.
The four Yes prices add up to 104¢ on each exchange, so read each line as a rough shape of expectations rather than a precise probability.
Polymarket labels its outcomes by party, so the table translates them into candidate pairings, and neither board shows a NO price for the Bottoms and Collins pairing, so those cells read N/A.
| 🏢 Platform | 🗳️ Outcome | ✅ YES | ❌ NO | 📈 Trade It |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket | Keisha Lance Bottoms and Jon Ossoff win (Dem sweep) | YES 69¢ | NO 32¢ | Trade it on Polymarket! |
| Polymarket | Rick Jackson and Jon Ossoff win (split ticket) | YES 30¢ | NO 71¢ | Trade it on Polymarket! |
| Polymarket | Rick Jackson and Mike Collins win (GOP sweep) | YES 4¢ | NO 97¢ | Trade it on Polymarket! |
| Polymarket | Keisha Lance Bottoms and Mike Collins win (split ticket) | YES 1¢ | N/A | Trade it on Polymarket! |
| Kalshi | Keisha Lance Bottoms and Jon Ossoff win (Dem sweep) | YES 67¢ | NO 36¢ | Trade it on Kalshi! |
| Kalshi | Rick Jackson and Jon Ossoff win (split ticket) | YES 33¢ | NO 69¢ | Trade it on Kalshi! |
| Kalshi | Rick Jackson and Mike Collins win (GOP sweep) | YES 3¢ | NO 98¢ | Trade it on Kalshi! |
| Kalshi | Keisha Lance Bottoms and Mike Collins win (split ticket) | YES 1¢ | N/A | Trade it on Kalshi! |
How Polymarket and Kalshi Compare on the Georgia Senate Race 2026 and Georgia Governor Election
The two boards agree on every favorite. Ossoff sits at YES 97¢ on Polymarket and YES 96.6¢ on Kalshi, while Bottoms is at YES 68¢ on both.
The underdogs tell the same story. Collins trades at YES 4¢ on Polymarket and YES 3.9¢ on Kalshi, and Jackson is at YES 33¢ and YES 34¢, respectively.
The gaps are mostly spread. Polymarket's two Yes prices add up to 101¢ in both races, against 100.5¢ in the Senate race and 102¢ in the Governor race on Kalshi, so Jackson's extra cent on Kalshi reflects a wider Yes total rather than a different view of the race.
The exchanges also moved together, with Jackson up 2 points on both boards and Bottoms down 3 on Polymarket and 2 on Kalshi's Chance column.
Only Polymarket lists Margin of Victory brackets, but Kalshi's forecasts map onto them. A D +12.1 Senate forecast sits at the top of the 9-12% bracket at YES 27¢, and D +2.9 in the Governor race sits just under the 3-6% bracket at YES 38¢.
The bigger divergence is between the markets and the toplines in the governor's race. Bottoms vs Jackson polls end in a 49-49 tie in InsiderAdvantage's final survey, yet both exchanges keep Bottoms at YES 68¢, a price that leans on early-vote turnout more than on the polls.
Ossoff vs Collins polls are less ambiguous, with a 7-point lead in InsiderAdvantage's final survey, and a price of YES 97¢ or YES 96.6¢ suggests traders expect that cushion to hold.
Both exchanges carry a combo board, so the difference is what surrounds it: Polymarket adds margin brackets and a rating label, while Kalshi quotes both sides of every line and publishes margin forecasts.
Georgia Senate Race 2026 and Georgia Governor Election Price Analysis: Market Price Influencers
The Governor board moved toward Jackson on both exchanges, with Jackson up 2 points on each and Bottoms down 3 on Polymarket and 2 on Kalshi, while the Senate boards barely moved.
The final poll helps explain it. InsiderAdvantage's survey, fielded October 31 to November 2, had Bottoms and Jackson tied at 49% with 2% undecided and a margin of error just under 2 points.
