Kalshi Sign Up Bonus: Trade $25, Get $55 for Bears vs. Seahawks Predictions

The Kalshi sign up bonus fits the NFL Week 8 finale, and these Bears vs. Seahawks predictions come straight from the live Kalshi board for Monday Night Football.

• Chicago arrives 5-2 and has covered in all three games Caleb Williams started and finished. Seattle is 4-3 after beating the Chiefs on Sunday night.
• Kickoff is 8:15 p.m. ET on ESPN at Lumen Field. Kalshi has Seattle at 62¢ to win, and the total sits at 46.5 points.

Use the Kalshi promo code ACTION55 to trade $25 and get a $55 bonus. Here is my full picks table before I break down each trade, plus the full NFL odds board for the week and the rest of the NFL slate.

Best NFL Player Props for Bears vs. Seahawks

Every pick below is a real trade we'd make after using the Kalshi promo code ACTION55, ranked from highest price to long shot.

Use Kalshi promo code ACTION55 and Trade $25, Get $55!

Best Rushing Yards Prop Today – Caleb Williams 10+ Yards

Williams runs when a play breaks down, and he has 128 rushing yards and two scores in the four games he's played this season. Ten yards is a low bar for a quarterback who can pick up that much on one scramble.

Seattle's defense is the best in the league in opponent yards per play, so Chicago may need Williams's legs to move the chains.

At a $100 buy near 82 cents on the Yes side, this works out to roughly 122 shares, and the profit of about $21.95 comes before Kalshi fees.

• If Williams runs for 10 or more yards: profit of about $21.95.
• If he doesn't: the $100 stake is a total loss.

It's the shortest price on my board, so the payout is small. It's also the safest trade here.

Best Receiving Yards Prop Today – Colston Loveland 40+ Yards

Cole Kmet is on injured reserve, which leaves Loveland as the top tight end in Chicago's offense. Williams has thrown for over 300 yards in back-to-back games, and a tight end can earn 40 yards on a handful of short catches.

Kalshi prices Loveland at 55% to clear the number, so the market agrees he's in line for work.

At a $100 buy near 55 cents on the Yes side, this works out to roughly 182 shares, and the profit of about $81.82 comes before Kalshi fees.

• If Loveland clears 40 receiving yards: profit of about $81.82.
• If he doesn't: the $100 stake is a total loss.

A near coin-flip price that still returns more than 80 cents on every dollar risked.

Best Receiving Yards Prop Today – Luther Burden III 50+ Yards

The Bears scored 59, 31, and 30 points in the three full games Williams played, and Burden helped. Fifty yards is a real number, but Chicago throws enough for a starting wideout to get there.

The Seahawks have been tough on yards per play. Burden's price at 55¢ already reflects that.

At a $100 buy near 55 cents on the Yes side, this works out to roughly 182 shares, and the profit of about $81.82 comes before Kalshi fees.

• If Burden clears 50 receiving yards: profit of about $81.82.
• If he doesn't: the $100 stake is a total loss.

This is the same price as the Loveland trade, so you can pair them as a Bears passing game package.

Best Spread Pick Today – Bears +3.5

Kalshi's spread market asks if Seattle wins by more than 3.5 points. Buying No on that means you win if the Bears win outright or lose by three or fewer.

Chicago is 5-2 against the spread, the best mark in the NFL. Seattle has covered just once in four home games this season, so laying the points at Lumen Field hasn't been a safe play.

At a $100 buy near 54 cents on the No side, this works out to roughly 185 shares, and the profit of about $85.19 comes before Kalshi fees.

• If Seattle wins by 3 or fewer, or Chicago wins: profit of about $85.19.
• If Seattle wins by 4 or more, the $100 stake is a total loss.

This is my main read on the side, and it fits the rest of the Bears vs. Seahawks predictions on this board.

Best Passing Yards Prop Today – Caleb Williams 225+ Yards

Williams has completed 71% of his passes this year and has topped 300 yards in back-to-back wins over the Falcons and Patriots. Chicago also has the worst yards-per-play defense in the league, so the Bears may need to throw to keep up.

Seattle's defense is the toughest test he's had. Still, 225 is well under his recent pace.

At a $100 buy near 53 cents on the Yes side, this works out to roughly 189 shares, and the profit of about $88.68 comes before Kalshi fees.

• If Williams throws for 225 or more yards: profit of about $88.68.
• If he doesn't: the $100 stake is a total loss.

A coin-flip price with room to run if the game turns into a track meet.

Best Passing Touchdowns Prop Today – Sam Darnold Under 2 Touchdowns

Darnold has thrown eight interceptions this season, and Seattle's offense ranks 24th in EPA per play. The Seahawks win with defense, and their run game is only averaging 3.9 yards per carry.

Seattle added guard Quenton Nelson in a trade this week, which could help on the ground. That also points to a game where the Seahawks lean on the run instead of Darnold's arm. Buying No on two or more touchdowns covers that script.

At a $100 buy near 52 cents on the No side, this works out to roughly 192 shares, and the profit of about $92.31 comes before Kalshi fees.

• If Darnold throws 0 or 1 touchdown: profit of about $92.31.
• If he throws two or more: the $100 stake is a total loss.

Kalshi has Darnold's 2+ touchdown Yes price at 49¢, so this is a true coin flip.

Best Anytime Touchdown Prop Today – D'Andre Swift 1+ Touchdown

Swift is the top back on the Chicago depth chart, and Kyle Monangai was listed as questionable earlier this week. If Monangai is out or limited, Swift could see even more goal-line work.

Kalshi has Swift at 51% to score, the second-highest price on the anytime touchdown board behind Jaxon Smith-Njigba.

At a $100 buy near 51 cents on the Yes side, this works out to roughly 196 shares, and the profit of about $96.08 comes before Kalshi fees.

• If Swift scores a touchdown: profit of about $96.08.
• If he doesn't: the $100 stake is a total loss.

Check the injury report before kickoff, since it can move this price.

Best Total Pick Today – Under 46.5 Points

The under has hit in four of seven games for both teams this season. Seattle's defense is No. 1 in opponent yards per play, and the Seahawks' offense hasn't been much of a scoring threat.

This isn't a lock. Chicago scored 59, 31, and 30 points in its three full Williams games, so a shootout is possible. At 51¢ for No on the over, the price is about even.

At a $100 buy near 51 cents on the No side, this works out to roughly 196 shares, and the profit of about $96.08 comes before Kalshi fees.

• If the game finishes with 46 or fewer points: profit of about $96.08.
• If it goes over 46.5: the $100 stake is a total loss.

I like it as a hedge against the Bears props above.

Best Receiving Yards Prop Today – Jaxon Smith-Njigba 100+ Yards

Smith-Njigba is Seattle's top target, and Chicago allows more yards per play than any other defense. Kalshi has him at 48% to reach 100 yards, which tells you the market sees a big game as a real possibility.

The Yes price is 49¢, so you're paying close to even money for a 100-yard day.

At a $100 buy near 49 cents on the Yes side, that's roughly 204 shares, and the profit of about $104.08 comes before Kalshi fees.

• If Smith-Njigba clears 100 receiving yards: profit of about $104.08.
• If he doesn't, the $100 stake is a total loss.

The best payout in the coin-flip range on my board.

Best Anytime Touchdown Prop Today – Colston Loveland 1+ Touchdown

This is the long shot. With Kmet on injured reserve, Loveland is the best bet for red-zone looks at tight end, and Kalshi has him at 30% to score.

Kalshi's anytime touchdown market doesn't count passing touchdowns, so this one is just for receivers and runners.

At a $100 buy near 30 cents on the Yes side, this works out to roughly 333 shares, and the profit of about $233.33 comes before Kalshi fees.

• If Loveland scores a touchdown: profit of about $233.33.
• If he doesn't: the $100 stake is a total loss.

More than 2.3 times your stake, and the one true long shot on my board.

Bears vs. Seahawks Moneyline

Here's where the Bears vs. Seahawks predictions start on the base game price. You can also see every market on Kalshi's Bears-Seahawks game page.

Seattle Seahawks Moneyline

Seattle is the home favorite at 61% to win, with the Yes price at 62¢ and No at 39¢.

Chicago Bears Moneyline

Chicago is the road underdog at 39% to win, with the Yes price at 39¢ and No at 62¢.

Spread and Total for MNF Best Bets

Kalshi shows one default line for each market, so the prices below only apply to the numbers listed.

Bears vs. Seahawks Spread

Seattle to win by more than 3.5 points is priced at 47¢ Yes against 54¢ No.

Bears vs. Seahawks Total

The total sits at 46.5 points, priced at 50¢ Yes on the over against 51¢ No on the under.

What's Moving the Market

Prediction markets and prices can move for several reasons. The Bears vs. Seahawks predictions on this board lean on one idea: Seattle's defense is elite, but Chicago's offense has been scoring in bunches with Williams at quarterback.

The biggest move on the page is on the ground. Swift's 40-yard rushing price is down 13 points, while Williams's 10-yard rushing price is up five. That tells me traders are leaning toward the quarterback's legs over the running back's workload.

Injuries could shift things before kickoff. Seattle's Charles Cross was doubtful, and Zach Charbonnet was questionable earlier this week, so check the latest NFL injuries report before you trade.

How to Trade These MNF Best Bets on Kalshi

Ready to get in on the Kalshi sign up bonus yourself? Here's how to claim it and start trading tonight's board:

• Read a comprehensive Kalshi review to see how the exchange works.
• Follow this guide on how to bet on Kalshi to learn how to buy your first Yes or No contract.
• Sign up with Kalshi promo code ACTION55 and finish registration.
• Fund your account, make your first $25 trade, and get your $55 bonus.

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Final Thoughts: Best NFL Prop Bets Today

Seattle has the better defense and the home field, but Chicago's offense and its 5-2 record against the spread make the Bears a live underdog on Monday night.

I'm leaning on the Bears side and the Chicago passing game, with the under and the Darnold prop as hedges. The prices above are live Kalshi numbers and can move before kickoff. For more markets, see the prediction markets hub, the best prediction market promos, and the best prediction market apps.

Bears vs. Seahawks Predictions FAQs

What is the Kalshi sign up bonus for Bears vs. Seahawks?

New users who sign up with Kalshi promo code ACTION55 can trade $25 and get a $55 bonus to use on Monday Night Football markets.

Who wins the Bears vs. Seahawks prediction on Kalshi?

Kalshi has Seattle at 61% to win outright, with Chicago at 39%. The spread line shows Seattle to win by more than 3.5 at 47¢ Yes and 54¢ No.

What are the best NFL player props for this game?

My top plays are Caleb Williams over 10 rushing yards, Colston Loveland over 40 receiving yards, and Luther Burden III over 50 receiving yards.

What are the best anytime TD scorer predictions for Bears vs. Seahawks?

Jaxon Smith-Njigba is priced at 52¢ and D'Andre Swift at 51¢, the two shortest prices on Kalshi's anytime touchdown board. My long-shot pick is Colston Loveland at 30¢.

How do I use Kalshi promo code ACTION55?

Create an account, enter code ACTION55, finish registration, and make your first $25 trade to get the $55 bonus.

What time does Bears vs. Seahawks kick off?

Kickoff is Monday, Nov. 2, at 8:15 p.m. ET on ESPN from Lumen Field in Seattle.