Turnout is the other half of the story. More than 2.8 million Georgians voted early, and Kemp said Republicans are behind in that group, so Jackson needs a heavy Election Day vote while Democrats lean on the ballots already banked.
The Georgia senate race 2026 board has far less to price. In the Ossoff vs Collins polls, InsiderAdvantage's final survey shows a 7-point lead that would clear the 50% mark, so Collins needs a wide miss from the pollsters.
The Margin of Victory brackets add the clearest read on expectations. Polymarket gives 27¢ to a 9-12% Senate win and 38¢ to a 3-6% Governor win, so traders are leaning toward an Ossoff margin larger than the polls show and a modest Bottoms win.
The combo boards add one more read. A Jackson win is mostly a split-ticket bet, with Jackson and Ossoff at 30¢ on Polymarket and 33¢ on Kalshi against just 4¢ and 3¢ for a full GOP sweep.
Election night timing matters for repricing. Counties are expected to release a first wave of early in-person and verified absentee votes shortly after polls close at 7 p.m., and Secretary of State Brad Raffensperger has promised voters will know the results before midnight.
The first county returns are the likeliest trigger for a repricing, since the closing Georgia senate race 2026 polls and Bottoms vs Jackson polls are already in the numbers. If write-in votes keep a candidate below 50%, the top two advance to a December 1 runoff, a real consideration in a race polling 49-49.
| 🗳️ Race | 🏢 Platform | 🏷️ Pick | Price | 🤑 Est. Return on $100 | 📈 Trade It |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Georgia Senate Race | Polymarket | Jon Ossoff | YES (97¢) | $103.09 | Trade it on Polymarket! |
| Georgia Senate Race | Polymarket | Mike Collins | YES (4¢) | $2,500.00 | Trade it on Polymarket! |
| Georgia Senate Margin of Victory | Polymarket | Democrats by 9-12% | YES (27¢) | $370.37 | Trade it on Polymarket! |
| Georgia Senate Race | Kalshi | Jon Ossoff | YES (96.6¢) | $103.52 | Trade it on Kalshi! |
| Georgia Senate Race | Kalshi | Mike Collins | YES (3.9¢) | $2,564.10 | Trade it on Kalshi! |
| Georgia Governor Race | Polymarket | Keisha Lance Bottoms | YES (68¢) | $147.06 | Trade it on Polymarket! |
| Georgia Governor Race | Polymarket | Rick Jackson | YES (33¢) | $303.03 | Trade it on Polymarket! |
| Georgia Governor Margin of Victory | Polymarket | Democrats by 3-6% | YES (38¢) | $263.16 | Trade it on Polymarket! |
| Georgia Governor Race | Kalshi | Keisha Lance Bottoms | YES (68¢) | $147.06 | Trade it on Kalshi! |
| Georgia Governor Race | Kalshi | Rick Jackson | YES (34¢) | $294.12 | Trade it on Kalshi! |
How to Trade the Georgia Senate Race 2026 and Georgia Governor Race 2026 on Prediction Markets
Ready to take a position? Check out the best political trading apps and start trading event contracts in minutes on either exchange.
Polymarket
- Read a comprehensive Polymarket review to understand how this exchange operates.
- Follow this guide to trading on Polymarket to learn how to buy your first "Yes" or "No" contract.
- Monitor the relevant tab on Polymarket to stay ahead of the live order book movements.
📝 POLYMARKET TERMS & CONDITIONS
18+ Only. Restrictions and eligibility requirements apply. Not available in all jurisdictions. Trading is risky. 100% loss can occur. See polymarket.com/tos for more information. The Polymarket US App serves as an independent software provider and affiliate of Polymarket US and Polymarket Clearing, the CFTC-regulated exchange and clearing organization.
Kalshi
- Read a comprehensive Kalshi review to understand how this exchange operates.
- Follow this guide to trading on Kalshi to learn how to buy your first "Yes" or "No" contract.
- Monitor the relevant tab on Kalshi to stay ahead of the live order book movements.
📝 KALSHI TERMS & CONDITIONS
Certain limitations apply. The offer is available to new users only, subject to the terms and conditions at kalshi.com/tc/55. 18+ only. Restrictions and eligibility requirements apply. Event contract trading involves significant risk and is not appropriate for everyone. Please carefully consider if it is appropriate for you in light of your personal financial circumstances. Kalshi products are not available in all jurisdictions. See kalshi.com/regulatory for more information. Not available in AZ, IL, MA, MD, MI, MT, NV, OH, and WA.
Georgia Senate Race 2026 and Georgia Governor Race 2026: Final Thoughts
This is two Democratic-favored races priced with different levels of confidence: a Georgia Senate race 2026 where Ossoff is a 97% favorite on Polymarket and a 96.6% favorite on Kalshi, and a Georgia Governor race 2026 where Bottoms sits at 68% in a contest where the final poll was tied.
Watch the first wave of county returns after 7 p.m. for the likeliest repricing, and keep an eye on the margin brackets, which show traders expect a Democratic cushion in both races even with the Governor polls deadlocked.
Georgia Senate Race 2026 and Georgia Governor Election FAQs
What are the current Georgia Governor race 2026 and Senate odds?
Keisha Lance Bottoms trades at 68¢ on both Polymarket and Kalshi in the Georgia Governor race 2026, with Rick Jackson at 33¢ on Polymarket and 34¢ on Kalshi. In the Senate race, Jon Ossoff is at 97¢ on Polymarket and 96.6¢ on Kalshi, while Mike Collins sits at 4¢ and 3.9¢.
What do the latest Georgia senate race 2026 polls show?
Ossoff leads in the final survey. InsiderAdvantage, fielded October 31 to November 2 among 2,500 likely voters, had him ahead 53% to 46%, with 1% undecided.
How do Georgia senate race 2026 polls compare to Polymarket and Kalshi pricing?
The markets are more confident than a 7-point lead would suggest, with Ossoff at 97¢ on Polymarket and 96.6¢ on Kalshi, and Kalshi's own margin forecast at D +12.1 points.
What do the latest Ossoff vs Collins polls show?
Ossoff has led throughout October. The final InsiderAdvantage survey had him up 53% to 46%, and an earlier AJC and University of Georgia poll had him ahead 48% to 40%.
Do the Ossoff vs Collins polls support Polymarket's Margin of Victory odds?
Only partly. The 7-point InsiderAdvantage lead would land in the 6-9% bracket, but Polymarket prices a 9-12% Ossoff win at 27¢, and Kalshi's margin forecast of D +12.1 sits at the top of that range.
What do the latest Bottoms vs Jackson polls show?
They show a dead heat. InsiderAdvantage's final survey has Bottoms and Jackson tied at 49%, with Bottoms ahead by 0.03 points, and earlier AJC polling also found the race level.
How do Bottoms vs Jackson polls compare to Polymarket and Kalshi pricing?
The markets lean further toward Bottoms than the toplines do. Both exchanges price her at 68¢, a number that reflects early-vote data as much as the polls, which end in a tie.
How do Polymarket and Kalshi price the Georgia Governor election differently?
Barely at all. Bottoms is 68¢ on both boards and Jackson is 33¢ on Polymarket and 34¢ on Kalshi, a gap that reflects Kalshi's wider Yes total rather than a different view of the race.
What do the Georgia Governor-Senate combo bets show?
Polymarket prices a Democratic sweep at 69¢, a Jackson and Ossoff split at 30¢, a Republican sweep at 4¢ and a Bottoms and Collins split at 1¢. Kalshi has them at 67¢, 33¢, 3¢ and 1¢.
How do I trade the Georgia Senate race 2026 and Georgia Governor election odds?
Sign up on Polymarket or Kalshi, fund your account, and buy a "Yes" or "No" share on the contract you want, then hold it to resolution or sell it back to the market at any point before the result is final.
